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Live 26 UTC
Canadian Premier League Group Stage Sunday, 25 October 2026 FT
HFX Wanderers FCHomeLDDLL
3:4Half-time 1:2
Supra du QuebecAwayWDWWW
252352
HFX Wanderers FC winDrawSupra du Quebec win
Kick-off
Sun 25 Oct
Expected goals
3.34
1.35 : 1.99
Favourite
52%
Supra du Quebec
Over 2.5 goals
65%
model chance
Both teams to score
65%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet3.933.851.681.442.431.472.44Bet
22Bet4.324.221.661.452.631.502.50Bet
BC.Game4.304.201.611.462.581.482.40Bet
Betwinner4.244.051.601.452.631.472.44Bet
Melbet4.324.221.661.452.631.502.50Bet
Stake4.404.101.621.442.551.492.32Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Supra du Quebec to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec prediction: HFX Wanderers FC 4.40 (Stake), draw 4.22 (Melbet), Supra du Quebec 1.68 (1xBet).

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 94.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.46 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 2.63 (Betwinner); both teams to score yes pays 1.50 (Melbet) and no 2.50 (Melbet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

52%

Our prediction

Supra du Quebec to win
LeanExpected goals 1.35 : 1.99-13.1% against the best price
Double chanceHFX Wanderers FC or Supra du Quebec (no draw)
77% chance1.20
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
65% chance1.46
BTTSBoth teams to score
65% chance1.50
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
85% chance1.18fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance10.53fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Supra du Quebec, full-time Supra du Quebec
33% chance3.02fair

HFX Wanderers FC v Supra du Quebec head to head

1HFX Wanderers FC wins
0Draws
0Supra du Quebec wins
  • 12 Sep 26Supra du Quebec0:2HFX Wanderers FC

1 meeting since coverage began, 2 goals in total: HFX Wanderers FC scored 2, Supra du Quebec scored 0.

HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec prediction

HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec prediction, who wins and at what price

HFX Wanderers FC host Supra du Quebec on Sunday, 25 October 2026 in the Canadian Premier League, and the model has Supra du Quebec at 52%, the draw at 23% and HFX Wanderers FC at 25%: that is the HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec prediction in one line.

Expected goals are 1.35 for HFX Wanderers FC and 1.99 for Supra du Quebec, a total of 3.34, which puts over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams to score at 65%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Supra du Quebec to win is the main selection, rated 52%. At 1.68 with 1xBet the market prices it at 60%, against 52% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

For a safer line, hFX Wanderers FC or Supra du Quebec (no draw) covers 77% of outcomes at 1.20.

Form check: HFX Wanderers FC have won 0 of their last 5 with 9 scored and 12 conceded, Supra du Quebec 4 of 5 scoring 13 and conceding 7.

HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Under 2.5 goals is rated 35% and under 3.5 57%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 85% and over 2.5 at 65%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 65%, best priced 1.46 at BC.Game.

BTTS yes stands at 65%. HFX Wanderers FC score in 74% of simulations against a 26% clean sheet for Supra du Quebec; Supra du Quebec score in 86% while HFX Wanderers FC shut them out 14% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 65%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 9.5%, then 1-2 at 9.5% and 0-1 at 7.1%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.5% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Supra du Quebec, full-time Supra du Quebec leads at 33%. A goal before the break is rated 78%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market rated for HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

HFX Wanderers FC to win25%4.40
Draw23%4.22
Supra du Quebec to win52%1.68
HFX Wanderers FC, draw no bet33%fair 3.04
Supra du Quebec, draw no bet67%fair 1.49

Double chance

HFX Wanderers FC or draw48%2.13
Supra du Quebec or draw75%1.19
HFX Wanderers FC or Supra du Quebec (no draw)77%1.20

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals85%fair 1.18
Over 2.5 goals65%1.46
Over 3.5 goals43%fair 2.34
Over 4.5 goals25%fair 4.08
Under 1.5 goals15%fair 6.49
Under 2.5 goals35%2.63
Under 3.5 goals57%fair 1.75

BTTS

Both teams to score65%1.50
Not both teams to score36%2.50

Halves

First-half goal78%fair 1.29
Over 1.5 first-half goals44%fair 2.26
Second-half goal84%fair 1.19

Team goals

HFX Wanderers FC to score74%fair 1.35
Supra du Quebec to score86%fair 1.16
HFX Wanderers FC clean sheet14%fair 7.30
Supra du Quebec clean sheet26%fair 3.86
HFX Wanderers FC to win to nil13%fair 7.94
Supra du Quebec to win to nil24%fair 4.18

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-19.5%
1-29.5%
0-17.1%
0-27%
2-16.4%
2-26.4%

Half-time / full-time

Supra du Quebec / Supra du Quebec33.1%
Draw / Supra du Quebec15.7%
HFX Wanderers FC / HFX Wanderers FC15%
Draw / Draw11.5%
Draw / HFX Wanderers FC8.9%

Questions about HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec

HFX Wanderers FC or Supra du Quebec: which side does the model back?

The model gives Supra du Quebec the best chance at 52%, with the draw at 23%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.5%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 65%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec?

The BTTS yes line is rated 65%. HFX Wanderers FC find the net in 74% of simulated matches and Supra du Quebec in 86%.

When is HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec and where is the result shown?

HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec starts at 20:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, HFX Wanderers FC v Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec to win, 52%
1.68Bet