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Live 31 UTC
Guatemala Liga Nacional Round 17 Thursday, 29 October 2026 FT
MalacatecoHomeWLWDL
0:2Half-time 0:1
AuroraAwayWWDWL
582418
Malacateco winDrawAurora win
Kick-off
Thu 29 Oct
Expected goals
2.74
1.83 : 0.91
Favourite
58%
Malacateco
Over 2.5 goals
51%
model chance
Both teams to score
51%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Malacateco vs Aurora betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.583.704.861.821.851.801.87Bet
22Bet1.643.755.211.971.832.021.74Bet
BC.Game1.563.755.201.831.891.821.82Bet
Betwinner1.543.785.121.801.871.821.85Bet
Melbet1.643.755.211.971.831.931.82Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Malacateco to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Malacateco vs Aurora are 1.64 for Malacateco at 22Bet, 3.78 for the draw at Betwinner and 5.21 for Aurora at 22Bet.

The best-price payout across the three results is 93.6%, several points better than any single book offers here.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.97 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.89 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 2.02 (22Bet) and no 1.87 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

58%

Our prediction

Malacateco to win
StrongExpected goals 1.83 : 0.91-4.5% against the best price
Double chanceMalacateco or draw
83% chance1.14
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
51% chance1.97
BTTSBoth teams to score
51% chance2.02
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
76% chance1.32fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
12% chance8.47fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Malacateco, full-time Malacateco
37% chance2.67fair

Malacateco vs Aurora prediction

Malacateco vs Aurora prediction, who wins and at what price

Malacateco vs Aurora prediction for the Guatemala Liga Nacional on Thursday, 29 October 2026: the model makes Malacateco a narrow favourite at 58%, with the draw at 24% and Aurora at 18%.

Malacateco are expected to score 1.83 and Aurora 0.91, so the total line is 2.74 goals; over 2.5 lands at 51% and BTTS at 51%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for Malacateco vs Aurora is malacateco to win, a 58% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.64 at 22Bet, which implies 61%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Malacateco vs Aurora.

Malacateco or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 83% chance, priced 1.14.

Over the last 5 matches Malacateco stand at 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Aurora show 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats in 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Malacateco vs Aurora

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 76%, over 2.5 at 51%, over 3.5 at 30%; under 2.5 is 49% and under 3.5 is 71%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 51%, best priced 1.97 at 22Bet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 51%, built from Malacateco scoring in 84% of runs and Aurora in 60%; clean sheets come at 40% for Malacateco and 16% for Aurora.

Correct score: 1-0 leads at 11.8%, then 2-0 at 10.8% and 1-1 at 10.8%.

With the top scoreline at 11.8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Malacateco vs Aurora; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Malacateco, full-time Malacateco is the top combination at 37%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 71%.

Every market rated for Malacateco vs Aurora

The grid built from 1.83 and 0.91 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Malacateco to win58%1.64
Draw24%3.78
Aurora to win18%5.21
Malacateco, draw no bet77%fair 1.30
Aurora, draw no bet23%fair 4.33

Double chance

Malacateco or draw83%1.14
Aurora or draw42%2.18
Malacateco or Aurora (no draw)76%1.24

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals76%fair 1.32
Over 2.5 goals51%1.97
Over 3.5 goals30%fair 3.39
Over 4.5 goals14%fair 6.99
Under 1.5 goals24%fair 4.13
Under 2.5 goals49%1.89
Under 3.5 goals71%fair 1.42

BTTS

Both teams to score51%2.02
Not both teams to score49%1.87

Halves

First-half goal71%fair 1.41
Over 1.5 first-half goals35%fair 2.87
Second-half goal78%fair 1.29

Team goals

Malacateco to score84%fair 1.19
Aurora to score60%fair 1.68
Malacateco clean sheet40%fair 2.48
Aurora clean sheet16%fair 6.25
Malacateco to win to nil37%fair 2.70
Aurora to win to nil15%fair 6.76

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-011.8%
2-010.8%
1-110.8%
2-19.8%
3-06.6%
0-06.5%

Half-time / full-time

Malacateco / Malacateco37.4%
Draw / Malacateco18.8%
Draw / Draw13.9%
Aurora / Aurora10%
Draw / Aurora7.2%

Questions about Malacateco vs Aurora

Who will win Malacateco vs Aurora?

The model gives Malacateco the best chance at 58%, with the draw at 24%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What scoreline is most likely in Malacateco vs Aurora?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 11.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 51% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Malacateco vs Aurora?

The BTTS yes line is rated 51%. Malacateco find the net in 84% of simulated matches and Aurora in 60%.

When is Malacateco vs Aurora and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 00:00 UTC on Thursday, 29 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Malacateco v AuroraMalacateco to win, 58%
1.64Bet