Erovnuli Liga
RustaviHomeLWWLD
0:2Half-time 0:1
Dinamo TbilisiAwayWLWWD343036
Rustavi winDrawDinamo Tbilisi win
RustaviHomeLWWLDDinamo TbilisiAwayWLWWD- Kick-off Fri 23 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.46 1.20 : 1.26
- Favourite
- 36% Dinamo Tbilisi
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 51% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.84 | 3.12 | 2.29 | 2.01 | 1.69 | 1.77 | 1.90 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Dinamo Tbilisi to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Rustavi price at 2.84, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.12 and 1xBet have Dinamo Tbilisi longest at 2.29.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 90.1%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.01 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.69 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.77 (1xBet) and no 1.90 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
70%
Our prediction
Rustavi or Dinamo Tbilisi (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
56% chance1.69
BTTSBoth teams to score
51% chance1.77
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
70% chance1.42fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.75fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Dinamo Tbilisi, full-time Dinamo Tbilisi
22% chance4.55fair
First halfFirst-half goal
67% chance1.49fair
Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi prediction
Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi prediction, who wins and at what price
Nothing separates the sides in the Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi prediction for Friday, 23 October 2026: 34% home, 30% draw and 36% away in the Erovnuli Liga. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
Rustavi are expected to score 1.20 and Dinamo Tbilisi 1.26, so the total line is 2.46 goals; over 2.5 lands at 44% and BTTS at 51%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi is rustavi or Dinamo Tbilisi (no draw), a 70% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.27 at 1xBet, which implies 79%, so the model sits 9 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi.
A 30% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.
Rustavi average 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across their last 5, Dinamo Tbilisi 1.4 and 0.6 across 5.
A low-scoring Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 56% and under 3.5 77%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 70% and over 2.5 at 44%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 56%; 1xBet pay 1.69.
The chance of both teams scoring is 51%, built from Rustavi scoring in 70% of runs and Dinamo Tbilisi in 72%; clean sheets come at 28% for Rustavi and 30% for Dinamo Tbilisi.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.9%, followed by 0-1 (10.8%) and 1-0 (10.3%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Dinamo Tbilisi, full-time Dinamo Tbilisi leads at 22%. A goal before the break is rated 67%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 34% / 30% / 36% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Rustavi to win34%2.84
Draw30%3.12
Dinamo Tbilisi to win36%2.29
Rustavi, draw no bet48%fair 2.08
Dinamo Tbilisi, draw no bet52%fair 1.92
Double chance
Rustavi or draw64%1.49
Dinamo Tbilisi or draw66%1.32
Rustavi or Dinamo Tbilisi (no draw)70%1.27
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals70%fair 1.42
Over 2.5 goals44%2.01
Over 3.5 goals23%fair 4.27
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 9.62
Under 1.5 goals30%fair 3.38
Under 2.5 goals56%1.69
Under 3.5 goals77%fair 1.31
BTTS
Both teams to score51%1.77
Not both teams to score49%1.90
Halves
First-half goal67%fair 1.49
Over 1.5 first-half goals30%fair 3.29
Second-half goal74%fair 1.35
Team goals
Rustavi to score70%fair 1.43
Dinamo Tbilisi to score72%fair 1.40
Rustavi clean sheet28%fair 3.52
Dinamo Tbilisi clean sheet30%fair 3.32
Rustavi to win to nil26%fair 3.83
Dinamo Tbilisi to win to nil28%fair 3.61
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-112.9%
0-110.8%
1-010.3%
0-08.5%
1-28.1%
2-17.8%
Half-time / full-time
Dinamo Tbilisi / Dinamo Tbilisi22%
Rustavi / Rustavi20.1%
Draw / Draw17.2%
Draw / Dinamo Tbilisi13.8%
Draw / Rustavi13%
Questions about Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi
Who is favourite in Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi?
The model gives Dinamo Tbilisi the best chance at 36%, with the draw at 30%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 44% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi?
The BTTS yes line is rated 51%. Rustavi find the net in 70% of simulated matches and Dinamo Tbilisi in 72%.
When is Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 16:00 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.