First League
Cherno More VarnaHomeDLWW
2:0Half-time 2:0
Septemvri SofiaAwayLLLL562420
Cherno More Varna winDrawSeptemvri Sofia win
Cherno More VarnaHomeDLWWSeptemvri SofiaAwayLLLL- Kick-off Tue 27 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.50 1.65 : 0.85
- Favourite
- 56% Cherno More Varna
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 47% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Best odds for Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.65 | 3.64 | 5.03 | 2.11 | 1.67 | 2.02 | 1.71 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.72 | 3.49 | 4.98 | 2.21 | 1.67 | 2.02 | 1.74 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.71 | 3.40 | 4.80 | 2.14 | 1.65 | 1.99 | 1.69 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.72 | 3.49 | 4.98 | 2.21 | 1.67 | 2.02 | 1.74 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.72 | 3.49 | 4.98 | 2.21 | 1.67 | 2.02 | 1.74 | Bet |
 Stake | 1.71 | 3.45 | 4.70 | 2.05 | 1.66 | 1.99 | 1.67 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Cherno More Varna to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia prediction: Cherno More Varna 1.72 (Melbet), draw 3.64 (1xBet), Septemvri Sofia 5.03 (1xBet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 94.8%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.21 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.67 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.02 (1xBet) and no 1.74 (Melbet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
56%
Our prediction
Cherno More Varna to win
Double chanceCherno More Varna or draw
81% chance1.15
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
55% chance1.67
BTTSNot both teams to score
53% chance1.74
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
71% chance1.40fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
14% chance7.41fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Cherno More Varna, full-time Cherno More Varna
35% chance2.86fair
Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia prediction
Our Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia prediction and pick
The Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia prediction leans to Cherno More Varna: 56% against 19% for Septemvri Sofia, with 24% left for the draw, in the First League on Tuesday, 27 October 2026.
Cherno More Varna are expected to score 1.65 and Septemvri Sofia 0.85, so the total line is 2.50 goals; over 2.5 lands at 45% and BTTS at 47%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia is cherno More Varna to win, a 56% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.72 at Melbet, which implies 58%, so the model sits 2 points below the market.
For a safer line, cherno More Varna or draw covers 81% of outcomes at 1.15.
Cherno More Varna average 1.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded across their last 4, Septemvri Sofia 0.8 and 2.5 across 4.
Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Under 2.5 goals is rated 55% and under 3.5 76%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 71% and over 2.5 at 45%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 55%; 1xBet pay 1.67.
The chance of both teams scoring is 47%, built from Cherno More Varna scoring in 81% of runs and Septemvri Sofia in 57%; clean sheets come at 43% for Cherno More Varna and 19% for Septemvri Sofia.
Correct score: 1-0 leads at 13.5%, then 1-1 at 11.5% and 2-0 at 11.2%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Cherno More Varna, full-time Cherno More Varna leads at 35%. A goal before the break is rated 68%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Cherno More Varna to win56%1.72
Draw24%3.64
Septemvri Sofia to win19%5.03
Cherno More Varna, draw no bet75%fair 1.34
Septemvri Sofia, draw no bet26%fair 3.92
Double chance
Cherno More Varna or draw81%1.15
Septemvri Sofia or draw44%2.11
Cherno More Varna or Septemvri Sofia (no draw)76%1.28
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals71%fair 1.40
Over 2.5 goals45%2.21
Over 3.5 goals24%fair 4.13
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 9.17
Under 1.5 goals29%fair 3.48
Under 2.5 goals55%1.67
Under 3.5 goals76%fair 1.32
BTTS
Both teams to score47%2.02
Not both teams to score53%1.74
Halves
First-half goal68%fair 1.48
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.23
Second-half goal75%fair 1.34
Team goals
Cherno More Varna to score81%fair 1.24
Septemvri Sofia to score57%fair 1.75
Cherno More Varna clean sheet43%fair 2.34
Septemvri Sofia clean sheet19%fair 5.21
Cherno More Varna to win to nil39%fair 2.54
Septemvri Sofia to win to nil18%fair 5.65
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-013.5%
1-111.5%
2-011.2%
2-19.5%
0-08.2%
0-17%
Half-time / full-time
Cherno More Varna / Cherno More Varna35%
Draw / Cherno More Varna18.9%
Draw / Draw15.8%
Septemvri Sofia / Septemvri Sofia10.4%
Draw / Septemvri Sofia7.7%
Questions about Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia
Who is favourite in Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia?
The model gives Cherno More Varna the best chance at 56%, with the draw at 24%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What scoreline is most likely in Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 45% backs the same picture with less variance.
Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 47%. Cherno More Varna find the net in 81% of simulated matches and Septemvri Sofia in 57%.
What time does Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia kick off?
Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia starts at 15:00 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.