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Live 23 UTC
Ligue 2 Round 9 Friday, 16 October 2026 FT
GrenobleHomeDLLLL
0:2Half-time 0:0
BoulogneAwayLDWDL
323434
Grenoble winDrawBoulogne win
Kick-off
Fri 16 Oct
Expected goals
2.08
1.03 : 1.05
Favourite
34%
Boulogne
Over 2.5 goals
35%
model chance
Both teams to score
44%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Grenoble vs Boulogne odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.803.002.602.561.472.081.67Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Boulogne to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Grenoble vs Boulogne prediction: Grenoble 2.80 (1xBet), draw 3.00 (1xBet), Boulogne 2.60 (1xBet).

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 93%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.56 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.47 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.08 (1xBet) and no 1.67 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

68%

Our prediction

Boulogne or draw
LeanExpected goals 1.03 : 1.05-6% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
65% chance1.47
BTTSNot both teams to score
56% chance1.67
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
62% chance1.63fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
14% chance7.41fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Draw, full-time Draw
21% chance4.81fair
First halfFirst-half goal
61% chance1.64fair

Grenoble vs Boulogne prediction

Grenoble vs Boulogne prediction and best bet

Nothing separates the sides in the Grenoble vs Boulogne prediction for Friday, 16 October 2026: 32% home, 34% draw and 34% away in the Ligue 2. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.

Grenoble are expected to score 1.03 and Boulogne 1.05, so the total line is 2.08 goals; over 2.5 lands at 35% and BTTS at 44%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is boulogne or draw at 68%. At 1.39 with 1xBet the market prices it at 72%, against 68% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

A 34% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.

Over the last 5 matches Grenoble stand at 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Boulogne show 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in 5.

A low-scoring Grenoble vs Boulogne? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 62%, over 2.5 at 35%, over 3.5 at 16%; under 2.5 is 65% and under 3.5 is 84%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 65%; 1xBet pay 1.47.

The chance of both teams scoring is 44%, built from Grenoble scoring in 64% of runs and Boulogne in 65%; clean sheets come at 35% for Grenoble and 36% for Boulogne.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 13.5%, then 0-1 at 13.1% and 1-0 at 12.9%.

With the top scoreline at 13.5%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Grenoble vs Boulogne; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Draw, full-time Draw is the top combination at 21%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 61%.

All markets, Grenoble vs Boulogne

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 32% / 34% / 34% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Grenoble to win32%2.80
Draw34%3.00
Boulogne to win34%2.60
Grenoble, draw no bet49%fair 2.04
Boulogne, draw no bet51%fair 1.96

Double chance

Grenoble or draw66%1.45
Boulogne or draw68%1.39
Grenoble or Boulogne (no draw)66%1.35

Goals

Over 0.5 goals88%fair 1.14
Over 1.5 goals62%fair 1.63
Over 2.5 goals35%2.56
Over 3.5 goals16%fair 6.33
Over 4.5 goals6%fair 16.67
Under 1.5 goals39%fair 2.60
Under 2.5 goals65%1.47
Under 3.5 goals84%fair 1.19

BTTS

Both teams to score44%2.08
Not both teams to score56%1.67

Halves

First-half goal61%fair 1.64
Over 1.5 first-half goals24%fair 4.15
Second-half goal68%fair 1.47

Team goals

Grenoble to score64%fair 1.56
Boulogne to score65%fair 1.54
Grenoble clean sheet35%fair 2.86
Boulogne clean sheet36%fair 2.80
Grenoble to win to nil30%fair 3.36
Boulogne to win to nil31%fair 3.22

Odd or even

Odd number of goals49%fair 2.03
Even number of goals51%fair 1.97

Most likely scores

1-113.5%
0-113.1%
1-012.9%
0-012.5%
1-27.1%
2-17%

Half-time / full-time

Draw / Draw20.8%
Boulogne / Boulogne20%
Grenoble / Grenoble19.4%
Draw / Boulogne13.9%
Draw / Grenoble13.6%

Questions about Grenoble vs Boulogne

Grenoble or Boulogne: which side does the model back?

The model gives Boulogne the best chance at 34%, with the draw at 34%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

Grenoble vs Boulogne correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.5%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 35%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Grenoble vs Boulogne?

The BTTS yes line is rated 44%. Grenoble find the net in 64% of simulated matches and Boulogne in 65%.

What time does Grenoble vs Boulogne kick off?

Kick-off is 18:00 UTC on Friday, 16 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Grenoble v BoulogneBoulogne or draw, 68%
1.39Bet