Guatemala Liga Nacional
MixcoHomeDWDWD
0:0Half-time 0:0
MunicipalAwayDDLWL333037
Mixco winDrawMunicipal win
MixcoHomeDWDWDMunicipalAwayDDLWL- Kick-off Wed 21 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.74 1.31 : 1.43
- Favourite
- 38% Municipal
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 56% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Mixco vs Municipal odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.86 | 2.97 | 2.37 | 1.85 | 1.82 | 1.65 | 2.07 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Municipal to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Mixco vs Municipal are 2.86 for Mixco at 1xBet, 2.97 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.37 for Municipal at 1xBet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 90.2%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.85 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.82 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.65 (1xBet) and no 2.07 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
70%
Our prediction
Mixco or Municipal (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
52% chance1.85
BTTSBoth teams to score
56% chance1.65
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
76% chance1.32fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.26fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Municipal, full-time Municipal
24% chance4.22fair
First halfFirst-half goal
71% chance1.41fair
Mixco vs Municipal prediction
Our Mixco vs Municipal prediction and pick
Nothing separates the sides in the Mixco vs Municipal prediction for Wednesday, 21 October 2026: 33% home, 30% draw and 38% away in the Guatemala Liga Nacional. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
Mixco are expected to score 1.31 and Municipal 1.43, so the total line is 2.74 goals; over 2.5 lands at 52% and BTTS at 56%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is mixco or Municipal (no draw) at 70%. The best price in our comparison is 1.30 at 1xBet, which implies 77%, so the model sits 7 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Mixco vs Municipal.
Over the last 5 matches Mixco stand at 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Municipal show 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
Mixco vs Municipal goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Under 2.5 goals is rated 48% and under 3.5 71%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 76% and over 2.5 at 52%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 52%; 1xBet pay 1.85.
BTTS yes stands at 56%. Mixco score in 73% of simulations against a 27% clean sheet for Municipal; Municipal score in 76% while Mixco shut them out 24% of the time.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.1%, then 0-1 at 9.2% and 1-2 at 8.6%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.1% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Municipal, full-time Municipal leads at 24%. A goal before the break is rated 71%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Mixco vs Municipal
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Mixco vs Municipal, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Mixco to win33%2.86
Draw30%2.97
Municipal to win38%2.37
Mixco, draw no bet46%fair 2.16
Municipal, draw no bet54%fair 1.86
Double chance
Mixco or draw62%1.46
Municipal or draw68%1.32
Mixco or Municipal (no draw)70%1.30
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals76%fair 1.32
Over 2.5 goals52%1.85
Over 3.5 goals30%fair 3.39
Over 4.5 goals14%fair 6.99
Under 1.5 goals24%fair 4.15
Under 2.5 goals48%1.82
Under 3.5 goals71%fair 1.42
BTTS
Both teams to score56%1.65
Not both teams to score44%2.07
Halves
First-half goal71%fair 1.41
Over 1.5 first-half goals35%fair 2.87
Second-half goal78%fair 1.29
Team goals
Mixco to score73%fair 1.37
Municipal to score76%fair 1.31
Mixco clean sheet24%fair 4.18
Municipal clean sheet27%fair 3.70
Mixco to win to nil22%fair 4.55
Municipal to win to nil25%fair 4.03
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.1%
0-19.2%
1-28.6%
1-08.5%
2-17.9%
0-26.6%
Half-time / full-time
Municipal / Municipal23.7%
Mixco / Mixco20.1%
Draw / Draw15.1%
Draw / Municipal13.9%
Draw / Mixco12.3%
Questions about Mixco vs Municipal
Who will win Mixco vs Municipal?
The model gives Municipal the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 30%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Mixco vs Municipal correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.1%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 52% backs the same picture with less variance.
Mixco vs Municipal both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 56%. Mixco find the net in 73% of simulated matches and Municipal in 76%.
When do Mixco play Municipal?
Mixco vs Municipal starts at 21:00 UTC on Wednesday, 21 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.