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Live 26 UTC
China Super League Round 30 Sunday, 8 November 2026 Kick-off
Shanghai ShenhuaHomeWDWLL
Sun 8 Nov
Qingdao Youth IslandAwayLLD
661816
Shanghai Shenhua winDrawQingdao Youth Island win
Kick-off
Sun 8 Nov
Expected goals
3.75
2.54 : 1.21
Favourite
66%
Shanghai Shenhua
Over 2.5 goals
71%
model chance
Both teams to score
66%
model chance
Prices compared
2
in the odds table

Best odds for Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Youth Island

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.465.036.061.323.251.422.66Bet
22Bet1.465.006.001.323.251.422.66Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Shanghai Shenhua to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Youth Island prediction: Shanghai Shenhua 1.46 (1xBet), draw 5.03 (1xBet), Qingdao Youth Island 6.06 (1xBet).

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 95.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.32 (1xBet) and under 2.5 3.25 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.42 (22Bet) and no 2.66 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

66%

Our prediction

Shanghai Shenhua to win
BankerExpected goals 2.54 : 1.21-3.6% against the best price
Double chanceShanghai Shenhua or draw
84% chance1.13
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
71% chance1.32
BTTSBoth teams to score
66% chance1.42
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
89% chance1.13fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
9% chance10.87fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Shanghai Shenhua, full-time Shanghai Shenhua
45% chance2.24fair

Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Youth Island prediction

Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Youth Island prediction, who wins and at what price

The Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Youth Island prediction leans to Shanghai Shenhua: 66% against 16% for Qingdao Youth Island, with 18% left for the draw, in the China Super League on Sunday, 8 November 2026.

The goal expectancy is 3.75 in total, split 2.54 to Shanghai Shenhua and 1.21 to Qingdao Youth Island. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 71% and both teams to score 66%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Youth Island is shanghai Shenhua to win, a 66% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.46 at 1xBet, which implies 68%, so the model sits 2 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Youth Island.

Shanghai Shenhua or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 84% chance, priced 1.13.

The draw sits at only 18%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Form check: Shanghai Shenhua have won 2 of their last 5 with 11 scored and 5 conceded, Qingdao Youth Island 0 of 3 scoring 1 and conceding 6.

Goals forecast for Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Youth Island with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Youth Island reads 89% for over 1.5, 71% for over 2.5 and 52% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 29%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 71%; 1xBet pay 1.32.

Both teams to score is 66%: Shanghai Shenhua find the net in 92% of simulated matches and Qingdao Youth Island in 70%. Shanghai Shenhua keep a clean sheet 30% of the time and Qingdao Youth Island 8%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 66%.

The most likely scoreline is 2-1 at 9.2%, followed by 3-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (7.6%).

With the top scoreline at 9.2%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Youth Island; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Shanghai Shenhua, full-time Shanghai Shenhua leads at 45%. A goal before the break is rated 82%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Youth Island

The grid built from 2.54 and 1.21 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Shanghai Shenhua to win66%1.46
Draw18%5.03
Qingdao Youth Island to win16%6.06
Shanghai Shenhua, draw no bet81%fair 1.24
Qingdao Youth Island, draw no bet19%fair 5.15

Double chance

Shanghai Shenhua or draw84%1.13
Qingdao Youth Island or draw34%2.75
Shanghai Shenhua or Qingdao Youth Island (no draw)82%1.18

Goals

Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals89%fair 1.13
Over 2.5 goals71%1.32
Over 3.5 goals52%fair 1.94
Over 4.5 goals32%fair 3.11
Under 1.5 goals11%fair 8.93
Under 2.5 goals29%3.25
Under 3.5 goals48%fair 2.07

BTTS

Both teams to score66%1.42
Not both teams to score34%2.66

Halves

First-half goal82%fair 1.23
Over 1.5 first-half goals50%fair 1.99
Second-half goal87%fair 1.15

Team goals

Shanghai Shenhua to score92%fair 1.09
Qingdao Youth Island to score70%fair 1.42
Shanghai Shenhua clean sheet30%fair 3.36
Qingdao Youth Island clean sheet8%fair 12.66
Shanghai Shenhua to win to nil27%fair 3.65
Qingdao Youth Island to win to nil7%fair 13.70

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-19.2%
3-17.8%
2-07.6%
1-17.2%
3-06.4%
1-06%

Half-time / full-time

Shanghai Shenhua / Shanghai Shenhua44.6%
Draw / Shanghai Shenhua17.4%
Qingdao Youth Island / Qingdao Youth Island9.2%
Draw / Draw8.8%
Draw / Qingdao Youth Island5.7%

Questions about Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Youth Island

Shanghai Shenhua or Qingdao Youth Island: which side does the model back?

The model gives Shanghai Shenhua the best chance at 66%, with the draw at 18%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What scoreline is most likely in Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Youth Island?

2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.2%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 71% backs the same picture with less variance.

Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Youth Island both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 66%. Shanghai Shenhua find the net in 92% of simulated matches and Qingdao Youth Island in 70%.

What time does Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Youth Island kick off?

Kick-off is 07:30 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Shanghai Shenhua v Qingdao Youth IslandShanghai Shenhua to win, 66%
1.46Bet