EFL Trophy
RochdaleHomeDLDLL
Tue 3 Nov
DoncasterAwayLLWLL262549
Rochdale winDrawDoncaster win
RochdaleHomeDLDLLDoncasterAwayLLWLL- Kick-off Tue 3 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.95 1.21 : 1.74
- Favourite
- 49% Doncaster
- Over 2.5 goals
- 56% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 59% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Rochdale vs Doncaster
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 3.57 | 3.52 | 1.87 | 1.69 | 2.04 | 1.61 | 2.16 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Doncaster to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Rochdale vs Doncaster are 3.57 for Rochdale at 22Bet, 3.52 for the draw at 22Bet and 1.87 for Doncaster at 22Bet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 91%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.69 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.04 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.61 (22Bet) and no 2.16 (22Bet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
75%
Our prediction
Rochdale or Doncaster (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
56% chance1.69
BTTSBoth teams to score
59% chance1.61
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
79% chance1.26fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.09fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Doncaster, full-time Doncaster
31% chance3.25fair
First halfFirst-half goal
74% chance1.36fair
Rochdale vs Doncaster prediction
Rochdale vs Doncaster prediction, who wins and at what price
Rochdale host Doncaster on Tuesday, 3 November 2026 in the EFL Trophy, and the model has Doncaster at 49%, the draw at 25% and Rochdale at 26%: that is the Rochdale vs Doncaster prediction in one line.
Rochdale are expected to score 1.21 and Doncaster 1.74, so the total line is 2.95 goals; over 2.5 lands at 56% and BTTS at 59%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Rochdale or Doncaster (no draw) is the main selection, rated 75%. At 1.23 with 22Bet the market prices it at 81%, against 75% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Rochdale average 1.4 goals scored and 3.0 conceded across their last 5, Doncaster 1.0 and 2.6 across 5.
How many goals in Rochdale vs Doncaster? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
On the goal lines Rochdale vs Doncaster reads 79% for over 1.5, 56% for over 2.5 and 34% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 44%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 56%; 22Bet pay 1.69.
Both teams to score is 59%: Rochdale find the net in 70% of simulated matches and Doncaster in 82%. Rochdale keep a clean sheet 18% of the time and Doncaster 30%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11%, followed by 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-1 (9.1%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Doncaster, full-time Doncaster leads at 31%. A goal before the break is rated 74%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Rochdale vs Doncaster
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 26% / 25% / 49% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Rochdale to win26%3.57
Draw25%3.52
Doncaster to win49%1.87
Rochdale, draw no bet34%fair 2.91
Doncaster, draw no bet66%fair 1.52
Double chance
Rochdale or draw51%1.77
Doncaster or draw74%1.22
Rochdale or Doncaster (no draw)75%1.23
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals79%fair 1.26
Over 2.5 goals56%1.69
Over 3.5 goals34%fair 2.92
Over 4.5 goals18%fair 5.68
Under 1.5 goals21%fair 4.83
Under 2.5 goals44%2.04
Under 3.5 goals66%fair 1.52
BTTS
Both teams to score59%1.61
Not both teams to score41%2.16
Halves
First-half goal74%fair 1.36
Over 1.5 first-half goals38%fair 2.61
Second-half goal80%fair 1.25
Team goals
Rochdale to score70%fair 1.42
Doncaster to score82%fair 1.21
Rochdale clean sheet18%fair 5.68
Doncaster clean sheet30%fair 3.36
Rochdale to win to nil16%fair 6.21
Doncaster to win to nil27%fair 3.65
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-111%
1-29.6%
0-19.1%
0-27.9%
2-16.7%
1-06.3%
Half-time / full-time
Doncaster / Doncaster30.8%
Draw / Doncaster16%
Rochdale / Rochdale15.2%
Draw / Draw13.5%
Draw / Rochdale9.6%
Questions about Rochdale vs Doncaster
Who will win Rochdale vs Doncaster?
The model gives Doncaster the best chance at 49%, with the draw at 25%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for Rochdale vs Doncaster?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 56%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Rochdale vs Doncaster?
The BTTS yes line is rated 59%. Rochdale find the net in 70% of simulated matches and Doncaster in 82%.
When do Rochdale play Doncaster?
Kick-off is 19:00 UTC on Tuesday, 3 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.