Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tongliang Long prediction

Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tongliang Long prediction and best bet

Beijing Guoan host Chongqing Tongliang Long on Sunday, 8 November 2026 in the China Super League, and the model has Beijing Guoan at 74%, the draw at 16% and Chongqing Tongliang Long at 10%: that is the Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tongliang Long prediction in one line.

The goal expectancy is 3.34 in total, split 2.51 to Beijing Guoan and 0.83 to Chongqing Tongliang Long. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 64% and both teams to score 53%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is beijing Guoan to win at 74%. BC.Game offer the top price at 1.30. That price implies 77%, 3 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

For a safer line, beijing Guoan or draw covers 90% of outcomes at 1.06.

With the draw down at 16%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Beijing Guoan average 2.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last 5, Chongqing Tongliang Long 1.3 and 0.7 across 3.

Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tongliang Long over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Under 2.5 goals is rated 36% and under 3.5 57%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 85% and over 2.5 at 64%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 64%, best priced 1.45 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 53%, built from Beijing Guoan scoring in 92% of runs and Chongqing Tongliang Long in 56%; clean sheets come at 44% for Beijing Guoan and 8% for Chongqing Tongliang Long.

Correct score: 2-0 leads at 11.2%, then 3-0 at 9.3% and 2-1 at 9.3%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Beijing Guoan, full-time Beijing Guoan leads at 51%. A goal before the break is rated 78%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.