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Live 18 UTC
First NL Round 10 Friday, 23 October 2026 FT
SesveteHomeLDLDD
0:0Half-time 0:0
HrvaceAwayWLLDW
512722
Sesvete winDrawHrvace win
Kick-off
Fri 23 Oct
Expected goals
2.44
1.52 : 0.92
Favourite
51%
Sesvete
Over 2.5 goals
44%
model chance
Both teams to score
47%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Best odds for Sesvete vs Hrvace

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.803.254.072.121.621.931.75Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Sesvete to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Sesvete vs Hrvace are 1.80 for Sesvete at 1xBet, 3.25 for the draw at 1xBet and 4.07 for Hrvace at 1xBet.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.2%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.12 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.62 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.93 (1xBet) and no 1.75 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

51%

Our prediction

Sesvete to win
LeanExpected goals 1.52 : 0.92-7.8% against the best price
Double chanceSesvete or draw
78% chance1.16
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
56% chance1.62
BTTSNot both teams to score
53% chance1.75
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
70% chance1.43fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
13% chance7.58fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Sesvete, full-time Sesvete
31% chance3.21fair

Sesvete vs Hrvace prediction

Sesvete vs Hrvace prediction, who wins and at what price

Sesvete host Hrvace on Friday, 23 October 2026 in the First NL, and the model has Sesvete at 51%, the draw at 27% and Hrvace at 22%: that is the Sesvete vs Hrvace prediction in one line.

Expected goals are 1.52 for Sesvete and 0.92 for Hrvace, a total of 2.44, which puts over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams to score at 47%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is sesvete to win at 51%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.80. That price implies 56%, 4 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Sesvete or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 78% chance, priced 1.16.

Sesvete average 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 5, Hrvace 1.4 and 0.6 across 5.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Sesvete vs Hrvace

Under 2.5 goals is rated 56% and under 3.5 77%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 70% and over 2.5 at 44%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 56%, best priced 1.62 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 47%, built from Sesvete scoring in 78% of runs and Hrvace in 60%; clean sheets come at 40% for Sesvete and 22% for Hrvace.

Correct score: 1-0 leads at 13.2%, then 1-1 at 12.2% and 2-0 at 10.1%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Sesvete, full-time Sesvete leads at 31%. A goal before the break is rated 67%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Sesvete vs Hrvace

The grid built from 1.52 and 0.92 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Sesvete to win51%1.80
Draw27%3.25
Hrvace to win22%4.07
Sesvete, draw no bet70%fair 1.43
Hrvace, draw no bet30%fair 3.30

Double chance

Sesvete or draw78%1.16
Hrvace or draw49%1.81
Sesvete or Hrvace (no draw)74%1.25

Goals

Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals70%fair 1.43
Over 2.5 goals44%2.12
Over 3.5 goals23%fair 4.35
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 9.90
Under 1.5 goals30%fair 3.33
Under 2.5 goals56%1.62
Under 3.5 goals77%fair 1.30

BTTS

Both teams to score47%1.93
Not both teams to score53%1.75

Halves

First-half goal67%fair 1.50
Over 1.5 first-half goals30%fair 3.33
Second-half goal74%fair 1.35

Team goals

Sesvete to score78%fair 1.28
Hrvace to score60%fair 1.66
Sesvete clean sheet40%fair 2.51
Hrvace clean sheet22%fair 4.57
Sesvete to win to nil37%fair 2.72
Hrvace to win to nil20%fair 4.98

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

1-013.2%
1-112.2%
2-010.1%
2-19.3%
0-08.7%
0-18%

Half-time / full-time

Sesvete / Sesvete31.2%
Draw / Sesvete17.7%
Draw / Draw16.7%
Hrvace / Hrvace12.5%
Draw / Hrvace9%

Questions about Sesvete vs Hrvace

Who will win Sesvete vs Hrvace?

The model gives Sesvete the best chance at 51%, with the draw at 27%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

Sesvete vs Hrvace correct score: what does the model say?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 44%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Sesvete vs Hrvace both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 47%. Sesvete find the net in 78% of simulated matches and Hrvace in 60%.

When is Sesvete vs Hrvace and where is the result shown?

Sesvete vs Hrvace starts at 13:00 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Sesvete v HrvaceSesvete to win, 51%
1.80Bet