Guatemala Liga Nacional
MarquenseHomeDDWLD
0:0Half-time 0:0
GuastatoyaAwayLDDLD582616
Marquense winDrawGuastatoya win
MarquenseHomeDDWLDGuastatoyaAwayLDDLD- Kick-off Fri 30 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.23 1.54 : 0.69
- Favourite
- 58% Marquense
- Over 2.5 goals
- 37% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 41% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Marquense vs Guastatoya odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.60 | 3.36 | 5.35 | 2.29 | 1.53 | 2.20 | 1.57 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.70 | 3.50 | 5.14 | 2.36 | 1.55 | 2.46 | 1.51 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.63 | 3.40 | 5.20 | 2.28 | 1.57 | 2.16 | 1.58 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.70 | 3.50 | 5.14 | 2.36 | 1.55 | 2.46 | 1.51 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.70 | 3.50 | 5.14 | 2.46 | 1.51 | 2.27 | 1.59 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Marquense to win partner prices
22Bet pay the best Marquense price at 1.70, 22Bet lead the draw at 3.50 and 1xBet have Guastatoya longest at 5.35.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 94.1%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.46 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.57 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 2.46 (22Bet) and no 1.59 (Melbet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
58%
Our prediction
Marquense to win
Double chanceMarquense or draw
84% chance1.14
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
63% chance1.57
BTTSNot both teams to score
59% chance1.59
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
65% chance1.53fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
17% chance6.02fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Marquense, full-time Marquense
36% chance2.81fair
Marquense vs Guastatoya prediction
Our Marquense vs Guastatoya prediction and pick
The Marquense vs Guastatoya prediction leans to Marquense: 58% against 16% for Guastatoya, with 26% left for the draw, in the Guatemala Liga Nacional on Friday, 30 October 2026.
Expected goals are 1.54 for Marquense and 0.69 for Guastatoya, a total of 2.23, which puts over 2.5 goals at 37% and both teams to score at 41%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Marquense to win is the main selection, rated 58%. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.70. That price implies 59%, 1 points over the model figure.
For a safer line, marquense or draw covers 84% of outcomes at 1.14.
Form check: Marquense have won 1 of their last 5 with 5 scored and 6 conceded, Guastatoya 0 of 5 scoring 3 and conceding 7.
A low-scoring Marquense vs Guastatoya? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 63% and under 3.5 81%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 65% and over 2.5 at 37%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 63%; BC.Game pay 1.57.
The chance of both teams scoring is 41%, built from Marquense scoring in 79% of runs and Guastatoya in 50%; clean sheets come at 50% for Marquense and 21% for Guastatoya.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 16.6%, followed by 2-0 (12.8%) and 1-1 (11.4%).
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Marquense, full-time Marquense leads at 36%. A goal before the break is rated 63%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Marquense vs Guastatoya
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 58% / 26% / 16% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Marquense to win58%1.70
Draw26%3.50
Guastatoya to win16%5.35
Marquense, draw no bet78%fair 1.28
Guastatoya, draw no bet22%fair 4.63
Double chance
Marquense or draw84%1.14
Guastatoya or draw42%2.08
Marquense or Guastatoya (no draw)75%1.28
Goals
Over 0.5 goals89%fair 1.12
Over 1.5 goals65%fair 1.53
Over 2.5 goals37%2.46
Over 3.5 goals19%fair 5.35
Over 4.5 goals8%fair 13.16
Under 1.5 goals35%fair 2.88
Under 2.5 goals63%1.57
Under 3.5 goals81%fair 1.23
BTTS
Both teams to score41%2.46
Not both teams to score59%1.59
Halves
First-half goal63%fair 1.58
Over 1.5 first-half goals27%fair 3.76
Second-half goal71%fair 1.41
Team goals
Marquense to score79%fair 1.27
Guastatoya to score50%fair 2.01
Marquense clean sheet50%fair 1.99
Guastatoya clean sheet21%fair 4.67
Marquense to win to nil46%fair 2.17
Guastatoya to win to nil15%fair 6.76
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-016.6%
2-012.8%
1-111.4%
0-010.8%
2-18.8%
0-17.4%
Half-time / full-time
Marquense / Marquense35.6%
Draw / Marquense20.1%
Draw / Draw17.8%
Guastatoya / Guastatoya8.8%
Draw / Guastatoya7.1%
Questions about Marquense vs Guastatoya
Who is favourite in Marquense vs Guastatoya?
The model gives Marquense the best chance at 58%, with the draw at 26%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
Marquense vs Guastatoya correct score: what does the model say?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 16.6%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 37% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Marquense vs Guastatoya?
The BTTS yes line is rated 41%. Marquense find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Guastatoya in 50%.
What time does Marquense vs Guastatoya kick off?
Kick-off is 02:10 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.