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Live 23 UTC
FA Trophy 1/128-finals Saturday, 24 October 2026 FT
Bourne TownHomeWW
1:0Half-time 1:0
Banbury UnitedAwayWL
462232
Bourne Town winDrawBanbury United win
Kick-off
Sat 24 Oct
Expected goals
3.47
1.91 : 1.56
Favourite
46%
Bourne Town
Over 2.5 goals
67%
model chance
Both teams to score
67%
model chance
Prices compared
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awaiting lines

Bourne Town vs Banbury United betting odds by bookmaker

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

Bookmakers have not opened Bourne Town vs Banbury United yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.

78%

Our prediction

Bourne Town or Banbury United (no draw)
StrongExpected goals 1.91 : 1.56
1.28fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
67% chance1.49fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
67% chance1.49fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
86% chance1.16fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
9% chance10.75fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Bourne Town, full-time Bourne Town
29% chance3.48fair
First halfFirst-half goal
79% chance1.27fair

Bourne Town vs Banbury United prediction

Our Bourne Town vs Banbury United prediction and pick

Bourne Town vs Banbury United prediction for the FA Trophy on Saturday, 24 October 2026: the model makes Bourne Town marginally ahead at 46%, with the draw at 22% and Banbury United at 32%.

The goal expectancy is 3.47 in total, split 1.91 to Bourne Town and 1.56 to Banbury United. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 67% and both teams to score 67%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is bourne Town or Banbury United (no draw) at 78%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.

Goals forecast for Bourne Town vs Banbury United with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 86%, over 2.5 at 67%, over 3.5 at 46%; under 2.5 is 33% and under 3.5 is 54%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 67%.

BTTS yes stands at 67%. Bourne Town score in 85% of simulations against a 15% clean sheet for Banbury United; Banbury United score in 79% while Bourne Town shut them out 21% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 67%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 9.3%, followed by 2-1 (8.9%) and 1-2 (7.2%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.3% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Bourne Town, full-time Bourne Town is the top combination at 29%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 79%.

Every market for Bourne Town vs Banbury United

The grid built from 1.91 and 1.56 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Bourne Town to win46%fair 2.16
Draw22%fair 4.52
Banbury United to win32%fair 3.16
Bourne Town, draw no bet59%fair 1.68
Banbury United, draw no bet41%fair 2.46

Double chance

Bourne Town or draw68%fair 1.46
Banbury United or draw54%fair 1.86
Bourne Town or Banbury United (no draw)78%fair 1.28

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals86%fair 1.16
Over 2.5 goals67%fair 1.49
Over 3.5 goals46%fair 2.19
Over 4.5 goals27%fair 3.72
Under 1.5 goals14%fair 7.19
Under 2.5 goals33%fair 3.04
Under 3.5 goals54%fair 1.84

BTTS

Both teams to score67%fair 1.49
Not both teams to score33%fair 3.04

Halves

First-half goal79%fair 1.27
Over 1.5 first-half goals46%fair 2.16
Second-half goal85%fair 1.17

Team goals

Bourne Town to score85%fair 1.17
Banbury United to score79%fair 1.27
Bourne Town clean sheet21%fair 4.76
Banbury United clean sheet15%fair 6.76
Bourne Town to win to nil19%fair 5.18
Banbury United to win to nil14%fair 7.35

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-19.3%
2-18.9%
1-27.2%
2-26.9%
1-05.9%
2-05.7%

Half-time / full-time

Bourne Town / Bourne Town28.7%
Banbury United / Banbury United18.8%
Draw / Bourne Town14%
Draw / Draw11.3%
Draw / Banbury United10.4%

Questions about Bourne Town vs Banbury United

Bourne Town or Banbury United: which side does the model back?

The model gives Bourne Town the best chance at 46%, with the draw at 22%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What is the correct score prediction for Bourne Town vs Banbury United?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 67% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Bourne Town vs Banbury United?

The BTTS yes line is rated 67%. Bourne Town find the net in 85% of simulated matches and Banbury United in 79%.

When do Bourne Town play Banbury United?

Kick-off is 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Bourne Town v Banbury UnitedBourne Town or Banbury United (no draw), 78%
1.28fair