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Bolivia Primera División Apertura - 23 Saturday, 24 October 2026 FT
Independiente PetroleroHomeLLDWD
4:2Half-time 3:1
ABBAwayLLLL
602119
Independiente Petrolero winDrawABB win
Kick-off
Sat 24 Oct
Expected goals
3.39
2.20 : 1.19
Favourite
60%
Independiente Petrolero
Over 2.5 goals
66%
model chance
Both teams to score
62%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Best odds for Independiente Petrolero vs ABB

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.554.154.581.402.561.482.45Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Independiente Petrolero to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Independiente Petrolero vs ABB are 1.55 for Independiente Petrolero at 1xBet, 4.15 for the draw at 1xBet and 4.58 for ABB at 1xBet.

The best-price payout across the three results is 90.5%, several points better than any single book offers here.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.40 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.56 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.48 (1xBet) and no 2.45 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

60%

Our prediction

Independiente Petrolero to win
StrongExpected goals 2.20 : 1.19-7.3% against the best price
Double chanceIndependiente Petrolero or draw
81% chance1.13
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
66% chance1.40
BTTSBoth teams to score
62% chance1.48
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
85% chance1.17fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
10% chance10.31fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Independiente Petrolero, full-time Independiente Petrolero
39% chance2.54fair

Independiente Petrolero vs ABB prediction

Independiente Petrolero vs ABB prediction, who wins and at what price

Independiente Petrolero vs ABB prediction for the Bolivia Primera División on Saturday, 24 October 2026: the model makes Independiente Petrolero a narrow favourite at 60%, with the draw at 21% and ABB at 19%.

The goal expectancy is 3.39 in total, split 2.20 to Independiente Petrolero and 1.19 to ABB. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 66% and both teams to score 62%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is independiente Petrolero to win at 60%. The best price in our comparison is 1.55 at 1xBet, which implies 65%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Independiente Petrolero vs ABB.

For a safer line, independiente Petrolero or draw covers 81% of outcomes at 1.13.

The draw sits at only 21%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Independiente Petrolero average 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across their last 5, ABB 1.0 and 2.2 across 4.

Goals forecast for Independiente Petrolero vs ABB with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines Independiente Petrolero vs ABB reads 85% for over 1.5, 66% for over 2.5 and 44% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 34%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 66%; 1xBet pay 1.40.

The chance of both teams scoring is 62%, built from Independiente Petrolero scoring in 89% of runs and ABB in 70%; clean sheets come at 30% for Independiente Petrolero and 11% for ABB.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.

The most likely scoreline is 2-1 at 9.7%, followed by 1-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.2%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Independiente Petrolero, full-time Independiente Petrolero leads at 39%. A goal before the break is rated 78%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market rated for Independiente Petrolero vs ABB

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Independiente Petrolero vs ABB, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Independiente Petrolero to win60%1.55
Draw21%4.15
ABB to win19%4.58
Independiente Petrolero, draw no bet76%fair 1.32
ABB, draw no bet25%fair 4.08

Double chance

Independiente Petrolero or draw81%1.13
ABB or draw40%2.18
Independiente Petrolero or ABB (no draw)79%1.16

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals85%fair 1.17
Over 2.5 goals66%1.40
Over 3.5 goals44%fair 2.28
Over 4.5 goals25%fair 3.94
Under 1.5 goals15%fair 6.76
Under 2.5 goals34%2.56
Under 3.5 goals56%fair 1.78

BTTS

Both teams to score62%1.48
Not both teams to score38%2.45

Halves

First-half goal78%fair 1.28
Over 1.5 first-half goals45%fair 2.22
Second-half goal85%fair 1.18

Team goals

Independiente Petrolero to score89%fair 1.12
ABB to score70%fair 1.44
Independiente Petrolero clean sheet30%fair 3.29
ABB clean sheet11%fair 9.01
Independiente Petrolero to win to nil28%fair 3.57
ABB to win to nil10%fair 9.80

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-19.7%
1-18.8%
2-08.2%
1-07.4%
3-17.1%
3-06%

Half-time / full-time

Independiente Petrolero / Independiente Petrolero39.3%
Draw / Independiente Petrolero17.3%
ABB / ABB11.1%
Draw / Draw10.6%
Draw / ABB7%

Questions about Independiente Petrolero vs ABB

Independiente Petrolero or ABB: which side does the model back?

The model gives Independiente Petrolero the best chance at 60%, with the draw at 21%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

Independiente Petrolero vs ABB correct score: what does the model say?

2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 66% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Independiente Petrolero vs ABB?

The BTTS yes line is rated 62%. Independiente Petrolero find the net in 89% of simulated matches and ABB in 70%.

What time does Independiente Petrolero vs ABB kick off?

Kick-off is 23:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Independiente Petrolero v ABBIndependiente Petrolero to win, 60%
1.55Bet