FA Cup
CarlisleHomeDWWWW
Sat 7 Nov
Salford CityAwayWWWWW312445
Carlisle winDrawSalford City win
CarlisleHomeDWWWWSalford CityAwayWWWWW- Kick-off Sat 7 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.21 1.46 : 1.75
- Favourite
- 44% Salford City
- Over 2.5 goals
- 62% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 65% model chance
- Prices compared
- 3 in the odds table
Carlisle vs Salford City odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 3.03 | 3.74 | 2.12 | 1.54 | 2.38 | 1.47 | 2.50 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 3.03 | 3.74 | 2.12 | 1.54 | 2.38 | 1.47 | 2.50 | Bet |
 Melbet | 3.03 | 3.74 | 2.12 | 1.54 | 2.38 | 1.47 | 2.50 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Salford City to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Carlisle vs Salford City are 3.03 for Carlisle at 22Bet, 3.74 for the draw at 22Bet and 2.12 for Salford City at 22Bet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 93.5%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.54 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.38 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.47 (22Bet) and no 2.50 (22Bet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
76%
Our prediction
Carlisle or Salford City (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
62% chance1.54
BTTSBoth teams to score
65% chance1.47
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
83% chance1.20fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance9.71fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Salford City, full-time Salford City
27% chance3.65fair
First halfFirst-half goal
76% chance1.31fair
Carlisle vs Salford City prediction
Carlisle vs Salford City prediction and best bet
Carlisle vs Salford City prediction for the FA Cup on Saturday, 7 November 2026: the model makes Salford City marginally ahead at 44%, with the draw at 24% and Carlisle at 31%.
The goal expectancy is 3.21 in total, split 1.46 to Carlisle and 1.75 to Salford City. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 62% and both teams to score 65%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Carlisle or Salford City (no draw) is the main selection, rated 76%. At 1.25 with 22Bet the market prices it at 80%, against 76% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Carlisle vs Salford City.
Over the last 5 matches Carlisle stand at 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats; Salford City show 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in 5.
Goals forecast for Carlisle vs Salford City with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 38% and under 3.5 60%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 83% and over 2.5 at 62%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 62%, best priced 1.54 at 22Bet.
BTTS yes stands at 65%. Carlisle score in 77% of simulations against a 23% clean sheet for Salford City; Salford City score in 83% while Carlisle shut them out 17% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 65%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Carlisle vs Salford City: 1-1 (10.3%), 1-2 (9%) and 2-1 (7.5%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.3% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Salford City, full-time Salford City leads at 27%. A goal before the break is rated 76%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Carlisle vs Salford City
The grid built from 1.46 and 1.75 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Carlisle to win31%3.03
Draw24%3.74
Salford City to win44%2.12
Carlisle, draw no bet41%fair 2.42
Salford City, draw no bet59%fair 1.71
Double chance
Carlisle or draw56%1.67
Salford City or draw69%1.35
Carlisle or Salford City (no draw)76%1.25
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals83%fair 1.20
Over 2.5 goals62%1.54
Over 3.5 goals40%fair 2.50
Over 4.5 goals22%fair 4.52
Under 1.5 goals17%fair 5.88
Under 2.5 goals38%2.38
Under 3.5 goals60%fair 1.67
BTTS
Both teams to score65%1.47
Not both teams to score36%2.50
Halves
First-half goal76%fair 1.31
Over 1.5 first-half goals42%fair 2.36
Second-half goal83%fair 1.21
Team goals
Carlisle to score77%fair 1.30
Salford City to score83%fair 1.21
Carlisle clean sheet17%fair 5.75
Salford City clean sheet23%fair 4.31
Carlisle to win to nil16%fair 6.25
Salford City to win to nil21%fair 4.67
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110.3%
1-29%
2-17.5%
0-17.1%
2-26.6%
0-26.2%
Half-time / full-time
Salford City / Salford City27.4%
Carlisle / Carlisle19%
Draw / Salford City14.2%
Draw / Draw12.4%
Draw / Carlisle10.9%
Questions about Carlisle vs Salford City
Carlisle or Salford City: which side does the model back?
The model gives Salford City the best chance at 44%, with the draw at 24%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in Carlisle vs Salford City?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 62% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Carlisle vs Salford City?
The BTTS yes line is rated 65%. Carlisle find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Salford City in 83%.
What time does Carlisle vs Salford City kick off?
Kick-off is 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.