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Live 6 UTC
EFL Trophy Matchday 5 Tuesday, 3 November 2026 Kick-off
Newport CountyHomeWDDLW
Tue 3 Nov
Crystal Palace U21AwayL
641818
Newport County winDrawCrystal Palace U21 win
Kick-off
Tue 3 Nov
Expected goals
3.76
2.49 : 1.27
Favourite
64%
Newport County
Over 2.5 goals
72%
model chance
Both teams to score
66%
model chance
Prices compared
-
awaiting lines

Best odds for Newport County vs Crystal Palace U21

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

Bookmakers have not opened Newport County vs Crystal Palace U21 yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.

64%

Our prediction

Newport County to win
BankerExpected goals 2.49 : 1.27
1.56fair
Double chanceNewport County or draw
82% chance1.22fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
72% chance1.39fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
66% chance1.52fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
89% chance1.12fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
9% chance10.87fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Newport County, full-time Newport County
43% chance2.34fair

Newport County vs Crystal Palace U21 prediction

Newport County vs Crystal Palace U21 prediction, who wins and at what price

Newport County are the clear favourite in the Newport County vs Crystal Palace U21 prediction, rated 64% to win this EFL Trophy match on Tuesday, 3 November 2026. Crystal Palace U21 sit at 18% and the draw at 18%.

Newport County are expected to score 2.49 and Crystal Palace U21 1.27, so the total line is 3.76 goals; over 2.5 lands at 72% and BTTS at 66%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is newport County to win at 64%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.

For a safer line, newport County or draw covers 82% of outcomes.

The draw sits at only 18%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Goals forecast for Newport County vs Crystal Palace U21 with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines Newport County vs Crystal Palace U21 reads 89% for over 1.5, 72% for over 2.5 and 52% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 28%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 72%.

BTTS yes stands at 66%. Newport County score in 92% of simulations against a 8% clean sheet for Crystal Palace U21; Crystal Palace U21 score in 72% while Newport County shut them out 28% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 66%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Newport County vs Crystal Palace U21: 2-1 (9.2%), 3-1 (7.6%) and 1-1 (7.4%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Newport County, full-time Newport County leads at 43%. A goal before the break is rated 82%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Newport County vs Crystal Palace U21

The grid built from 2.49 and 1.27 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Newport County to win64%fair 1.56
Draw18%fair 5.52
Crystal Palace U21 to win18%fair 5.56
Newport County, draw no bet78%fair 1.28
Crystal Palace U21, draw no bet22%fair 4.55

Double chance

Newport County or draw82%fair 1.22
Crystal Palace U21 or draw36%fair 2.77
Newport County or Crystal Palace U21 (no draw)82%fair 1.22

Goals

Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals89%fair 1.12
Over 2.5 goals72%fair 1.39
Over 3.5 goals52%fair 1.93
Over 4.5 goals32%fair 3.09
Under 1.5 goals11%fair 9.01
Under 2.5 goals28%fair 3.56
Under 3.5 goals48%fair 2.07

BTTS

Both teams to score66%fair 1.52
Not both teams to score34%fair 2.91

Halves

First-half goal82%fair 1.23
Over 1.5 first-half goals50%fair 1.98
Second-half goal87%fair 1.14

Team goals

Newport County to score92%fair 1.09
Crystal Palace U21 to score72%fair 1.39
Newport County clean sheet28%fair 3.56
Crystal Palace U21 clean sheet8%fair 12.05
Newport County to win to nil26%fair 3.88
Crystal Palace U21 to win to nil8%fair 13.16

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-19.2%
3-17.6%
1-17.4%
2-07.2%
3-06%
2-25.8%

Half-time / full-time

Newport County / Newport County42.8%
Draw / Newport County17.1%
Crystal Palace U21 / Crystal Palace U2110.2%
Draw / Draw9%
Draw / Crystal Palace U216.1%

Questions about Newport County vs Crystal Palace U21

Newport County or Crystal Palace U21: which side does the model back?

The model gives Newport County the best chance at 64%, with the draw at 18%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

Newport County vs Crystal Palace U21 correct score: what does the model say?

2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 72%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Newport County vs Crystal Palace U21 both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 66%. Newport County find the net in 92% of simulated matches and Crystal Palace U21 in 72%.

When do Newport County play Crystal Palace U21?

Kick-off is 19:00 UTC on Tuesday, 3 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Newport County v Crystal Palace U21Newport County to win, 64%
1.56fair