Cobán ImperialHomeLWLWW
MarquenseAwayDDWLD
Cobán ImperialHomeLWLWW
MarquenseAwayDDWLD| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.70 | 3.42 | 4.37 | 1.81 | 1.86 | 1.75 | 1.93 | Bet | |
| 1.74 | 3.55 | 4.70 | 1.89 | 1.91 | 1.87 | 1.87 | Bet | |
| 1.69 | 3.40 | 4.60 | 1.82 | 1.90 | 1.74 | 1.90 | Bet | |
| 1.69 | 3.34 | 4.63 | 1.82 | 1.85 | 1.76 | 1.91 | Bet | |
| 1.74 | 3.55 | 4.70 | 1.89 | 1.91 | 1.87 | 1.87 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Best 1X2 lines behind the Cobán Imperial vs Marquense prediction: Cobán Imperial 1.74 (Melbet), draw 3.55 (Melbet), Marquense 4.70 (Melbet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 93.5%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.89 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.91 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.87 (Melbet) and no 1.93 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
Our prediction
Cobán Imperial vs Marquense prediction for the Guatemala Liga Nacional on Sunday, 25 October 2026: the model makes Cobán Imperial a narrow favourite at 54%, with the draw at 26% and Marquense at 20%.
Expected goals are 1.71 for Cobán Imperial and 0.97 for Marquense, a total of 2.68, which puts over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams to score at 52%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Cobán Imperial vs Marquense is cobán Imperial to win, a 54% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.74 at Melbet, which implies 57%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Cobán Imperial vs Marquense.
Cobán Imperial or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 80% chance, priced 1.17.
Over the last 5 matches Cobán Imperial stand at 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Marquense show 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 75%, over 2.5 at 50%, over 3.5 at 28%; under 2.5 is 50% and under 3.5 is 72%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 50%, best priced 1.89 at Melbet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 52%, built from Cobán Imperial scoring in 82% of runs and Marquense in 62%; clean sheets come at 38% for Cobán Imperial and 18% for Marquense.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Cobán Imperial vs Marquense: 1-0 (11.7%), 1-1 (11.4%) and 2-0 (10%).
With the top scoreline at 11.7%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Cobán Imperial vs Marquense; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Cobán Imperial, full-time Cobán Imperial is the top combination at 34%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 70%.
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 54% / 26% / 20% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives Cobán Imperial the best chance at 54%, with the draw at 26%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 11.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 50% backs the same picture with less variance.
The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Cobán Imperial find the net in 82% of simulated matches and Marquense in 62%.
Cobán Imperial vs Marquense starts at 19:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.