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Live 11 UTC
Bolivia Primera División Apertura - 23 Tuesday, 27 October 2026 FT
BolívarHomeWWWWW
2:1Half-time 0:1
Universitario de VintoAwayLWLL
8875
Bolívar winDrawUniversitario de Vinto win
Kick-off
Tue 27 Oct
Expected goals
4.36
3.61 : 0.75
Favourite
88%
Bolívar
Over 2.5 goals
77%
model chance
Both teams to score
52%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Bolívar vs Universitario de Vinto odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.088.0014.501.233.421.801.89Bet
22Bet1.137.9216.801.224.001.801.90Bet
Betwinner1.137.9216.801.224.001.801.90Bet
Melbet1.137.9216.801.224.001.831.88Bet
Stake1.118.2015.00--1.801.83Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Bolívar to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Bolívar vs Universitario de Vinto prediction: Bolívar 1.13 (22Bet), draw 8.20 (Stake), Universitario de Vinto 16.80 (22Bet).

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 93.8%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.23 (1xBet) and under 2.5 4.00 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.83 (Melbet) and no 1.90 (22Bet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

88%

Our prediction

Bolívar to win
BankerExpected goals 3.61 : 0.75-0.7% against the best price
Double chanceBolívar or draw
94% chance-
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
77% chance1.23
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.83
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
93% chance1.08fair
ScorelineCorrect score 3-0
10% chance10.00fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Bolívar, full-time Bolívar
67% chance1.49fair

Bolívar vs Universitario de Vinto prediction

Bolívar vs Universitario de Vinto prediction, who wins and at what price

Bolívar vs Universitario de Vinto prediction for the Bolivia Primera División on Tuesday, 27 October 2026: the model makes Bolívar a strong favourite at 88%, with the draw at 7% and Universitario de Vinto at 6%.

Expected goals are 3.61 for Bolívar and 0.75 for Universitario de Vinto, a total of 4.36, which puts over 2.5 goals at 77% and both teams to score at 52%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is bolívar to win at 88%. The best price in our comparison is 1.13 at 22Bet, which implies 88%, so the model sits 1 points below the market.

For a safer line, bolívar or draw covers 94% of outcomes at -.

With the draw down at 7%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Bolívar average 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded across their last 5, Universitario de Vinto 1.2 and 2.2 across 4.

Goals forecast for Bolívar vs Universitario de Vinto with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Under 2.5 goals is rated 23% and under 3.5 37%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 93% and over 2.5 at 77%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 77%, best priced 1.23 at 1xBet.

BTTS yes stands at 52%. Bolívar score in 97% of simulations against a 3% clean sheet for Universitario de Vinto; Universitario de Vinto score in 53% while Bolívar shut them out 47% of the time.

The most likely scoreline is 3-0 at 10%, followed by 4-0 (9%) and 2-0 (8.3%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 10% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Bolívar, full-time Bolívar is the top combination at 67%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 86%.

Every market for Bolívar vs Universitario de Vinto

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 88% / 7% / 6% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Bolívar to win88%1.13
Draw7%8.20
Universitario de Vinto to win6%16.80
Bolívar, draw no bet94%fair 1.06
Universitario de Vinto, draw no bet6%fair 16.67

Double chance

Bolívar or draw94%-
Universitario de Vinto or draw12%5.38
Bolívar or Universitario de Vinto (no draw)94%1.06

Goals

Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 2.5 goals77%1.23
Over 3.5 goals63%fair 1.59
Over 4.5 goals44%fair 2.29
Under 1.5 goals7%fair 13.70
Under 2.5 goals23%4.00
Under 3.5 goals37%fair 2.70

BTTS

Both teams to score52%1.83
Not both teams to score49%1.90

Halves

First-half goal86%fair 1.16
Over 1.5 first-half goals58%fair 1.71
Second-half goal91%fair 1.10

Team goals

Bolívar to score97%fair 1.03
Universitario de Vinto to score53%fair 1.89
Bolívar clean sheet47%fair 2.12
Universitario de Vinto clean sheet3%fair 37.04
Bolívar to win to nil44%fair 2.30
Universitario de Vinto to win to nil3%fair 40.00

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

3-010%
4-09%
2-08.3%
3-17.5%
4-16.8%
5-06.5%

Half-time / full-time

Bolívar / Bolívar67.2%
Draw / Bolívar17.1%
Draw / Draw4.2%
Universitario de Vinto / Bolívar3.2%
Universitario de Vinto / Universitario de Vinto2.1%

Questions about Bolívar vs Universitario de Vinto

Who is favourite in Bolívar vs Universitario de Vinto?

The model gives Bolívar the best chance at 88%, with the draw at 7%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What is the correct score prediction for Bolívar vs Universitario de Vinto?

3-0 is the most likely scoreline at 10%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 77% backs the same picture with less variance.

Bolívar vs Universitario de Vinto both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Bolívar find the net in 97% of simulated matches and Universitario de Vinto in 53%.

When is Bolívar vs Universitario de Vinto and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 00:00 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Bolívar v Universitario de VintoBolívar to win, 88%
1.13Bet