Erovnuli Liga
SamguraliHomeLWWLD
0:0Half-time 0:0
SpaeriAwayLDLDD452431
Samgurali winDrawSpaeri win
SamguraliHomeLWWLDSpaeriAwayLDLDD- Kick-off Sat 31 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.08 1.70 : 1.38
- Favourite
- 45% Samgurali
- Over 2.5 goals
- 59% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 62% model chance
- Prices compared
- 4 in the odds table
Samgurali vs Spaeri odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.00 | 3.58 | 3.03 | 1.60 | 2.15 | 1.52 | 2.32 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.25 | 3.55 | 2.93 | 1.69 | 2.10 | 1.62 | 2.21 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.25 | 3.55 | 2.93 | 1.69 | 2.10 | 1.62 | 2.21 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.25 | 3.55 | 2.93 | 1.69 | 2.10 | 1.62 | 2.21 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Samgurali to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Samgurali vs Spaeri prediction: Samgurali 2.25 (22Bet), draw 3.58 (1xBet), Spaeri 3.03 (1xBet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 94.8%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.69 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.15 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.62 (22Bet) and no 2.32 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
77%
Our prediction
Samgurali or Spaeri (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
59% chance1.69
BTTSBoth teams to score
62% chance1.62
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
81% chance1.23fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.26fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Samgurali, full-time Samgurali
28% chance3.62fair
First halfFirst-half goal
75% chance1.33fair
Samgurali vs Spaeri prediction
Our Samgurali vs Spaeri prediction and pick
Samgurali are marginally ahead in the Samgurali vs Spaeri prediction, rated 45% to win this Erovnuli Liga match on Saturday, 31 October 2026. Spaeri sit at 31% and the draw at 24%.
Expected goals are 1.70 for Samgurali and 1.38 for Spaeri, a total of 3.08, which puts over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 62%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is samgurali or Spaeri (no draw) at 77%. The best price in our comparison is 1.27 at Betwinner, which implies 79%, so the model sits 2 points below the market.
Samgurali average 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 5, Spaeri 1.0 and 2.0 across 5.
How many goals in Samgurali vs Spaeri? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
On the goal lines Samgurali vs Spaeri reads 81% for over 1.5, 59% for over 2.5 and 37% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 41%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 59%, best priced 1.69 at 22Bet.
BTTS yes stands at 62%. Samgurali score in 82% of simulations against a 18% clean sheet for Spaeri; Spaeri score in 75% while Samgurali shut them out 25% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10.8%, followed by 2-1 (9.2%) and 1-0 (7.8%).
With the top scoreline at 10.8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Samgurali vs Spaeri; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Samgurali, full-time Samgurali leads at 28%. A goal before the break is rated 75%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Samgurali vs Spaeri
The grid built from 1.70 and 1.38 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Samgurali to win45%2.25
Draw24%3.58
Spaeri to win31%3.03
Samgurali, draw no bet59%fair 1.69
Spaeri, draw no bet41%fair 2.44
Double chance
Samgurali or draw69%1.38
Spaeri or draw55%1.64
Samgurali or Spaeri (no draw)77%1.27
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals81%fair 1.23
Over 2.5 goals59%1.69
Over 3.5 goals37%fair 2.70
Over 4.5 goals20%fair 5.05
Under 1.5 goals19%fair 5.32
Under 2.5 goals41%2.15
Under 3.5 goals63%fair 1.59
BTTS
Both teams to score62%1.62
Not both teams to score38%2.32
Halves
First-half goal75%fair 1.33
Over 1.5 first-half goals40%fair 2.48
Second-half goal82%fair 1.23
Team goals
Samgurali to score82%fair 1.22
Spaeri to score75%fair 1.34
Samgurali clean sheet25%fair 3.97
Spaeri clean sheet18%fair 5.46
Samgurali to win to nil23%fair 4.33
Spaeri to win to nil17%fair 5.95
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110.8%
2-19.2%
1-07.8%
1-27.4%
2-06.6%
0-16.3%
Half-time / full-time
Samgurali / Samgurali27.6%
Spaeri / Spaeri18.2%
Draw / Samgurali14.6%
Draw / Draw13%
Draw / Spaeri10.8%
Questions about Samgurali vs Spaeri
Who will win Samgurali vs Spaeri?
The model gives Samgurali the best chance at 45%, with the draw at 24%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Samgurali vs Spaeri correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 59%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Samgurali vs Spaeri both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 62%. Samgurali find the net in 82% of simulated matches and Spaeri in 75%.
When is Samgurali vs Spaeri and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 11:00 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.