FA Cup
Oxford UnitedHomeDWDWD
Sat 7 Nov
StevenageAwayWLWLD482725
Oxford United winDrawStevenage win
Oxford UnitedHomeDWDWDStevenageAwayWLWLD- Kick-off Sat 7 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.57 1.52 : 1.05
- Favourite
- 48% Oxford United
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 52% model chance
- Prices compared
- 3 in the odds table
Best odds for Oxford United vs Stevenage
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 1.99 | 3.44 | 3.62 | 1.99 | 1.76 | 1.80 | 1.91 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.99 | 3.44 | 3.62 | 1.99 | 1.76 | 1.80 | 1.91 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.99 | 3.44 | 3.62 | 1.99 | 1.76 | 1.80 | 1.91 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Oxford United to win partner prices
22Bet pay the best Oxford United price at 1.99, 22Bet lead the draw at 3.44 and 22Bet have Stevenage longest at 3.62.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 93.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.99 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 1.76 (Betwinner); both teams to score yes pays 1.80 (Melbet) and no 1.91 (Melbet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
74%
Our prediction
Oxford United or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
53% chance1.76
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.80
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
73% chance1.38fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.20fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Oxford United, full-time Oxford United
29% chance3.44fair
First halfFirst-half goal
69% chance1.46fair
Oxford United vs Stevenage prediction
Oxford United vs Stevenage prediction, who wins and at what price
Oxford United vs Stevenage prediction for the FA Cup on Saturday, 7 November 2026: the model makes Oxford United marginally ahead at 48%, with the draw at 27% and Stevenage at 26%.
The goal expectancy is 2.57 in total, split 1.52 to Oxford United and 1.05 to Stevenage. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 47% and both teams to score 52%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for Oxford United vs Stevenage is oxford United or draw, a 74% chance. At 1.26 with Melbet the market prices it at 79%, against 74% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Oxford United vs Stevenage.
Oxford United average 1.0 goals scored and 0.6 conceded across their last 5, Stevenage 1.2 and 1.0 across 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Oxford United vs Stevenage
Under 2.5 goals is rated 53% and under 3.5 74%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 73% and over 2.5 at 47%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; Betwinner pay 1.76.
Both teams to score is 52%: Oxford United find the net in 78% of simulated matches and Stevenage in 65%. Oxford United keep a clean sheet 35% of the time and Stevenage 22%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.2%, then 1-0 at 11.6% and 2-1 at 9.3%.
With the top scoreline at 12.2%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Oxford United vs Stevenage; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Oxford United, full-time Oxford United leads at 29%. A goal before the break is rated 69%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Oxford United vs Stevenage
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 48% / 27% / 26% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Oxford United to win48%1.99
Draw27%3.44
Stevenage to win26%3.62
Oxford United, draw no bet65%fair 1.54
Stevenage, draw no bet35%fair 2.86
Double chance
Oxford United or draw74%1.26
Stevenage or draw52%1.76
Oxford United or Stevenage (no draw)73%1.28
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals73%fair 1.38
Over 2.5 goals47%1.99
Over 3.5 goals26%fair 3.89
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.47
Under 1.5 goals27%fair 3.66
Under 2.5 goals53%1.76
Under 3.5 goals74%fair 1.35
BTTS
Both teams to score52%1.80
Not both teams to score48%1.91
Halves
First-half goal69%fair 1.46
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.11
Second-half goal76%fair 1.32
Team goals
Oxford United to score78%fair 1.28
Stevenage to score65%fair 1.54
Oxford United clean sheet35%fair 2.86
Stevenage clean sheet22%fair 4.57
Oxford United to win to nil32%fair 3.11
Stevenage to win to nil20%fair 4.98
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.2%
1-011.6%
2-19.3%
2-08.8%
0-18%
0-07.7%
Half-time / full-time
Oxford United / Oxford United29.1%
Draw / Oxford United16.5%
Draw / Draw16%
Stevenage / Stevenage14.7%
Draw / Stevenage10%
Questions about Oxford United vs Stevenage
Who will win Oxford United vs Stevenage?
The model gives Oxford United the best chance at 48%, with the draw at 27%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in Oxford United vs Stevenage?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.2%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 47% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Oxford United vs Stevenage?
The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Oxford United find the net in 78% of simulated matches and Stevenage in 65%.
What time does Oxford United vs Stevenage kick off?
Oxford United vs Stevenage starts at 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.