KAA Gent IIHomeDWLW
K. Lierse S.K.AwayLWL
KAA Gent IIHomeDWLW
K. Lierse S.K.AwayLWL| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.42 | 3.34 | 2.46 | 1.67 | 2.04 | 1.55 | 2.27 | Bet | |
| 2.40 | 3.54 | 2.71 | 1.69 | 2.10 | 1.59 | 2.28 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
The top 1X2 prices for KAA Gent II vs K. Lierse S.K. are 2.42 for KAA Gent II at 1xBet, 3.54 for the draw at 22Bet and 2.71 for K. Lierse S.K. at 22Bet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 93.9%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.69 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.10 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.59 (22Bet) and no 2.28 (22Bet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
Our prediction
The KAA Gent II vs K. Lierse S.K. prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Challenger Pro League on Friday, 30 October 2026 gives KAA Gent II a 38% chance, K. Lierse S.K. 36% and the draw 26%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.
The goal expectancy is 2.94 in total, split 1.49 to KAA Gent II and 1.45 to K. Lierse S.K.. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 56% and both teams to score 60%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is kAA Gent II or K. Lierse S.K. (no draw) at 74%. At 1.27 with 22Bet the market prices it at 79%, against 74% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on KAA Gent II vs K. Lierse S.K..
KAA Gent II average 1.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded across their last 4, K. Lierse S.K. 1.7 and 1.7 across 3.
On the goal lines KAA Gent II vs K. Lierse S.K. reads 79% for over 1.5, 56% for over 2.5 and 34% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 44%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 56%, best priced 1.69 at 22Bet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 60%, built from KAA Gent II scoring in 78% of runs and K. Lierse S.K. in 77%; clean sheets come at 24% for KAA Gent II and 23% for K. Lierse S.K..
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.4%, followed by 2-1 (8.5%) and 1-2 (8.3%).
With the top scoreline at 11.4%, correct score stays a long-odds market for KAA Gent II vs K. Lierse S.K.; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time KAA Gent II, full-time KAA Gent II is the top combination at 23%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 73%.
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 38% / 26% / 36% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives KAA Gent II the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 26%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 56% backs the same picture with less variance.
The BTTS yes line is rated 60%. KAA Gent II find the net in 78% of simulated matches and K. Lierse S.K. in 77%.
KAA Gent II vs K. Lierse S.K. starts at 19:00 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.