EFL Trophy
RotherhamHomeLLDDL
Tue 3 Nov
Newcastle United U21AwayL552223
Rotherham winDrawNewcastle United U21 win
RotherhamHomeLLDDLNewcastle United U21AwayL- Kick-off Tue 3 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.63 2.21 : 1.42
- Favourite
- 55% Rotherham
- Over 2.5 goals
- 70% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 69% model chance
- Prices compared
- 2 in the odds table
Rotherham vs Newcastle United U21 odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.67 | 3.90 | 4.11 | 1.34 | 2.78 | 1.38 | 2.77 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.61 | 4.10 | 4.26 | 1.32 | 2.88 | 1.38 | 2.77 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Rotherham to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Rotherham vs Newcastle United U21 are 1.67 for Rotherham at 1xBet, 4.10 for the draw at 22Bet and 4.26 for Newcastle United U21 at 22Bet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 92.8%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.34 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.88 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.38 (22Bet) and no 2.77 (22Bet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
55%
Our prediction
Rotherham to win
Double chanceRotherham or Newcastle United U21 (no draw)
78% chance1.19
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
70% chance1.34
BTTSBoth teams to score
69% chance1.38
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
88% chance1.14fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
9% chance10.87fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Rotherham, full-time Rotherham
36% chance2.79fair
Rotherham vs Newcastle United U21 odds movement
Rotherham win1.67unchanged
Draw4.10+0.20
Newcastle United U21 win4.26+0.15
Over 2.5 goals1.34unchanged
Under 2.5 goals2.88+0.10
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 2 Nov, 12:45 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Rotherham vs Newcastle United U21 prediction
Our Rotherham vs Newcastle United U21 prediction and pick
The Rotherham vs Newcastle United U21 prediction leans to Rotherham: 55% against 24% for Newcastle United U21, with 22% left for the draw, in the EFL Trophy on Tuesday, 3 November 2026.
The goal expectancy is 3.63 in total, split 2.21 to Rotherham and 1.42 to Newcastle United U21. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 70% and both teams to score 69%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Rotherham to win is the main selection, rated 55%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.67. That price implies 60%, 5 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Rotherham vs Newcastle United U21.
Rotherham or Newcastle United U21 (no draw) is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 78% chance, priced 1.19.
The draw sits at only 22%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Rotherham vs Newcastle United U21 over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
Under 2.5 goals is rated 30% and under 3.5 51%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 88% and over 2.5 at 70%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 70%; 1xBet pay 1.34.
BTTS yes stands at 69%. Rotherham score in 89% of simulations against a 11% clean sheet for Newcastle United U21; Newcastle United U21 score in 76% while Rotherham shut them out 24% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 69%.
Correct score: 2-1 leads at 9.2%, then 1-1 at 8.3% and 3-1 at 6.8%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Rotherham, full-time Rotherham leads at 36%. A goal before the break is rated 81%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Rotherham vs Newcastle United U21
The grid built from 2.21 and 1.42 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Rotherham to win55%1.67
Draw22%4.10
Newcastle United U21 to win24%4.26
Rotherham, draw no bet70%fair 1.43
Newcastle United U21, draw no bet30%fair 3.32
Double chance
Rotherham or draw77%1.17
Newcastle United U21 or draw45%2.09
Rotherham or Newcastle United U21 (no draw)78%1.19
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals88%fair 1.14
Over 2.5 goals70%1.34
Over 3.5 goals49%fair 2.04
Over 4.5 goals30%fair 3.34
Under 1.5 goals12%fair 8.13
Under 2.5 goals30%2.88
Under 3.5 goals51%fair 1.96
BTTS
Both teams to score69%1.38
Not both teams to score31%2.77
Halves
First-half goal81%fair 1.24
Over 1.5 first-half goals49%fair 2.06
Second-half goal86%fair 1.16
Team goals
Rotherham to score89%fair 1.12
Newcastle United U21 to score76%fair 1.32
Rotherham clean sheet24%fair 4.13
Newcastle United U21 clean sheet11%fair 9.09
Rotherham to win to nil22%fair 4.50
Newcastle United U21 to win to nil10%fair 9.90
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-19.2%
1-18.3%
3-16.8%
2-26.5%
2-06.5%
1-25.9%
Half-time / full-time
Rotherham / Rotherham35.8%
Draw / Rotherham15.8%
Newcastle United U21 / Newcastle United U2114%
Draw / Draw10.2%
Draw / Newcastle United U218.1%
Questions about Rotherham vs Newcastle United U21
Who will win Rotherham vs Newcastle United U21?
The model gives Rotherham the best chance at 55%, with the draw at 22%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
Rotherham vs Newcastle United U21 correct score: what does the model say?
2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.2%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 70% backs the same picture with less variance.
Rotherham vs Newcastle United U21 both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 69%. Rotherham find the net in 89% of simulated matches and Newcastle United U21 in 76%.
What time does Rotherham vs Newcastle United U21 kick off?
Rotherham vs Newcastle United U21 starts at 19:00 UTC on Tuesday, 3 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.