First League
Slavia SofiaHomeLLWDD
Sat 7 Nov
Cherno More VarnaAwayDLWW343036
Slavia Sofia winDrawCherno More Varna win
Slavia SofiaHomeLLWDDCherno More VarnaAwayDLWW- Kick-off Sat 7 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.12 1.04 : 1.08
- Favourite
- 36% Cherno More Varna
- Over 2.5 goals
- 36% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 43% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Slavia Sofia vs Cherno More Varna betting odds by bookmaker
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
71%
Our prediction
Slavia Sofia or Cherno More Varna (no draw)
1.42fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
64% chance1.56fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
58% chance1.74fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
63% chance1.60fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
14% chance7.41fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Cherno More Varna, full-time Cherno More Varna
21% chance4.88fair
First halfFirst-half goal
62% chance1.63fair
Slavia Sofia vs Cherno More Varna prediction
Our Slavia Sofia vs Cherno More Varna prediction and pick
Slavia Sofia vs Cherno More Varna prediction for the First League on Saturday, 7 November 2026: the model calls it close, Slavia Sofia 34%, draw 30%, Cherno More Varna 36%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.
Expected goals are 1.04 for Slavia Sofia and 1.08 for Cherno More Varna, a total of 2.12, which puts over 2.5 goals at 36% and both teams to score at 43%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Slavia Sofia vs Cherno More Varna is slavia Sofia or Cherno More Varna (no draw), a 71% chance. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
Slavia Sofia average 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded across their last 5, Cherno More Varna 1.5 and 0.8 across 4.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Slavia Sofia vs Cherno More Varna
On the goal lines Slavia Sofia vs Cherno More Varna reads 63% for over 1.5, 36% for over 2.5 and 17% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 64%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 64%.
The chance of both teams scoring is 43%, built from Slavia Sofia scoring in 65% of runs and Cherno More Varna in 66%; clean sheets come at 34% for Slavia Sofia and 35% for Cherno More Varna.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Slavia Sofia vs Cherno More Varna: 1-1 (13.5%), 0-1 (13%) and 1-0 (12.5%).
With the top scoreline at 13.5%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Slavia Sofia vs Cherno More Varna; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Cherno More Varna, full-time Cherno More Varna leads at 21%. A goal before the break is rated 62%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Slavia Sofia vs Cherno More Varna
The grid built from 1.04 and 1.08 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Slavia Sofia to win34%fair 2.91
Draw30%fair 3.39
Cherno More Varna to win36%fair 2.77
Slavia Sofia, draw no bet49%fair 2.05
Cherno More Varna, draw no bet51%fair 1.95
Double chance
Slavia Sofia or draw64%fair 1.56
Cherno More Varna or draw66%fair 1.52
Slavia Sofia or Cherno More Varna (no draw)71%fair 1.42
Goals
Over 0.5 goals88%fair 1.14
Over 1.5 goals63%fair 1.60
Over 2.5 goals36%fair 2.79
Over 3.5 goals17%fair 6.06
Over 4.5 goals6%fair 15.63
Under 1.5 goals37%fair 2.67
Under 2.5 goals64%fair 1.56
Under 3.5 goals84%fair 1.20
BTTS
Both teams to score43%fair 2.35
Not both teams to score58%fair 1.74
Halves
First-half goal62%fair 1.63
Over 1.5 first-half goals25%fair 4.05
Second-half goal69%fair 1.45
Team goals
Slavia Sofia to score65%fair 1.55
Cherno More Varna to score66%fair 1.52
Slavia Sofia clean sheet34%fair 2.94
Cherno More Varna clean sheet35%fair 2.83
Slavia Sofia to win to nil31%fair 3.21
Cherno More Varna to win to nil33%fair 3.08
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.03
Even number of goals51%fair 1.97
Most likely scores
1-113.5%
0-113%
1-012.5%
0-012%
1-27.3%
2-17%
Half-time / full-time
Cherno More Varna / Cherno More Varna20.5%
Draw / Draw20.4%
Slavia Sofia / Slavia Sofia19.2%
Draw / Cherno More Varna14%
Draw / Slavia Sofia13.4%
Questions about Slavia Sofia vs Cherno More Varna
Slavia Sofia or Cherno More Varna: which side does the model back?
The model gives Cherno More Varna the best chance at 36%, with the draw at 30%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What scoreline is most likely in Slavia Sofia vs Cherno More Varna?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.5%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 36%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Slavia Sofia vs Cherno More Varna?
The BTTS yes line is rated 43%. Slavia Sofia find the net in 65% of simulated matches and Cherno More Varna in 66%.
What time does Slavia Sofia vs Cherno More Varna kick off?
Slavia Sofia vs Cherno More Varna starts at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.