FA Cup
PlymouthHomeWLLWD
Sat 7 Nov
AlvechurchAwayWLWDW78148
Plymouth winDrawAlvechurch win
PlymouthHomeWLLWDAlvechurchAwayWLWDW- Kick-off Sat 7 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.45 2.68 : 0.77
- Favourite
- 78% Plymouth
- Over 2.5 goals
- 66% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 50% model chance
- Prices compared
- 3 in the odds table
Best odds for Plymouth vs Alvechurch
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 1.24 | 5.90 | 10.60 | 1.42 | 2.49 | 1.87 | 1.83 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.24 | 5.90 | 10.60 | 1.42 | 2.49 | 1.87 | 1.83 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.24 | 5.90 | 10.60 | 1.42 | 2.49 | 1.87 | 1.83 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Plymouth to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Plymouth vs Alvechurch prediction: Plymouth 1.24 (22Bet), draw 5.90 (22Bet), Alvechurch 10.60 (22Bet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 93.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.42 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 2.49 (Betwinner); both teams to score yes pays 1.87 (Melbet) and no 1.83 (Melbet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
78%
Our prediction
Plymouth to win
Double chancePlymouth or draw
92% chance1.02
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
66% chance1.42
BTTSBoth teams to score
50% chance1.87
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
86% chance1.17fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
11% chance8.77fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Plymouth, full-time Plymouth
55% chance1.83fair
Plymouth vs Alvechurch prediction
Plymouth vs Alvechurch prediction, who wins and at what price
Plymouth vs Alvechurch prediction for the FA Cup on Saturday, 7 November 2026: the model makes Plymouth the clear favourite at 78%, with the draw at 14% and Alvechurch at 8%.
Expected goals are 2.68 for Plymouth and 0.77 for Alvechurch, a total of 3.45, which puts over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams to score at 50%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Our main pick is plymouth to win at 78%. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.24. That price implies 81%, 3 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Plymouth vs Alvechurch.
Plymouth or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 92% chance, priced 1.02.
The draw sits at only 14%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Plymouth average 1.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across their last 5, Alvechurch 2.4 and 1.2 across 5.
Goals forecast for Plymouth vs Alvechurch with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 86%, over 2.5 at 66%, over 3.5 at 45%; under 2.5 is 34% and under 3.5 is 55%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 66%; Betwinner pay 1.42.
Both teams to score is 50%: Plymouth find the net in 93% of simulated matches and Alvechurch in 54%. Plymouth keep a clean sheet 46% of the time and Alvechurch 7%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Plymouth vs Alvechurch: 2-0 (11.4%), 3-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (8.8%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Plymouth, full-time Plymouth is the top combination at 55%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 79%.
All markets, Plymouth vs Alvechurch
The grid built from 2.68 and 0.77 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Plymouth to win78%1.24
Draw14%5.90
Alvechurch to win8%10.60
Plymouth, draw no bet91%fair 1.10
Alvechurch, draw no bet10%fair 10.53
Double chance
Plymouth or draw92%1.02
Alvechurch or draw23%3.79
Plymouth or Alvechurch (no draw)86%1.11
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals86%fair 1.17
Over 2.5 goals66%1.42
Over 3.5 goals45%fair 2.21
Over 4.5 goals27%fair 3.77
Under 1.5 goals14%fair 7.04
Under 2.5 goals34%2.49
Under 3.5 goals55%fair 1.82
BTTS
Both teams to score50%1.87
Not both teams to score50%1.83
Halves
First-half goal79%fair 1.27
Over 1.5 first-half goals46%fair 2.17
Second-half goal85%fair 1.18
Team goals
Plymouth to score93%fair 1.07
Alvechurch to score54%fair 1.86
Plymouth clean sheet46%fair 2.16
Alvechurch clean sheet7%fair 14.49
Plymouth to win to nil43%fair 2.35
Alvechurch to win to nil6%fair 15.87
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-011.4%
3-010.2%
2-18.8%
1-08.5%
3-17.8%
4-06.8%
Half-time / full-time
Plymouth / Plymouth54.7%
Draw / Plymouth19.7%
Draw / Draw8%
Alvechurch / Alvechurch4.4%
Alvechurch / Plymouth3.2%
Questions about Plymouth vs Alvechurch
Plymouth or Alvechurch: which side does the model back?
The model gives Plymouth the best chance at 78%, with the draw at 14%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
Plymouth vs Alvechurch correct score: what does the model say?
2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 11.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 66% backs the same picture with less variance.
Plymouth vs Alvechurch both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. Plymouth find the net in 93% of simulated matches and Alvechurch in 54%.
When do Plymouth play Alvechurch?
Kick-off is 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.