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Live 19 UTC
First NL Round 11 Friday, 30 October 2026 FT
HNK CibaliaHomeWLLWW
2:0Half-time 1:0
Karlovac 1919AwayWWLLL
472924
HNK Cibalia winDrawKarlovac 1919 win
Kick-off
Fri 30 Oct
Expected goals
2.29
1.36 : 0.93
Favourite
47%
HNK Cibalia
Over 2.5 goals
40%
model chance
Both teams to score
46%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

HNK Cibalia vs Karlovac 1919 betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.893.053.962.241.551.971.72Bet
22Bet2.153.023.212.241.551.921.76Bet
BC.Game2.163.053.252.261.581.921.73Bet
Betwinner2.243.023.432.311.572.021.74Bet
Melbet2.243.023.432.311.572.021.74Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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HNK Cibalia to win partner prices

Melbet pay the best HNK Cibalia price at 2.24, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.05 and 1xBet have Karlovac 1919 longest at 3.96.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 97.3%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.31 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.58 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 2.02 (Melbet) and no 1.76 (22Bet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

75%

Our prediction

HNK Cibalia or draw
LeanExpected goals 1.36 : 0.93-4% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
60% chance1.58
BTTSNot both teams to score
54% chance1.76
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
67% chance1.50fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
14% chance7.25fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time HNK Cibalia, full-time HNK Cibalia
28% chance3.60fair
First halfFirst-half goal
64% chance1.56fair

HNK Cibalia vs Karlovac 1919 prediction

HNK Cibalia vs Karlovac 1919 prediction and best bet

HNK Cibalia vs Karlovac 1919 prediction for the First NL on Friday, 30 October 2026: the model makes HNK Cibalia marginally ahead at 47%, with the draw at 29% and Karlovac 1919 at 25%.

Expected goals are 1.36 for HNK Cibalia and 0.93 for Karlovac 1919, a total of 2.29, which puts over 2.5 goals at 40% and both teams to score at 46%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

HNK Cibalia or draw is the main selection, rated 75%. Betwinner offer the top price at 1.28. That price implies 78%, 3 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on HNK Cibalia vs Karlovac 1919.

HNK Cibalia average 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 5, Karlovac 1919 1.0 and 2.0 across 5.

A low-scoring HNK Cibalia vs Karlovac 1919? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines HNK Cibalia vs Karlovac 1919 reads 67% for over 1.5, 40% for over 2.5 and 20% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 60%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 60%; BC.Game pay 1.58.

The chance of both teams scoring is 46%, built from HNK Cibalia scoring in 74% of runs and Karlovac 1919 in 61%; clean sheets come at 40% for HNK Cibalia and 26% for Karlovac 1919.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for HNK Cibalia vs Karlovac 1919: 1-0 (13.8%), 1-1 (12.8%) and 0-0 (10.1%).

With the top scoreline at 13.8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for HNK Cibalia vs Karlovac 1919; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time HNK Cibalia, full-time HNK Cibalia leads at 28%. A goal before the break is rated 64%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for HNK Cibalia vs Karlovac 1919

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for HNK Cibalia vs Karlovac 1919, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

HNK Cibalia to win47%2.24
Draw29%3.05
Karlovac 1919 to win25%3.96
HNK Cibalia, draw no bet65%fair 1.54
Karlovac 1919, draw no bet35%fair 2.86

Double chance

HNK Cibalia or draw75%1.28
Karlovac 1919 or draw54%1.72
HNK Cibalia or Karlovac 1919 (no draw)72%1.35

Goals

Over 0.5 goals90%fair 1.11
Over 1.5 goals67%fair 1.50
Over 2.5 goals40%2.31
Over 3.5 goals20%fair 5.03
Over 4.5 goals8%fair 12.05
Under 1.5 goals33%fair 3.00
Under 2.5 goals60%1.58
Under 3.5 goals80%fair 1.25

BTTS

Both teams to score46%2.02
Not both teams to score54%1.76

Halves

First-half goal64%fair 1.56
Over 1.5 first-half goals28%fair 3.64
Second-half goal72%fair 1.40

Team goals

HNK Cibalia to score74%fair 1.35
Karlovac 1919 to score61%fair 1.65
HNK Cibalia clean sheet40%fair 2.53
Karlovac 1919 clean sheet26%fair 3.89
HNK Cibalia to win to nil36%fair 2.75
Karlovac 1919 to win to nil23%fair 4.35

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

1-013.8%
1-112.8%
0-010.1%
0-19.4%
2-09.4%
2-18.7%

Half-time / full-time

HNK Cibalia / HNK Cibalia27.8%
Draw / Draw18.3%
Draw / HNK Cibalia16.9%
Karlovac 1919 / Karlovac 191914.1%
Draw / Karlovac 191910.2%

Questions about HNK Cibalia vs Karlovac 1919

Who is favourite in HNK Cibalia vs Karlovac 1919?

The model gives HNK Cibalia the best chance at 47%, with the draw at 29%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What scoreline is most likely in HNK Cibalia vs Karlovac 1919?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 40% backs the same picture with less variance.

HNK Cibalia vs Karlovac 1919 both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 46%. HNK Cibalia find the net in 74% of simulated matches and Karlovac 1919 in 61%.

What time does HNK Cibalia vs Karlovac 1919 kick off?

Kick-off is 16:00 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, HNK Cibalia v Karlovac 1919HNK Cibalia or draw, 75%
1.28Bet