Greece Cup
PAOKHomeLWLWW
3:1Half-time 1:0
AEK Athens FCAwayLLWLL392932
PAOK winDrawAEK Athens FC win
PAOKHomeLWLWWAEK Athens FCAwayLLWLL- Kick-off Wed 28 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.53 1.34 : 1.19
- Favourite
- 39% PAOK
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 51% model chance
- Prices compared
- 3 in the odds table
PAOK vs AEK Athens FC odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.51 | 2.93 | 2.61 | 2.08 | 1.64 | 1.80 | 1.87 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.50 | 3.49 | 2.62 | 1.81 | 2.00 | 1.62 | 2.21 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.46 | 3.30 | 2.64 | 1.79 | 1.94 | 1.62 | 2.10 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
PAOK to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the PAOK vs AEK Athens FC prediction: PAOK 2.51 (1xBet), draw 3.49 (22Bet), AEK Athens FC 2.64 (BC.Game).
The best-price payout across the three results is 94%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.08 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.00 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.80 (1xBet) and no 2.21 (22Bet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
71%
Our prediction
PAOK or AEK Athens FC (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
54% chance2.00
BTTSBoth teams to score
51% chance1.80
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
72% chance1.39fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.87fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time PAOK, full-time PAOK
24% chance4.24fair
First halfFirst-half goal
68% chance1.47fair
PAOK vs AEK Athens FC prediction
Our PAOK vs AEK Athens FC prediction and pick
PAOK vs AEK Athens FC prediction for the Greece Cup on Wednesday, 28 October 2026: the model calls it close, PAOK 39%, draw 29%, AEK Athens FC 32%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.
Expected goals are 1.34 for PAOK and 1.19 for AEK Athens FC, a total of 2.53, which puts over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 51%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for PAOK vs AEK Athens FC is pAOK or AEK Athens FC (no draw), a 71% chance. At 1.28 with 1xBet the market prices it at 78%, against 71% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Over the last 5 matches PAOK stand at 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; AEK Athens FC show 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats in 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for PAOK vs AEK Athens FC
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 72%, over 2.5 at 46%, over 3.5 at 25%; under 2.5 is 54% and under 3.5 is 75%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 54%, best priced 2.00 at 22Bet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 51%, built from PAOK scoring in 74% of runs and AEK Athens FC in 70%; clean sheets come at 30% for PAOK and 26% for AEK Athens FC.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.7%, then 1-0 at 10.7% and 0-1 at 9.5%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time PAOK, full-time PAOK leads at 24%. A goal before the break is rated 68%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, PAOK vs AEK Athens FC
The grid built from 1.34 and 1.19 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
PAOK to win39%2.51
Draw29%3.49
AEK Athens FC to win32%2.64
PAOK, draw no bet55%fair 1.81
AEK Athens FC, draw no bet45%fair 2.23
Double chance
PAOK or draw68%1.45
AEK Athens FC or draw61%1.50
PAOK or AEK Athens FC (no draw)71%1.28
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals72%fair 1.39
Over 2.5 goals46%2.08
Over 3.5 goals25%fair 4.02
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 8.85
Under 1.5 goals28%fair 3.56
Under 2.5 goals54%2.00
Under 3.5 goals75%fair 1.33
BTTS
Both teams to score51%1.80
Not both teams to score49%2.21
Halves
First-half goal68%fair 1.47
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.17
Second-half goal75%fair 1.33
Team goals
PAOK to score74%fair 1.36
AEK Athens FC to score70%fair 1.44
PAOK clean sheet30%fair 3.29
AEK Athens FC clean sheet26%fair 3.82
PAOK to win to nil28%fair 3.57
AEK Athens FC to win to nil24%fair 4.15
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.7%
1-010.7%
0-19.5%
2-18.5%
0-08%
1-27.6%
Half-time / full-time
PAOK / PAOK23.6%
AEK Athens FC / AEK Athens FC19%
Draw / Draw16.6%
Draw / PAOK14.4%
Draw / AEK Athens FC12.2%
Questions about PAOK vs AEK Athens FC
Who will win PAOK vs AEK Athens FC?
The model gives PAOK the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 29%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
PAOK vs AEK Athens FC correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 46%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
PAOK vs AEK Athens FC both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 51%. PAOK find the net in 74% of simulated matches and AEK Athens FC in 70%.
When do PAOK play AEK Athens FC?
Kick-off is 18:30 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.