Canadian Premier League
York UnitedHomeWLLLW
2:1Half-time 1:0
Atlético OttawaAwayWWLLD322246
York United winDrawAtlético Ottawa win
York UnitedHomeWLLLWAtlético OttawaAwayWWLLD- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 4.04 1.83 : 2.21
- Favourite
- 47% Atlético Ottawa
- Over 2.5 goals
- 76% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 75% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
York United vs Atlético Ottawa odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.91 | 4.05 | 1.93 | 1.23 | 3.42 | 1.25 | 3.44 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Atlético Ottawa to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best York United price at 2.91, 1xBet lead the draw at 4.05 and 1xBet have Atlético Ottawa longest at 1.93.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 90.2%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.23 (1xBet) and under 2.5 3.42 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.25 (1xBet) and no 3.44 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
78%
Our prediction
York United or Atlético Ottawa (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
76% chance1.23
BTTSBoth teams to score
75% chance1.25
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
91% chance1.10fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-2
8% chance12.66fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Atlético Ottawa, full-time Atlético Ottawa
30% chance3.34fair
First halfFirst-half goal
84% chance1.19fair
York United vs Atlético Ottawa prediction
York United vs Atlético Ottawa prediction and best bet
York United vs Atlético Ottawa prediction for the Canadian Premier League on Sunday, 25 October 2026: the model makes Atlético Ottawa marginally ahead at 47%, with the draw at 22% and York United at 32%.
The goal expectancy is 4.04 in total, split 1.83 to York United and 2.21 to Atlético Ottawa. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 76% and both teams to score 75%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
York United or Atlético Ottawa (no draw) is the main selection, rated 78%. At 1.16 with 1xBet the market prices it at 86%, against 78% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on York United vs Atlético Ottawa.
The draw sits at only 22%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
York United average 1.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded across their last 5, Atlético Ottawa 1.8 and 1.6 across 5.
Goals forecast for York United vs Atlético Ottawa with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 24% and under 3.5 43%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 91% and over 2.5 at 76%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 76%; 1xBet pay 1.23.
BTTS yes stands at 75%. York United score in 84% of simulations against a 16% clean sheet for Atlético Ottawa; Atlético Ottawa score in 89% while York United shut them out 11% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 75%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-2 at 7.9%, followed by 2-2 (7.2%) and 1-1 (7.1%).
With the top scoreline at 7.9%, correct score stays a long-odds market for York United vs Atlético Ottawa; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Atlético Ottawa, full-time Atlético Ottawa leads at 30%. A goal before the break is rated 84%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for York United vs Atlético Ottawa
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 32% / 22% / 47% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
York United to win32%2.91
Draw22%4.05
Atlético Ottawa to win47%1.93
York United, draw no bet41%fair 2.46
Atlético Ottawa, draw no bet59%fair 1.68
Double chance
York United or draw53%1.69
Atlético Ottawa or draw68%1.31
York United or Atlético Ottawa (no draw)78%1.16
Goals
Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 2.5 goals76%1.23
Over 3.5 goals57%fair 1.74
Over 4.5 goals38%fair 2.64
Under 1.5 goals9%fair 11.24
Under 2.5 goals24%3.42
Under 3.5 goals43%fair 2.35
BTTS
Both teams to score75%1.25
Not both teams to score25%3.44
Halves
First-half goal84%fair 1.19
Over 1.5 first-half goals54%fair 1.85
Second-half goal89%fair 1.12
Team goals
York United to score84%fair 1.19
Atlético Ottawa to score89%fair 1.12
York United clean sheet11%fair 9.09
Atlético Ottawa clean sheet16%fair 6.25
York United to win to nil10%fair 9.90
Atlético Ottawa to win to nil15%fair 6.76
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-27.9%
2-27.2%
1-17.1%
2-16.5%
1-35.8%
2-35.3%
Half-time / full-time
Atlético Ottawa / Atlético Ottawa29.9%
York United / York United19.7%
Draw / Atlético Ottawa13.3%
Draw / York United9.9%
Draw / Draw9.3%
Questions about York United vs Atlético Ottawa
Who will win York United vs Atlético Ottawa?
The model gives Atlético Ottawa the best chance at 47%, with the draw at 22%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in York United vs Atlético Ottawa?
1-2 is the most likely scoreline at 7.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 76% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in York United vs Atlético Ottawa?
The BTTS yes line is rated 75%. York United find the net in 84% of simulated matches and Atlético Ottawa in 89%.
When is York United vs Atlético Ottawa and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 20:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.