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Live 6 UTC
FA Cup 1/128-finals Saturday, 7 November 2026 Kick-off
ChesterfieldHomeDLDWL
Sat 7 Nov
Yeovil TownAwayDWLWL
661915
Chesterfield winDrawYeovil Town win
Kick-off
Sat 7 Nov
Expected goals
3.25
2.26 : 0.99
Favourite
66%
Chesterfield
Over 2.5 goals
63%
model chance
Both teams to score
57%
model chance
Prices compared
3
in the odds table

Best odds for Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
22Bet1.454.606.121.542.381.672.08Bet
Betwinner1.454.606.121.542.381.672.08Bet
Melbet1.454.606.121.542.381.672.08Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Chesterfield to win partner prices

22Bet pay the best Chesterfield price at 1.45, 22Bet lead the draw at 4.60 and 22Bet have Yeovil Town longest at 6.12.

The best-price payout across the three results is 93.4%, several points better than any single book offers here.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.54 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.38 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.67 (22Bet) and no 2.08 (22Bet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

66%

Our prediction

Chesterfield to win
BankerExpected goals 2.26 : 0.99-4.6% against the best price
Double chanceChesterfield or draw
85% chance1.10
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
63% chance1.54
BTTSBoth teams to score
57% chance1.67
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
84% chance1.20fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
10% chance10.10fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Chesterfield, full-time Chesterfield
44% chance2.28fair

Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town prediction

Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town prediction and best bet

Chesterfield host Yeovil Town on Saturday, 7 November 2026 in the FA Cup, and the model has Chesterfield at 66%, the draw at 19% and Yeovil Town at 15%: that is the Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town prediction in one line.

Chesterfield are expected to score 2.26 and Yeovil Town 0.99, so the total line is 3.25 goals; over 2.5 lands at 63% and BTTS at 57%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is chesterfield to win at 66%. At 1.45 with 22Bet the market prices it at 69%, against 66% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Chesterfield or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 85% chance, priced 1.10.

With the draw down at 19%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Chesterfield average 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded across their last 5, Yeovil Town 2.2 and 2.0 across 5.

Goals forecast for Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 84%, over 2.5 at 63%, over 3.5 at 41%; under 2.5 is 38% and under 3.5 is 59%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 63%, best priced 1.54 at 22Bet.

Both teams to score is 57%: Chesterfield find the net in 90% of simulated matches and Yeovil Town in 63%. Chesterfield keep a clean sheet 37% of the time and Yeovil Town 10%.

The most likely scoreline is 2-0 at 9.9%, followed by 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (8.8%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Chesterfield, full-time Chesterfield is the top combination at 44%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 77%.

All markets, Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Chesterfield to win66%1.45
Draw19%4.60
Yeovil Town to win15%6.12
Chesterfield, draw no bet81%fair 1.23
Yeovil Town, draw no bet19%fair 5.38

Double chance

Chesterfield or draw85%1.10
Yeovil Town or draw34%2.63
Chesterfield or Yeovil Town (no draw)81%1.17

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals84%fair 1.20
Over 2.5 goals63%1.54
Over 3.5 goals41%fair 2.45
Over 4.5 goals23%fair 4.39
Under 1.5 goals17%fair 6.06
Under 2.5 goals38%2.38
Under 3.5 goals59%fair 1.69

BTTS

Both teams to score57%1.67
Not both teams to score43%2.08

Halves

First-half goal77%fair 1.30
Over 1.5 first-half goals43%fair 2.33
Second-half goal83%fair 1.20

Team goals

Chesterfield to score90%fair 1.12
Yeovil Town to score63%fair 1.59
Chesterfield clean sheet37%fair 2.69
Yeovil Town clean sheet10%fair 9.62
Chesterfield to win to nil34%fair 2.92
Yeovil Town to win to nil10%fair 10.42

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-09.9%
2-19.8%
1-08.8%
1-18.7%
3-07.5%
3-17.4%

Half-time / full-time

Chesterfield / Chesterfield43.8%
Draw / Chesterfield18.7%
Draw / Draw10.5%
Yeovil Town / Yeovil Town8.4%
Draw / Yeovil Town5.7%

Questions about Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town

Chesterfield or Yeovil Town: which side does the model back?

The model gives Chesterfield the best chance at 66%, with the draw at 19%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What scoreline is most likely in Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town?

2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 9.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 63%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 57%. Chesterfield find the net in 90% of simulated matches and Yeovil Town in 63%.

When is Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Chesterfield v Yeovil TownChesterfield to win, 66%
1.45Bet