Erovnuli Liga
GagraHomeDLLDD
2:2Half-time 1:1
RustaviAwayLWWLD282646
Gagra winDrawRustavi win
GagraHomeDLLDDRustaviAwayLWWLD- Kick-off Sun 1 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.41 1.01 : 1.40
- Favourite
- 46% Rustavi
- Over 2.5 goals
- 43% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 48% model chance
- Prices compared
- 4 in the odds table
Best odds for Gagra vs Rustavi
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 3.58 | 3.30 | 1.90 | 2.02 | 1.68 | 1.82 | 1.85 | Bet |
 22Bet | 3.95 | 3.40 | 1.78 | 2.04 | 1.67 | 1.87 | 1.80 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 3.95 | 3.40 | 1.78 | 2.04 | 1.67 | 1.87 | 1.80 | Bet |
 Melbet | 3.95 | 3.40 | 1.78 | 2.04 | 1.67 | 1.87 | 1.80 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Rustavi to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Gagra vs Rustavi prediction: Gagra 3.95 (22Bet), draw 3.40 (22Bet), Rustavi 1.90 (1xBet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 93.1%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.04 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.68 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.87 (22Bet) and no 1.85 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
74%
Our prediction
Gagra or Rustavi (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
57% chance1.68
BTTSNot both teams to score
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
69% chance1.44fairWon
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.87fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Rustavi, full-time Rustavi
27% chance3.65fairLost
First halfFirst-half goal
66% chance1.51fairWon
Gagra vs Rustavi odds movement
Gagra win3.95unchanged
Draw3.40-0.11
Rustavi win1.90-0.13
Over 2.5 goals2.04-0.04
Under 2.5 goals1.68-0.05
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:59 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Gagra vs Rustavi prediction
Gagra vs Rustavi prediction, who wins and at what price
Gagra host Rustavi on Sunday, 1 November 2026 in the Erovnuli Liga, and the model has Rustavi at 46%, the draw at 26% and Gagra at 28%: that is the Gagra vs Rustavi prediction in one line.
Gagra are expected to score 1.01 and Rustavi 1.40, so the total line is 2.41 goals; over 2.5 lands at 43% and BTTS at 48%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Gagra vs Rustavi is gagra or Rustavi (no draw), a 74% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.24 at 1xBet, which implies 81%, so the model sits 7 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Form check: Gagra have won 0 of their last 5 with 4 scored and 9 conceded, Rustavi 2 of 5 scoring 6 and conceding 7.
A low-scoring Gagra vs Rustavi? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 69%, over 2.5 at 43%, over 3.5 at 22%; under 2.5 is 57% and under 3.5 is 78%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 57%; 1xBet pay 1.68.
The chance of both teams scoring is 48%, built from Gagra scoring in 64% of runs and Rustavi in 75%; clean sheets come at 25% for Gagra and 36% for Rustavi.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.7%, then 0-1 at 12.6% and 1-0 at 9.1%.
With the top scoreline at 12.7%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Gagra vs Rustavi; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Rustavi, full-time Rustavi is the top combination at 27%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 66%.
Every market rated for Gagra vs Rustavi
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 28% / 26% / 46% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Gagra to win28%3.95
Draw26%3.40
Rustavi to win46%1.90
Gagra, draw no bet37%fair 2.67
Rustavi, draw no bet63%fair 1.60
Double chance
Gagra or draw54%1.83
Rustavi or draw72%1.21
Gagra or Rustavi (no draw)74%1.24
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals69%fair 1.44
Over 2.5 goals43%2.04
Over 3.5 goals22%fair 4.48
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 10.31
Under 1.5 goals31%fair 3.27
Under 2.5 goals57%1.68
Under 3.5 goals78%fair 1.29
BTTS
Both teams to score48%1.87
Not both teams to score52%1.85
Halves
First-half goal66%fair 1.51
Over 1.5 first-half goals30%fair 3.39
Second-half goal73%fair 1.36
Team goals
Gagra to score64%fair 1.57
Rustavi to score75%fair 1.33
Gagra clean sheet25%fair 4.05
Rustavi clean sheet36%fair 2.75
Gagra to win to nil23%fair 4.41
Rustavi to win to nil34%fair 2.99
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-112.7%
0-112.6%
1-09.1%
0-09%
1-28.9%
0-28.8%
Half-time / full-time
Rustavi / Rustavi27.4%
Draw / Draw17.3%
Draw / Rustavi16.3%
Gagra / Gagra15.1%
Draw / Gagra10.5%
Questions about Gagra vs Rustavi
Who will win Gagra vs Rustavi?
The model gives Rustavi the best chance at 46%, with the draw at 26%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What scoreline is most likely in Gagra vs Rustavi?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 43%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Gagra vs Rustavi both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 48%. Gagra find the net in 64% of simulated matches and Rustavi in 75%.
When do Gagra play Rustavi?
Kick-off is 13:00 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.