Bolivia Primera División
Nacional PotosíHomeDLWD
3:0Half-time 0:0
GuabiráAwayLDLL721711
Nacional Potosí winDrawGuabirá win
Nacional PotosíHomeDLWDGuabiráAwayLDLL- Kick-off Mon 26 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.47 2.53 : 0.94
- Favourite
- 72% Nacional Potosí
- Over 2.5 goals
- 66% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 58% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Nacional Potosí vs Guabirá odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.34 | 4.75 | 6.69 | 1.42 | 2.49 | 1.65 | 2.08 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.25 | 6.04 | 9.50 | 1.28 | 3.50 | 1.62 | 2.21 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.25 | 6.04 | 9.50 | 1.28 | 3.50 | 1.62 | 2.21 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.25 | 6.04 | 9.50 | 1.28 | 3.50 | 1.62 | 2.21 | Bet |
 Stake | 1.22 | 6.20 | 9.00 | - | - | 1.65 | 2.02 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Nacional Potosí to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Nacional Potosí vs Guabirá prediction: Nacional Potosí 1.34 (1xBet), draw 6.20 (Stake), Guabirá 9.50 (Melbet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 98.7%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.42 (1xBet) and under 2.5 3.50 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.65 (1xBet) and no 2.21 (Melbet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
72%
Our prediction
Nacional Potosí to win
Double chanceNacional Potosí or draw
89% chance1.05
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
66% chance1.42
BTTSBoth teams to score
58% chance1.65
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
86% chance1.16fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
10% chance10.00fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Nacional Potosí, full-time Nacional Potosí
49% chance2.03fair
Nacional Potosí vs Guabirá prediction
Our Nacional Potosí vs Guabirá prediction and pick
The Nacional Potosí vs Guabirá prediction leans to Nacional Potosí: 72% against 11% for Guabirá, with 17% left for the draw, in the Bolivia Primera División on Monday, 26 October 2026.
Expected goals are 2.53 for Nacional Potosí and 0.94 for Guabirá, a total of 3.47, which puts over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams to score at 58%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is nacional Potosí to win at 72%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.34. That price implies 75%, 3 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Nacional Potosí vs Guabirá.
Nacional Potosí or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 89% chance, priced 1.05.
The draw sits at only 17%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Over the last 4 matches Nacional Potosí stand at 1 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Guabirá show 0 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats in 4.
Goals forecast for Nacional Potosí vs Guabirá with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 34% and under 3.5 54%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 86% and over 2.5 at 66%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 66%; 1xBet pay 1.42.
The chance of both teams scoring is 58%, built from Nacional Potosí scoring in 92% of runs and Guabirá in 61%; clean sheets come at 39% for Nacional Potosí and 8% for Guabirá.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Nacional Potosí vs Guabirá: 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (9.4%) and 3-0 (8.4%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Nacional Potosí, full-time Nacional Potosí leads at 49%. A goal before the break is rated 79%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Nacional Potosí vs Guabirá
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Nacional Potosí vs Guabirá, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Nacional Potosí to win72%1.34
Draw17%6.20
Guabirá to win11%9.50
Nacional Potosí, draw no bet86%fair 1.16
Guabirá, draw no bet14%fair 7.35
Double chance
Nacional Potosí or draw89%1.05
Guabirá or draw28%3.69
Nacional Potosí or Guabirá (no draw)83%1.12
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals86%fair 1.16
Over 2.5 goals66%1.42
Over 3.5 goals46%fair 2.19
Over 4.5 goals27%fair 3.72
Under 1.5 goals14%fair 7.19
Under 2.5 goals34%3.50
Under 3.5 goals54%fair 1.84
BTTS
Both teams to score58%1.65
Not both teams to score43%2.21
Halves
First-half goal79%fair 1.27
Over 1.5 first-half goals46%fair 2.16
Second-half goal85%fair 1.17
Team goals
Nacional Potosí to score92%fair 1.09
Guabirá to score61%fair 1.64
Nacional Potosí clean sheet39%fair 2.56
Guabirá clean sheet8%fair 12.50
Nacional Potosí to win to nil36%fair 2.79
Guabirá to win to nil7%fair 13.70
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-010%
2-19.4%
3-08.4%
3-17.9%
1-07.9%
1-17.4%
Half-time / full-time
Nacional Potosí / Nacional Potosí49.2%
Draw / Nacional Potosí19%
Draw / Draw8.9%
Guabirá / Guabirá6.5%
Draw / Guabirá4.4%
Questions about Nacional Potosí vs Guabirá
Who will win Nacional Potosí vs Guabirá?
The model gives Nacional Potosí the best chance at 72%, with the draw at 17%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
Nacional Potosí vs Guabirá correct score: what does the model say?
2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 10%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 66% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Nacional Potosí vs Guabirá?
The BTTS yes line is rated 58%. Nacional Potosí find the net in 92% of simulated matches and Guabirá in 61%.
What time does Nacional Potosí vs Guabirá kick off?
Kick-off is 22:00 UTC on Monday, 26 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.