HNK CibaliaHomeWLLWW
Karlovac 1919AwayWWLLL
HNK CibaliaHomeWLLWW
Karlovac 1919AwayWWLLL| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.89 | 3.05 | 3.96 | 2.24 | 1.55 | 1.97 | 1.72 | Bet | |
| 2.15 | 3.02 | 3.21 | 2.24 | 1.55 | 1.92 | 1.76 | Bet | |
| 2.16 | 3.05 | 3.25 | 2.26 | 1.58 | 1.92 | 1.73 | Bet | |
| 2.24 | 3.02 | 3.43 | 2.31 | 1.57 | 2.02 | 1.74 | Bet | |
| 2.24 | 3.02 | 3.43 | 2.31 | 1.57 | 2.02 | 1.74 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Melbet pay the best HNK Cibalia price at 2.24, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.05 and 1xBet have Karlovac 1919 longest at 3.96.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 97.3%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.31 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.58 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 2.02 (Melbet) and no 1.76 (22Bet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
Our prediction
HNK Cibalia vs Karlovac 1919 prediction for the First NL on Friday, 30 October 2026: the model makes HNK Cibalia marginally ahead at 47%, with the draw at 29% and Karlovac 1919 at 25%.
Expected goals are 1.36 for HNK Cibalia and 0.93 for Karlovac 1919, a total of 2.29, which puts over 2.5 goals at 40% and both teams to score at 46%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
HNK Cibalia or draw is the main selection, rated 75%. Betwinner offer the top price at 1.28. That price implies 78%, 3 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on HNK Cibalia vs Karlovac 1919.
HNK Cibalia average 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 5, Karlovac 1919 1.0 and 2.0 across 5.
On the goal lines HNK Cibalia vs Karlovac 1919 reads 67% for over 1.5, 40% for over 2.5 and 20% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 60%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 60%; BC.Game pay 1.58.
The chance of both teams scoring is 46%, built from HNK Cibalia scoring in 74% of runs and Karlovac 1919 in 61%; clean sheets come at 40% for HNK Cibalia and 26% for Karlovac 1919.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for HNK Cibalia vs Karlovac 1919: 1-0 (13.8%), 1-1 (12.8%) and 0-0 (10.1%).
With the top scoreline at 13.8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for HNK Cibalia vs Karlovac 1919; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time HNK Cibalia, full-time HNK Cibalia leads at 28%. A goal before the break is rated 64%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for HNK Cibalia vs Karlovac 1919, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives HNK Cibalia the best chance at 47%, with the draw at 29%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 40% backs the same picture with less variance.
The BTTS yes line is rated 46%. HNK Cibalia find the net in 74% of simulated matches and Karlovac 1919 in 61%.
Kick-off is 16:00 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.