Guatemala Liga Nacional
MixcoHomeDWDWD
0:0Half-time 0:0
XelajúAwayLWLWD422731
Mixco winDrawXelajú win
MixcoHomeDWDWDXelajúAwayLWLWD- Kick-off Thu 29 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.72 1.48 : 1.24
- Favourite
- 42% Mixco
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 56% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Mixco vs Xelajú odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.13 | 3.28 | 3.00 | 1.84 | 1.83 | 1.68 | 2.02 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.91 | 3.65 | 3.65 | 1.81 | 2.00 | 1.82 | 1.93 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.88 | 3.50 | 3.55 | 1.82 | 1.90 | 1.67 | 2.00 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.91 | 3.65 | 3.65 | 1.81 | 2.00 | 1.82 | 1.93 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.91 | 3.65 | 3.65 | 1.81 | 2.00 | 1.74 | 2.02 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Mixco to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Mixco vs Xelajú are 2.13 for Mixco at 1xBet, 3.65 for the draw at 22Bet and 3.65 for Xelajú at 22Bet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 98.3%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.84 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.00 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.82 (22Bet) and no 2.02 (Melbet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
73%
Our prediction
Mixco or Xelajú (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
51% chance1.84
BTTSBoth teams to score
56% chance1.82
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
76% chance1.32fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.26fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Mixco, full-time Mixco
26% chance3.91fair
First halfFirst-half goal
71% chance1.42fair
Mixco vs Xelajú prediction
Mixco vs Xelajú prediction and best bet
Mixco are marginally ahead in the Mixco vs Xelajú prediction, rated 42% to win this Guatemala Liga Nacional match on Thursday, 29 October 2026. Xelajú sit at 31% and the draw at 27%.
The goal expectancy is 2.72 in total, split 1.48 to Mixco and 1.24 to Xelajú. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 51% and both teams to score 56%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Mixco vs Xelajú is mixco or Xelajú (no draw), a 73% chance. Betwinner offer the top price at 1.25. That price implies 80%, 7 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Over the last 5 matches Mixco stand at 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Xelajú show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
Mixco vs Xelajú goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Under 2.5 goals is rated 49% and under 3.5 71%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 76% and over 2.5 at 51%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 51%; 1xBet pay 1.84.
BTTS yes stands at 56%. Mixco score in 77% of simulations against a 23% clean sheet for Xelajú; Xelajú score in 71% while Mixco shut them out 29% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Mixco vs Xelajú: 1-1 (12.1%), 1-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (8.9%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.1% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Mixco, full-time Mixco leads at 26%. A goal before the break is rated 71%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Mixco vs Xelajú
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Mixco vs Xelajú, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Mixco to win42%2.13
Draw27%3.65
Xelajú to win31%3.65
Mixco, draw no bet57%fair 1.74
Xelajú, draw no bet43%fair 2.35
Double chance
Mixco or draw69%1.29
Xelajú or draw58%1.83
Mixco or Xelajú (no draw)73%1.25
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals76%fair 1.32
Over 2.5 goals51%1.84
Over 3.5 goals29%fair 3.45
Over 4.5 goals14%fair 7.14
Under 1.5 goals25%fair 4.08
Under 2.5 goals49%2.00
Under 3.5 goals71%fair 1.41
BTTS
Both teams to score56%1.82
Not both teams to score44%2.02
Halves
First-half goal71%fair 1.42
Over 1.5 first-half goals35%fair 2.89
Second-half goal78%fair 1.29
Team goals
Mixco to score77%fair 1.30
Xelajú to score71%fair 1.41
Mixco clean sheet29%fair 3.46
Xelajú clean sheet23%fair 4.39
Mixco to win to nil27%fair 3.76
Xelajú to win to nil21%fair 4.78
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.1%
1-09.7%
2-18.9%
0-18.2%
1-27.5%
2-07.2%
Half-time / full-time
Mixco / Mixco25.6%
Xelajú / Xelajú18.3%
Draw / Draw15.2%
Draw / Mixco14.7%
Draw / Xelajú11.5%
Questions about Mixco vs Xelajú
Who will win Mixco vs Xelajú?
The model gives Mixco the best chance at 42%, with the draw at 27%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Mixco vs Xelajú correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.1%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 51%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Mixco vs Xelajú?
The BTTS yes line is rated 56%. Mixco find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Xelajú in 71%.
When is Mixco vs Xelajú and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 17:00 UTC on Thursday, 29 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.