FA Cup
Newport CountyHomeWDDLW
Sat 7 Nov
WalsallAwayWDWLW382735
Newport County winDrawWalsall win
Newport CountyHomeWDDLWWalsallAwayWDWLW- Kick-off Sat 7 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.71 1.38 : 1.33
- Favourite
- 38% Newport County
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 56% model chance
- Prices compared
- 3 in the odds table
Best odds for Newport County vs Walsall
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.63 | 1.87 | 1.87 | 1.67 | 2.08 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.63 | 1.87 | 1.87 | 1.67 | 2.08 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.63 | 1.87 | 1.87 | 1.67 | 2.08 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Newport County to win partner prices
22Bet pay the best Newport County price at 2.50, 22Bet lead the draw at 3.40 and 22Bet have Walsall longest at 2.63.
The best-price payout across the three results is 93%, several points better than any single book offers here.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.87 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.87 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.67 (22Bet) and no 2.08 (22Bet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
73%
Our prediction
Newport County or Walsall (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
51% chance1.87
BTTSBoth teams to score
56% chance1.67
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
75% chance1.33fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.20fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Newport County, full-time Newport County
23% chance4.44fair
First halfFirst-half goal
71% chance1.42fair
Newport County vs Walsall prediction
Newport County vs Walsall prediction and best bet
Newport County vs Walsall prediction for the FA Cup on Saturday, 7 November 2026: the model calls it close, Newport County 38%, draw 27%, Walsall 35%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.
Newport County are expected to score 1.38 and Walsall 1.33, so the total line is 2.71 goals; over 2.5 lands at 51% and BTTS at 56%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Newport County or Walsall (no draw) is the main selection, rated 73%. The best price in our comparison is 1.28 at Melbet, which implies 78%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Over the last 5 matches Newport County stand at 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Walsall show 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
Newport County vs Walsall goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
On the goal lines Newport County vs Walsall reads 75% for over 1.5, 51% for over 2.5 and 29% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 50%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 51%, best priced 1.87 at 22Bet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 56%, built from Newport County scoring in 75% of runs and Walsall in 74%; clean sheets come at 26% for Newport County and 25% for Walsall.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Newport County vs Walsall: 1-1 (12.2%), 1-0 (9.2%) and 0-1 (8.8%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Newport County, full-time Newport County is the top combination at 23%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 71%.
Every market for Newport County vs Walsall
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 38% / 27% / 35% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Newport County to win38%2.50
Draw27%3.40
Walsall to win35%2.63
Newport County, draw no bet52%fair 1.93
Walsall, draw no bet48%fair 2.07
Double chance
Newport County or draw65%1.44
Walsall or draw62%1.48
Newport County or Walsall (no draw)73%1.28
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals75%fair 1.33
Over 2.5 goals51%1.87
Over 3.5 goals29%fair 3.47
Over 4.5 goals14%fair 7.19
Under 1.5 goals25%fair 4.05
Under 2.5 goals50%1.87
Under 3.5 goals71%fair 1.40
BTTS
Both teams to score56%1.67
Not both teams to score44%2.08
Halves
First-half goal71%fair 1.42
Over 1.5 first-half goals34%fair 2.91
Second-half goal78%fair 1.29
Team goals
Newport County to score75%fair 1.34
Walsall to score74%fair 1.36
Newport County clean sheet26%fair 3.79
Walsall clean sheet25%fair 3.97
Newport County to win to nil24%fair 4.12
Walsall to win to nil23%fair 4.33
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.2%
1-09.2%
0-18.8%
2-18.4%
1-28.1%
0-06.7%
Half-time / full-time
Newport County / Newport County22.5%
Walsall / Walsall21%
Draw / Draw15.3%
Draw / Newport County13.5%
Draw / Walsall12.8%
Questions about Newport County vs Walsall
Newport County or Walsall: which side does the model back?
The model gives Newport County the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 27%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Newport County vs Walsall correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 51%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Newport County vs Walsall?
The BTTS yes line is rated 56%. Newport County find the net in 75% of simulated matches and Walsall in 74%.
When do Newport County play Walsall?
Kick-off is 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.