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Live 23 UTC
Bolivia Primera División Apertura - 23 Sunday, 25 October 2026 FT
AuroraHomeDLWD
1:0Half-time 1:0
Real TomayapoAwayDWL
691813
Aurora winDrawReal Tomayapo win
Kick-off
Sun 25 Oct
Expected goals
3.14
2.27 : 0.87
Favourite
69%
Aurora
Over 2.5 goals
61%
model chance
Both teams to score
52%
model chance
Prices compared
4
in the odds table

Best odds for Aurora vs Real Tomayapo

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.374.406.711.532.211.741.96Bet
22Bet1.384.787.551.542.381.871.87Bet
Betwinner1.384.787.551.542.381.871.87Bet
Melbet1.384.787.551.542.381.871.87Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Aurora to win partner prices

Melbet pay the best Aurora price at 1.38, Melbet lead the draw at 4.78 and Melbet have Real Tomayapo longest at 7.55.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 93.6%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.54 (Melbet) and under 2.5 2.38 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.87 (22Bet) and no 1.96 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

69%

Our prediction

Aurora to win
BankerExpected goals 2.27 : 0.87-5% against the best price
Double chanceAurora or draw
87% chance1.07
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
61% chance1.54
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.87
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
82% chance1.22fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
11% chance8.93fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Aurora, full-time Aurora
46% chance2.16fair

Aurora vs Real Tomayapo prediction

Aurora vs Real Tomayapo prediction and best bet

Aurora are the clear favourite in the Aurora vs Real Tomayapo prediction, rated 69% to win this Bolivia Primera División match on Sunday, 25 October 2026. Real Tomayapo sit at 13% and the draw at 18%.

Aurora are expected to score 2.27 and Real Tomayapo 0.87, so the total line is 3.14 goals; over 2.5 lands at 61% and BTTS at 52%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is aurora to win at 69%. Melbet offer the top price at 1.38. That price implies 73%, 4 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Aurora or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 87% chance, priced 1.07.

The draw sits at only 18%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Form check: Aurora have won 1 of their last 4 with 4 scored and 4 conceded, Real Tomayapo 1 of 3 scoring 1 and conceding 1.

Aurora vs Real Tomayapo over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Under 2.5 goals is rated 40% and under 3.5 62%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 82% and over 2.5 at 61%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 61%; Melbet pay 1.54.

BTTS yes stands at 52%. Aurora score in 90% of simulations against a 10% clean sheet for Real Tomayapo; Real Tomayapo score in 58% while Aurora shut them out 42% of the time.

The most likely scoreline is 2-0 at 11.2%, followed by 1-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.7%).

With the top scoreline at 11.2%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Aurora vs Real Tomayapo; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Aurora, full-time Aurora is the top combination at 46%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 76%.

Every market for Aurora vs Real Tomayapo

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Aurora vs Real Tomayapo, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Aurora to win69%1.38
Draw18%4.78
Real Tomayapo to win13%7.55
Aurora, draw no bet84%fair 1.19
Real Tomayapo, draw no bet16%fair 6.33

Double chance

Aurora or draw87%1.07
Real Tomayapo or draw31%2.93
Aurora or Real Tomayapo (no draw)82%1.16

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals82%fair 1.22
Over 2.5 goals61%1.54
Over 3.5 goals38%fair 2.60
Over 4.5 goals21%fair 4.78
Under 1.5 goals18%fair 5.59
Under 2.5 goals40%2.38
Under 3.5 goals62%fair 1.62

BTTS

Both teams to score52%1.87
Not both teams to score48%1.96

Halves

First-half goal76%fair 1.32
Over 1.5 first-half goals41%fair 2.42
Second-half goal82%fair 1.22

Team goals

Aurora to score90%fair 1.11
Real Tomayapo to score58%fair 1.72
Aurora clean sheet42%fair 2.39
Real Tomayapo clean sheet10%fair 9.71
Aurora to win to nil39%fair 2.60
Real Tomayapo to win to nil10%fair 10.53

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-011.2%
1-09.8%
2-19.7%
1-18.5%
3-08.4%
3-17.3%

Half-time / full-time

Aurora / Aurora46.2%
Draw / Aurora19.5%
Draw / Draw10.6%
Real Tomayapo / Real Tomayapo7%
Draw / Real Tomayapo5%

Questions about Aurora vs Real Tomayapo

Who is favourite in Aurora vs Real Tomayapo?

The model gives Aurora the best chance at 69%, with the draw at 18%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

Aurora vs Real Tomayapo correct score: what does the model say?

2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 11.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 61%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Aurora vs Real Tomayapo?

The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Aurora find the net in 90% of simulated matches and Real Tomayapo in 58%.

What time does Aurora vs Real Tomayapo kick off?

Aurora vs Real Tomayapo starts at 21:15 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Aurora v Real TomayapoAurora to win, 69%
1.38Bet