Liga 1
Persepam Madura UtdHomeLDWLW
Fri 6 Nov
Arema FCAwayDLLWL442630
Persepam Madura Utd winDrawArema FC win
Persepam Madura UtdHomeLDWLWArema FCAwayDLLWL- Kick-off Fri 6 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.02 1.66 : 1.36
- Favourite
- 44% Persepam Madura Utd
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 62% model chance
- Prices compared
- 4 in the odds table
Best odds for Persepam Madura Utd vs Arema FC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.24 | 3.32 | 2.77 | 1.65 | 2.06 | 1.53 | 2.29 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.24 | 3.32 | 2.77 | 1.65 | 2.06 | 1.53 | 2.29 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.24 | 3.32 | 2.77 | 1.65 | 2.06 | 1.53 | 2.29 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.24 | 3.32 | 2.77 | 1.65 | 2.06 | 1.53 | 2.29 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Persepam Madura Utd to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Persepam Madura Utd vs Arema FC prediction: Persepam Madura Utd 2.24 (22Bet), draw 3.32 (22Bet), Arema FC 2.77 (1xBet).
The best-price payout across the three results is 90.2%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.65 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.06 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.53 (22Bet) and no 2.29 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
74%
Our prediction
Persepam Madura Utd or Arema FC (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
58% chance1.65
BTTSBoth teams to score
62% chance1.53
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.24fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.09fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Persepam Madura Utd, full-time Persepam Madura Utd
27% chance3.68fair
First halfFirst-half goal
74% chance1.35fair
Persepam Madura Utd vs Arema FC prediction
Our Persepam Madura Utd vs Arema FC prediction and pick
Persepam Madura Utd are marginally ahead in the Persepam Madura Utd vs Arema FC prediction, rated 44% to win this Liga 1 match on Friday, 6 November 2026. Arema FC sit at 30% and the draw at 26%.
Expected goals are 1.66 for Persepam Madura Utd and 1.36 for Arema FC, a total of 3.02, which puts over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 62%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Persepam Madura Utd or Arema FC (no draw) is the main selection, rated 74%. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.24. That price implies 81%, 7 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Over the last 5 matches Persepam Madura Utd stand at 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Arema FC show 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats in 5.
How many goals in Persepam Madura Utd vs Arema FC? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
On the goal lines Persepam Madura Utd vs Arema FC reads 80% for over 1.5, 58% for over 2.5 and 36% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 42%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 58%; 22Bet pay 1.65.
The chance of both teams scoring is 62%, built from Persepam Madura Utd scoring in 81% of runs and Arema FC in 74%; clean sheets come at 26% for Persepam Madura Utd and 19% for Arema FC.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11%, then 2-1 at 9.1% and 1-0 at 8.1%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 11% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Persepam Madura Utd, full-time Persepam Madura Utd is the top combination at 27%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 74%.
Every market for Persepam Madura Utd vs Arema FC
The grid built from 1.66 and 1.36 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Persepam Madura Utd to win44%2.24
Draw26%3.32
Arema FC to win30%2.77
Persepam Madura Utd, draw no bet59%fair 1.69
Arema FC, draw no bet41%fair 2.45
Double chance
Persepam Madura Utd or draw70%1.34
Arema FC or draw56%1.51
Persepam Madura Utd or Arema FC (no draw)74%1.24
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.24
Over 2.5 goals58%1.65
Over 3.5 goals36%fair 2.80
Over 4.5 goals19%fair 5.32
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 5.10
Under 2.5 goals42%2.06
Under 3.5 goals64%fair 1.56
BTTS
Both teams to score62%1.53
Not both teams to score38%2.29
Halves
First-half goal74%fair 1.35
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.54
Second-half goal81%fair 1.23
Team goals
Persepam Madura Utd to score81%fair 1.23
Arema FC to score74%fair 1.35
Persepam Madura Utd clean sheet26%fair 3.89
Arema FC clean sheet19%fair 5.26
Persepam Madura Utd to win to nil24%fair 4.24
Arema FC to win to nil18%fair 5.71
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-111%
2-19.1%
1-08.1%
1-27.5%
2-06.7%
0-16.6%
Half-time / full-time
Persepam Madura Utd / Persepam Madura Utd27.2%
Arema FC / Arema FC18.3%
Draw / Persepam Madura Utd14.6%
Draw / Draw13.3%
Draw / Arema FC10.9%
Questions about Persepam Madura Utd vs Arema FC
Who will win Persepam Madura Utd vs Arema FC?
The model gives Persepam Madura Utd the best chance at 44%, with the draw at 26%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for Persepam Madura Utd vs Arema FC?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 58%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Persepam Madura Utd vs Arema FC?
The BTTS yes line is rated 62%. Persepam Madura Utd find the net in 81% of simulated matches and Arema FC in 74%.
When is Persepam Madura Utd vs Arema FC and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 12:00 UTC on Friday, 6 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.