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Live 26 UTC
Magyar Kupa Round of 32 Tuesday, 27 October 2026 FT
KaposvarHomeL
0:2Half-time 0:1
AjkaAwayDLWWD
252352
Kaposvar winDrawAjka win
Kick-off
Tue 27 Oct
Expected goals
3.35
1.34 : 2.01
Favourite
53%
Ajka
Over 2.5 goals
65%
model chance
Both teams to score
65%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Best odds for Kaposvar vs Ajka

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet3.423.621.861.492.301.472.47Bet
22Bet2.704.222.111.432.631.432.61Bet
BC.Game2.963.802.001.492.481.432.50Bet
Betwinner2.704.222.111.432.631.432.61Bet
Melbet2.704.222.111.432.631.432.61Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Ajka to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Kaposvar vs Ajka prediction: Kaposvar 3.42 (1xBet), draw 4.22 (Betwinner), Ajka 2.11 (Betwinner).

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 99.7%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.49 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 2.63 (Betwinner); both teams to score yes pays 1.47 (1xBet) and no 2.61 (Betwinner).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

53%

Our prediction

Ajka to win
StrongExpected goals 1.34 : 2.01+11% against the best price
Double chanceKaposvar or Ajka (no draw)
77% chance1.20
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
65% chance1.49
BTTSBoth teams to score
65% chance1.47
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
85% chance1.18fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-2
10% chance10.53fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Ajka, full-time Ajka
34% chance2.98fair

Kaposvar vs Ajka prediction

Our Kaposvar vs Ajka prediction and pick

The Kaposvar vs Ajka prediction leans to Ajka: 53% against 25% for Kaposvar, with 23% left for the draw, in the Magyar Kupa on Tuesday, 27 October 2026.

Kaposvar are expected to score 1.34 and Ajka 2.01, so the total line is 3.35 goals; over 2.5 lands at 65% and BTTS at 65%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Ajka to win is the main selection, rated 53%. The best price in our comparison is 2.11 at Betwinner, which implies 47%, so the model sits 5 points above the market.

That gap is worth 11% on a flat stake, which makes the pick a value bet as well as a probable outcome.

For a safer line, kaposvar or Ajka (no draw) covers 77% of outcomes at 1.20.

Goals forecast for Kaposvar vs Ajka with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 85%, over 2.5 at 65%, over 3.5 at 43%; under 2.5 is 36% and under 3.5 is 57%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 65%, best priced 1.49 at BC.Game.

Both teams to score is 65%: Kaposvar find the net in 74% of simulated matches and Ajka in 87%. Kaposvar keep a clean sheet 13% of the time and Ajka 26%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 65%.

Correct score: 1-2 leads at 9.5%, then 1-1 at 9.4% and 0-2 at 7.1%.

With the top scoreline at 9.5%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Kaposvar vs Ajka; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Ajka, full-time Ajka leads at 34%. A goal before the break is rated 78%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Kaposvar vs Ajka

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 25% / 23% / 53% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Kaposvar to win25%3.42
Draw23%4.22
Ajka to win53%2.11
Kaposvar, draw no bet32%fair 3.13
Ajka, draw no bet68%fair 1.47

Double chance

Kaposvar or draw47%1.76
Ajka or draw75%1.41
Kaposvar or Ajka (no draw)77%1.20

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals85%fair 1.18
Over 2.5 goals65%1.49
Over 3.5 goals43%fair 2.32
Over 4.5 goals25%fair 4.05
Under 1.5 goals15%fair 6.54
Under 2.5 goals36%2.63
Under 3.5 goals57%fair 1.76

BTTS

Both teams to score65%1.47
Not both teams to score35%2.61

Halves

First-half goal78%fair 1.28
Over 1.5 first-half goals45%fair 2.25
Second-half goal84%fair 1.19

Team goals

Kaposvar to score74%fair 1.36
Ajka to score87%fair 1.15
Kaposvar clean sheet13%fair 7.46
Ajka clean sheet26%fair 3.82
Kaposvar to win to nil12%fair 8.13
Ajka to win to nil24%fair 4.15

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-29.5%
1-19.4%
0-27.1%
0-17.1%
2-26.4%
1-36.4%

Half-time / full-time

Ajka / Ajka33.6%
Draw / Ajka15.9%
Kaposvar / Kaposvar14.6%
Draw / Draw11.4%
Draw / Kaposvar8.7%

Questions about Kaposvar vs Ajka

Who will win Kaposvar vs Ajka?

The model gives Ajka the best chance at 53%, with the draw at 23%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

Kaposvar vs Ajka correct score: what does the model say?

1-2 is the most likely scoreline at 9.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 65% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Kaposvar vs Ajka?

The BTTS yes line is rated 65%. Kaposvar find the net in 74% of simulated matches and Ajka in 87%.

When is Kaposvar vs Ajka and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 11:30 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Kaposvar v AjkaAjka to win, 53%
2.11Bet