Greece Cup
LarisaHomeLDDWW
1:0Half-time 0:0
OFIAwayLLWLW322840
Larisa winDrawOFI win
LarisaHomeLDDWWOFIAwayLLWLW- Kick-off Wed 28 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.68 1.27 : 1.41
- Favourite
- 39% OFI
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 56% model chance
- Prices compared
- 4 in the odds table
Larisa vs OFI odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.90 | 3.10 | 2.27 | 1.80 | 1.87 | 1.62 | 2.12 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 3.35 | 3.45 | 1.99 | 1.81 | 1.91 | 1.69 | 2.00 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 3.97 | 3.48 | 1.89 | 1.89 | 1.91 | 1.74 | 2.02 | Bet |
 Melbet | 3.97 | 3.48 | 1.89 | 1.89 | 1.91 | 1.74 | 2.02 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
OFI to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Larisa vs OFI are 3.97 for Larisa at Melbet, 3.48 for the draw at Melbet and 2.27 for OFI at 1xBet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 102%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.89 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.91 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.74 (Melbet) and no 2.12 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
72%
Our prediction
Larisa or OFI (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
50% chance1.91
BTTSBoth teams to score
56% chance1.74
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
75% chance1.34fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.13fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time OFI, full-time OFI
24% chance4.18fair
First halfFirst-half goal
70% chance1.43fair
Larisa vs OFI prediction
Larisa vs OFI prediction and best bet
The Larisa vs OFI prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Greece Cup on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 gives Larisa a 32% chance, OFI 39% and the draw 28%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.
Expected goals are 1.27 for Larisa and 1.41 for OFI, a total of 2.68, which puts over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams to score at 56%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is larisa or OFI (no draw) at 72%. Melbet offer the top price at 1.28. That price implies 78%, 7 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Larisa average 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded across their last 5, OFI 1.2 and 1.6 across 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Larisa vs OFI
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 75%, over 2.5 at 50%, over 3.5 at 28%; under 2.5 is 50% and under 3.5 is 72%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 50%, best priced 1.91 at BC.Game.
The chance of both teams scoring is 56%, built from Larisa scoring in 72% of runs and OFI in 76%; clean sheets come at 24% for Larisa and 28% for OFI.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.3%, followed by 0-1 (9.7%) and 1-0 (8.7%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.3% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time OFI, full-time OFI leads at 24%. A goal before the break is rated 70%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Larisa vs OFI
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 32% / 28% / 39% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Larisa to win32%3.97
Draw28%3.48
OFI to win39%2.27
Larisa, draw no bet45%fair 2.21
OFI, draw no bet55%fair 1.83
Double chance
Larisa or draw61%1.85
OFI or draw68%1.31
Larisa or OFI (no draw)72%1.28
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals75%fair 1.34
Over 2.5 goals50%1.89
Over 3.5 goals28%fair 3.55
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 7.46
Under 1.5 goals25%fair 3.97
Under 2.5 goals50%1.91
Under 3.5 goals72%fair 1.39
BTTS
Both teams to score56%1.74
Not both teams to score44%2.12
Halves
First-half goal70%fair 1.43
Over 1.5 first-half goals34%fair 2.94
Second-half goal77%fair 1.30
Team goals
Larisa to score72%fair 1.39
OFI to score76%fair 1.32
Larisa clean sheet24%fair 4.10
OFI clean sheet28%fair 3.56
Larisa to win to nil23%fair 4.44
OFI to win to nil26%fair 3.88
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.3%
0-19.7%
1-08.7%
1-28.7%
2-17.8%
0-06.9%
Half-time / full-time
OFI / OFI23.9%
Larisa / Larisa19.6%
Draw / Draw15.5%
Draw / OFI14.1%
Draw / Larisa12.2%
Questions about Larisa vs OFI
Larisa or OFI: which side does the model back?
The model gives OFI the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 28%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What scoreline is most likely in Larisa vs OFI?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.3%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 50%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Larisa vs OFI?
The BTTS yes line is rated 56%. Larisa find the net in 72% of simulated matches and OFI in 76%.
When is Larisa vs OFI and where is the result shown?
Larisa vs OFI starts at 17:30 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.