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Live 16 UTC
First NL Round 12 Saturday, 7 November 2026 Kick-off
HNK CibaliaHomeWLLWW
Sat 7 Nov
Croatia ZmijavciAwayWWWLL
372934
HNK Cibalia winDrawCroatia Zmijavci win
Kick-off
Sat 7 Nov
Expected goals
2.26
1.16 : 1.10
Favourite
37%
HNK Cibalia
Over 2.5 goals
39%
model chance
Both teams to score
46%
model chance
Prices compared
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awaiting lines

HNK Cibalia vs Croatia Zmijavci odds comparison

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.

71%

Our prediction

HNK Cibalia or Croatia Zmijavci (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.16 : 1.10
1.40fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
61% chance1.65fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
54% chance1.84fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
66% chance1.52fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.52fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time HNK Cibalia, full-time HNK Cibalia
21% chance4.69fair
First halfFirst-half goal
64% chance1.57fair

HNK Cibalia vs Croatia Zmijavci prediction

HNK Cibalia vs Croatia Zmijavci prediction, who wins and at what price

The HNK Cibalia vs Croatia Zmijavci prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. First NL on Saturday, 7 November 2026 gives HNK Cibalia a 37% chance, Croatia Zmijavci 34% and the draw 29%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.

The goal expectancy is 2.26 in total, split 1.16 to HNK Cibalia and 1.10 to Croatia Zmijavci. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 39% and both teams to score 46%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for HNK Cibalia vs Croatia Zmijavci is hNK Cibalia or Croatia Zmijavci (no draw), a 71% chance. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.

HNK Cibalia average 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 5, Croatia Zmijavci 1.6 and 1.2 across 5.

A low-scoring HNK Cibalia vs Croatia Zmijavci? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines HNK Cibalia vs Croatia Zmijavci reads 66% for over 1.5, 39% for over 2.5 and 19% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 61%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 61%.

The chance of both teams scoring is 46%, built from HNK Cibalia scoring in 69% of runs and Croatia Zmijavci in 67%; clean sheets come at 33% for HNK Cibalia and 31% for Croatia Zmijavci.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for HNK Cibalia vs Croatia Zmijavci: 1-1 (13.3%), 1-0 (12.1%) and 0-1 (11.5%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 13.3% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time HNK Cibalia, full-time HNK Cibalia leads at 21%. A goal before the break is rated 64%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, HNK Cibalia vs Croatia Zmijavci

The grid built from 1.16 and 1.10 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

HNK Cibalia to win37%fair 2.70
Draw29%fair 3.48
Croatia Zmijavci to win34%fair 2.92
HNK Cibalia, draw no bet52%fair 1.92
Croatia Zmijavci, draw no bet48%fair 2.08

Double chance

HNK Cibalia or draw66%fair 1.52
Croatia Zmijavci or draw63%fair 1.59
HNK Cibalia or Croatia Zmijavci (no draw)71%fair 1.40

Goals

Over 0.5 goals90%fair 1.12
Over 1.5 goals66%fair 1.52
Over 2.5 goals39%fair 2.54
Over 3.5 goals19%fair 5.18
Over 4.5 goals8%fair 12.66
Under 1.5 goals34%fair 2.94
Under 2.5 goals61%fair 1.65
Under 3.5 goals81%fair 1.24

BTTS

Both teams to score46%fair 2.19
Not both teams to score54%fair 1.84

Halves

First-half goal64%fair 1.57
Over 1.5 first-half goals27%fair 3.70
Second-half goal71%fair 1.41

Team goals

HNK Cibalia to score69%fair 1.46
Croatia Zmijavci to score67%fair 1.50
HNK Cibalia clean sheet33%fair 3.00
Croatia Zmijavci clean sheet31%fair 3.19
HNK Cibalia to win to nil31%fair 3.27
Croatia Zmijavci to win to nil29%fair 3.47

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

1-113.3%
1-012.1%
0-111.5%
0-010.4%
2-17.7%
1-27.3%

Half-time / full-time

HNK Cibalia / HNK Cibalia21.3%
Croatia Zmijavci / Croatia Zmijavci19.4%
Draw / Draw19%
Draw / HNK Cibalia14.1%
Draw / Croatia Zmijavci13.1%

Questions about HNK Cibalia vs Croatia Zmijavci

Who is favourite in HNK Cibalia vs Croatia Zmijavci?

The model gives HNK Cibalia the best chance at 37%, with the draw at 29%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What is the correct score prediction for HNK Cibalia vs Croatia Zmijavci?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.3%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 39%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in HNK Cibalia vs Croatia Zmijavci?

The BTTS yes line is rated 46%. HNK Cibalia find the net in 69% of simulated matches and Croatia Zmijavci in 67%.

What time does HNK Cibalia vs Croatia Zmijavci kick off?

Kick-off is 15:30 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, HNK Cibalia v Croatia ZmijavciHNK Cibalia or Croatia Zmijavci (no draw), 71%
1.40fair