Skip to the predictions
Live 6 UTC
First NL Round 12 Friday, 6 November 2026 Kick-off
SesveteHomeLDLDD
Fri 6 Nov
Bsk Bijelo BrdoAwayWLDWL
362836
Sesvete winDrawBsk Bijelo Brdo win
Kick-off
Fri 6 Nov
Expected goals
2.30
1.16 : 1.14
Favourite
36%
Sesvete
Over 2.5 goals
40%
model chance
Both teams to score
47%
model chance
Prices compared
-
awaiting lines

Sesvete vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo odds comparison

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

Bookmakers have not opened Sesvete vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.

72%

Our prediction

Sesvete or Bsk Bijelo Brdo (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.16 : 1.14
1.39fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
60% chance1.68fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
53% chance1.87fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
67% chance1.49fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.52fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Sesvete, full-time Sesvete
21% chance4.81fair
First halfFirst-half goal
65% chance1.55fair

Sesvete vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo prediction

Sesvete vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo prediction and best bet

Sesvete vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo prediction for the First NL on Friday, 6 November 2026: the model calls it close, Sesvete 36%, draw 28%, Bsk Bijelo Brdo 35%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.

Expected goals are 1.16 for Sesvete and 1.14 for Bsk Bijelo Brdo, a total of 2.30, which puts over 2.5 goals at 40% and both teams to score at 47%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Sesvete or Bsk Bijelo Brdo (no draw) is the main selection, rated 72%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.

Over the last 5 matches Sesvete stand at 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Bsk Bijelo Brdo show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Sesvete vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 67%, over 2.5 at 40%, over 3.5 at 20%; under 2.5 is 60% and under 3.5 is 80%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 60%.

BTTS yes stands at 47%. Sesvete score in 69% of simulations against a 31% clean sheet for Bsk Bijelo Brdo; Bsk Bijelo Brdo score in 68% while Sesvete shut them out 32% of the time.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 13.3%, then 1-0 at 11.6% and 0-1 at 11.4%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 13.3% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Sesvete, full-time Sesvete leads at 21%. A goal before the break is rated 65%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Sesvete vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 36% / 28% / 35% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Sesvete to win36%fair 2.75
Draw28%fair 3.52
Bsk Bijelo Brdo to win35%fair 2.82
Sesvete, draw no bet51%fair 1.98
Bsk Bijelo Brdo, draw no bet49%fair 2.02

Double chance

Sesvete or draw65%fair 1.55
Bsk Bijelo Brdo or draw64%fair 1.57
Sesvete or Bsk Bijelo Brdo (no draw)72%fair 1.39

Goals

Over 0.5 goals90%fair 1.11
Over 1.5 goals67%fair 1.49
Over 2.5 goals40%fair 2.48
Over 3.5 goals20%fair 4.98
Over 4.5 goals8%fair 11.90
Under 1.5 goals33%fair 3.02
Under 2.5 goals60%fair 1.68
Under 3.5 goals80%fair 1.25

BTTS

Both teams to score47%fair 2.15
Not both teams to score53%fair 1.87

Halves

First-half goal65%fair 1.55
Over 1.5 first-half goals28%fair 3.61
Second-half goal72%fair 1.39

Team goals

Sesvete to score69%fair 1.46
Bsk Bijelo Brdo to score68%fair 1.47
Sesvete clean sheet32%fair 3.13
Bsk Bijelo Brdo clean sheet31%fair 3.19
Sesvete to win to nil29%fair 3.40
Bsk Bijelo Brdo to win to nil29%fair 3.47

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

1-113.3%
1-011.6%
0-111.4%
0-010%
2-17.7%
1-27.6%

Half-time / full-time

Sesvete / Sesvete20.8%
Bsk Bijelo Brdo / Bsk Bijelo Brdo20.2%
Draw / Draw18.6%
Draw / Sesvete13.7%
Draw / Bsk Bijelo Brdo13.4%

Questions about Sesvete vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo

Sesvete or Bsk Bijelo Brdo: which side does the model back?

The model gives Sesvete the best chance at 36%, with the draw at 28%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

Sesvete vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 40% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Sesvete vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo?

The BTTS yes line is rated 47%. Sesvete find the net in 69% of simulated matches and Bsk Bijelo Brdo in 68%.

When do Sesvete play Bsk Bijelo Brdo?

Sesvete vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo starts at 13:00 UTC on Friday, 6 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Sesvete v Bsk Bijelo BrdoSesvete or Bsk Bijelo Brdo (no draw), 72%
1.39fair