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Live 33 UTC
Veikkausliiga Championship Group - 29 Saturday, 24 October 2026 FT
GnistanHomeDLLLD
3:4Half-time 1:3
AC OuluAwayLWWDW
522424
Gnistan winDrawAC Oulu win
Kick-off
Sat 24 Oct
Expected goals
2.80
1.71 : 1.09
Favourite
52%
Gnistan
Over 2.5 goals
53%
model chance
Both teams to score
55%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Gnistan vs AC Oulu odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.033.623.321.712.061.592.21Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Gnistan to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Gnistan price at 2.03, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.62 and 1xBet have AC Oulu longest at 3.32.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 93.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.71 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.06 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.59 (1xBet) and no 2.21 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

52%

Our prediction

Gnistan to win
LeanExpected goals 1.71 : 1.09+4.5% against the best price
Double chanceGnistan or draw
76% chance1.30
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
53% chance1.71
BTTSBoth teams to score
55% chance1.59
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
77% chance1.30fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance8.85fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Gnistan, full-time Gnistan
32% chance3.12fair

Gnistan v AC Oulu head to head

1Gnistan wins
0Draws
0AC Oulu wins
  • 12 Sep 26AC Oulu1:2Gnistan

1 meeting since coverage began, 3 goals in total: Gnistan scored 2, AC Oulu scored 1.

Gnistan vs AC Oulu prediction

Our Gnistan vs AC Oulu prediction and pick

The Gnistan vs AC Oulu prediction leans to Gnistan: 52% against 24% for AC Oulu, with 24% left for the draw, in the Veikkausliiga on Saturday, 24 October 2026.

Gnistan are expected to score 1.71 and AC Oulu 1.09, so the total line is 2.80 goals; over 2.5 lands at 53% and BTTS at 55%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is gnistan to win at 52%. At 2.03 with 1xBet the market prices it at 49%, against 52% from the model.

That gap is worth 4.5% on a flat stake, which makes the pick a value bet as well as a probable outcome.

For a safer line, gnistan or draw covers 76% of outcomes at 1.30.

Form check: Gnistan have won 0 of their last 5 with 4 scored and 10 conceded, AC Oulu 3 of 5 scoring 11 and conceding 8.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Gnistan vs AC Oulu

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 77%, over 2.5 at 53%, over 3.5 at 31%; under 2.5 is 47% and under 3.5 is 69%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; 1xBet pay 1.71.

The chance of both teams scoring is 55%, built from Gnistan scoring in 82% of runs and AC Oulu in 66%; clean sheets come at 34% for Gnistan and 18% for AC Oulu.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Gnistan vs AC Oulu: 1-1 (11.3%), 1-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.7%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Gnistan, full-time Gnistan leads at 32%. A goal before the break is rated 72%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Gnistan vs AC Oulu

The grid built from 1.71 and 1.09 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Gnistan to win52%2.03
Draw24%3.62
AC Oulu to win24%3.32
Gnistan, draw no bet68%fair 1.47
AC Oulu, draw no bet32%fair 3.13

Double chance

Gnistan or draw76%1.30
AC Oulu or draw49%1.73
Gnistan or AC Oulu (no draw)76%1.26

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals77%fair 1.30
Over 2.5 goals53%1.71
Over 3.5 goals31%fair 3.25
Over 4.5 goals15%fair 6.58
Under 1.5 goals23%fair 4.33
Under 2.5 goals47%2.06
Under 3.5 goals69%fair 1.45

BTTS

Both teams to score55%1.59
Not both teams to score45%2.21

Halves

First-half goal72%fair 1.40
Over 1.5 first-half goals36%fair 2.79
Second-half goal79%fair 1.27

Team goals

Gnistan to score82%fair 1.22
AC Oulu to score66%fair 1.51
Gnistan clean sheet34%fair 2.98
AC Oulu clean sheet18%fair 5.52
Gnistan to win to nil31%fair 3.24
AC Oulu to win to nil17%fair 6.02

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-111.3%
1-010.4%
2-19.7%
2-08.9%
0-16.6%
1-26.2%

Half-time / full-time

Gnistan / Gnistan32.1%
Draw / Gnistan16.9%
Draw / Draw14.2%
AC Oulu / AC Oulu13.6%
Draw / AC Oulu9%

Questions about Gnistan vs AC Oulu

Who will win Gnistan vs AC Oulu?

The model gives Gnistan the best chance at 52%, with the draw at 24%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What is the correct score prediction for Gnistan vs AC Oulu?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 53% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Gnistan vs AC Oulu?

The BTTS yes line is rated 55%. Gnistan find the net in 82% of simulated matches and AC Oulu in 66%.

When do Gnistan play AC Oulu?

Gnistan vs AC Oulu starts at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Gnistan v AC OuluGnistan to win, 52%
2.03Bet