Spaeri vs Gagra prediction

Spaeri vs Gagra prediction, who wins and at what price

The Spaeri vs Gagra prediction leans to Spaeri: 46% against 28% for Gagra, with 26% left for the draw, in the Erovnuli Liga on Friday, 23 October 2026.

Expected goals are 1.67 for Spaeri and 1.28 for Gagra, a total of 2.95, which puts over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 60%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is spaeri or Gagra (no draw) at 74%. The best price in our comparison is 1.23 at 1xBet, which implies 81%, so the model sits 7 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Spaeri vs Gagra.

Form check: Spaeri have won 0 of their last 5 with 5 scored and 10 conceded, Gagra 0 of 5 scoring 4 and conceding 9.

Spaeri vs Gagra goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Under 2.5 goals is rated 44% and under 3.5 66%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 79% and over 2.5 at 56%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 56%, best priced 1.65 at 1xBet.

BTTS yes stands at 60%. Spaeri score in 81% of simulations against a 19% clean sheet for Gagra; Gagra score in 72% while Spaeri shut them out 28% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.2%, followed by 2-1 (9.3%) and 1-0 (8.7%).

With the top scoreline at 11.2%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Spaeri vs Gagra; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Spaeri, full-time Spaeri is the top combination at 29%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 74%.