First League
Septemvri SofiaHomeLLLL
Fri 6 Nov
Lokomotiv SofiaAwayWDWDL332740
Septemvri Sofia winDrawLokomotiv Sofia win
Septemvri SofiaHomeLLLLLokomotiv SofiaAwayWDWDL- Kick-off Fri 6 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.57 1.19 : 1.38
- Favourite
- 41% Lokomotiv Sofia
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 52% model chance
- Prices compared
- 4 in the odds table
Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.93 | 3.40 | 2.24 | - | - | - | - | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.93 | 3.40 | 2.24 | - | - | - | - | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.93 | 3.40 | 2.24 | - | - | - | - | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.93 | 3.40 | 2.24 | - | - | - | - | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Lokomotiv Sofia to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia prediction: Septemvri Sofia 2.93 (1xBet), draw 3.40 (22Bet), Lokomotiv Sofia 2.24 (22Bet).
The best-price payout across the three results is 92.4%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
74%
Our prediction
Septemvri Sofia or Lokomotiv Sofia (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
53% chance1.90fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.93fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
73% chance1.38fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.94fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Lokomotiv Sofia, full-time Lokomotiv Sofia
24% chance4.10fair
First halfFirst-half goal
69% chance1.46fair
Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia prediction
Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia prediction, who wins and at what price
The Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia prediction leans to Lokomotiv Sofia: 41% against 33% for Septemvri Sofia, with 27% left for the draw, in the First League on Friday, 6 November 2026.
Expected goals are 1.19 for Septemvri Sofia and 1.38 for Lokomotiv Sofia, a total of 2.57, which puts over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 52%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is septemvri Sofia or Lokomotiv Sofia (no draw) at 74%. At 1.27 with 22Bet the market prices it at 79%, against 74% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia.
Over the last 4 matches Septemvri Sofia stand at 0 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Lokomotiv Sofia show 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
How many goals in Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
On the goal lines Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia reads 73% for over 1.5, 47% for over 2.5 and 26% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 53%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%.
The chance of both teams scoring is 52%, built from Septemvri Sofia scoring in 70% of runs and Lokomotiv Sofia in 75%; clean sheets come at 25% for Septemvri Sofia and 30% for Lokomotiv Sofia.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.6%, followed by 0-1 (10.6%) and 1-0 (9.1%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.6% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Lokomotiv Sofia, full-time Lokomotiv Sofia leads at 24%. A goal before the break is rated 69%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Septemvri Sofia to win33%2.93
Draw27%3.40
Lokomotiv Sofia to win41%2.24
Septemvri Sofia, draw no bet44%fair 2.26
Lokomotiv Sofia, draw no bet56%fair 1.79
Double chance
Septemvri Sofia or draw59%1.57
Lokomotiv Sofia or draw68%1.35
Septemvri Sofia or Lokomotiv Sofia (no draw)74%1.27
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals73%fair 1.38
Over 2.5 goals47%fair 2.11
Over 3.5 goals26%fair 3.89
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.47
Under 1.5 goals27%fair 3.66
Under 2.5 goals53%fair 1.90
Under 3.5 goals74%fair 1.35
BTTS
Both teams to score52%fair 1.93
Not both teams to score48%fair 2.08
Halves
First-half goal69%fair 1.46
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.11
Second-half goal76%fair 1.32
Team goals
Septemvri Sofia to score70%fair 1.44
Lokomotiv Sofia to score75%fair 1.34
Septemvri Sofia clean sheet25%fair 3.97
Lokomotiv Sofia clean sheet30%fair 3.29
Septemvri Sofia to win to nil23%fair 4.33
Lokomotiv Sofia to win to nil28%fair 3.57
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.6%
0-110.6%
1-09.1%
1-28.7%
0-07.7%
2-17.5%
Half-time / full-time
Lokomotiv Sofia / Lokomotiv Sofia24.4%
Septemvri Sofia / Septemvri Sofia18.5%
Draw / Draw16.3%
Draw / Lokomotiv Sofia14.6%
Draw / Septemvri Sofia11.9%
Questions about Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia
Who will win Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
The model gives Lokomotiv Sofia the best chance at 41%, with the draw at 27%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.6%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 47% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Septemvri Sofia find the net in 70% of simulated matches and Lokomotiv Sofia in 75%.
When do Septemvri Sofia play Lokomotiv Sofia?
Kick-off is 15:00 UTC on Friday, 6 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.