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2. Bundesliga Round 11 Friday, 6 November 2026 Kick-off
Dynamo DresdenHomeDWLWL
Fri 6 Nov
SpVgg Greuther FürthAwayDLWLW
522424
Dynamo Dresden winDrawSpVgg Greuther Fürth win
Kick-off
Fri 6 Nov
Expected goals
3.14
1.88 : 1.26
Favourite
52%
Dynamo Dresden
Over 2.5 goals
60%
model chance
Both teams to score
62%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Best odds for Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.833.903.741.552.351.512.39Bet
22Bet1.833.903.751.552.351.512.39Bet
BC.Game1.843.803.701.542.341.492.36Bet
Betwinner1.833.903.751.552.351.512.39Bet
Melbet1.833.903.751.552.351.512.39Bet
Stake1.823.903.801.532.351.532.30Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Dynamo Dresden to win partner prices

BC.Game pay the best Dynamo Dresden price at 1.84, 22Bet lead the draw at 3.90 and Stake have SpVgg Greuther Fürth longest at 3.80.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 94.1%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.55 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.35 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.53 (Stake) and no 2.39 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

52%

Our prediction

Dynamo Dresden to win
LeanExpected goals 1.88 : 1.26-5.2% against the best price
Double chanceDynamo Dresden or SpVgg Greuther Fürth (no draw)
76% chance1.23
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
60% chance1.55
BTTSBoth teams to score
62% chance1.53
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
82% chance1.22fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance9.71fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Dynamo Dresden, full-time Dynamo Dresden
33% chance3.07fair

Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth prediction

Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth prediction and best bet

Dynamo Dresden are a narrow favourite in the Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth prediction, rated 52% to win this 2. Bundesliga match on Friday, 6 November 2026. SpVgg Greuther Fürth sit at 25% and the draw at 24%.

Expected goals are 1.88 for Dynamo Dresden and 1.26 for SpVgg Greuther Fürth, a total of 3.14, which puts over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 62%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Dynamo Dresden to win is the main selection, rated 52%. The best price in our comparison is 1.84 at BC.Game, which implies 54%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

For a safer line, dynamo Dresden or SpVgg Greuther Fürth (no draw) covers 76% of outcomes at 1.23.

Over the last 5 matches Dynamo Dresden stand at 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; SpVgg Greuther Fürth show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.

Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

On the goal lines Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth reads 82% for over 1.5, 60% for over 2.5 and 38% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 40%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 60%, best priced 1.55 at 22Bet.

BTTS yes stands at 62%. Dynamo Dresden score in 85% of simulations against a 15% clean sheet for SpVgg Greuther Fürth; SpVgg Greuther Fürth score in 72% while Dynamo Dresden shut them out 28% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: 1-1 (10.3%), 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.1%).

With the top scoreline at 10.3%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Dynamo Dresden, full-time Dynamo Dresden is the top combination at 33%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 76%.

All markets, Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth

The grid built from 1.88 and 1.26 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Dynamo Dresden to win52%1.84
Draw24%3.90
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win25%3.80
Dynamo Dresden, draw no bet68%fair 1.48
SpVgg Greuther Fürth, draw no bet33%fair 3.08

Double chance

Dynamo Dresden or draw75%1.25
SpVgg Greuther Fürth or draw49%1.92
Dynamo Dresden or SpVgg Greuther Fürth (no draw)76%1.23

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals82%fair 1.22
Over 2.5 goals60%1.55
Over 3.5 goals38%fair 2.60
Over 4.5 goals21%fair 4.78
Under 1.5 goals18%fair 5.59
Under 2.5 goals40%2.35
Under 3.5 goals62%fair 1.62

BTTS

Both teams to score62%1.53
Not both teams to score38%2.39

Halves

First-half goal76%fair 1.32
Over 1.5 first-half goals41%fair 2.42
Second-half goal82%fair 1.22

Team goals

Dynamo Dresden to score85%fair 1.18
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to score72%fair 1.40
Dynamo Dresden clean sheet28%fair 3.52
SpVgg Greuther Fürth clean sheet15%fair 6.54
Dynamo Dresden to win to nil26%fair 3.83
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win to nil14%fair 7.14

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-110.3%
2-19.6%
1-08.1%
2-07.6%
1-26.5%
2-26.1%

Half-time / full-time

Dynamo Dresden / Dynamo Dresden32.6%
Draw / Dynamo Dresden16.1%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth / SpVgg Greuther Fürth14.6%
Draw / Draw12.4%
Draw / SpVgg Greuther Fürth9%

Questions about Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Dynamo Dresden or SpVgg Greuther Fürth: which side does the model back?

The model gives Dynamo Dresden the best chance at 52%, with the draw at 24%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What scoreline is most likely in Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.3%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 60%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 62%. Dynamo Dresden find the net in 85% of simulated matches and SpVgg Greuther Fürth in 72%.

What time does Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth kick off?

Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth starts at 17:30 UTC on Friday, 6 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Dynamo Dresden v SpVgg Greuther FürthDynamo Dresden to win, 52%
1.84Bet