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Challenger Pro League Round 9 Friday, 30 October 2026 FT
KAA Gent IIHomeDWLW
2:0Half-time 0:0
K. Lierse S.K.AwayLWL
382636
KAA Gent II winDrawK. Lierse S.K. win
Kick-off
Fri 30 Oct
Expected goals
2.94
1.49 : 1.45
Favourite
38%
KAA Gent II
Over 2.5 goals
56%
model chance
Both teams to score
60%
model chance
Prices compared
2
in the odds table

Best odds for KAA Gent II vs K. Lierse S.K.

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.423.342.461.672.041.552.27Bet
22Bet2.403.542.711.692.101.592.28Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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KAA Gent II to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for KAA Gent II vs K. Lierse S.K. are 2.42 for KAA Gent II at 1xBet, 3.54 for the draw at 22Bet and 2.71 for K. Lierse S.K. at 22Bet.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 93.9%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.69 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.10 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.59 (22Bet) and no 2.28 (22Bet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

74%

Our prediction

KAA Gent II or K. Lierse S.K. (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.49 : 1.45-6.3% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
56% chance1.69
BTTSBoth teams to score
60% chance1.59
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
79% chance1.26fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance8.77fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time KAA Gent II, full-time KAA Gent II
23% chance4.35fair
First halfFirst-half goal
73% chance1.36fair

KAA Gent II vs K. Lierse S.K. prediction

KAA Gent II vs K. Lierse S.K. prediction, who wins and at what price

The KAA Gent II vs K. Lierse S.K. prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Challenger Pro League on Friday, 30 October 2026 gives KAA Gent II a 38% chance, K. Lierse S.K. 36% and the draw 26%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.

The goal expectancy is 2.94 in total, split 1.49 to KAA Gent II and 1.45 to K. Lierse S.K.. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 56% and both teams to score 60%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is kAA Gent II or K. Lierse S.K. (no draw) at 74%. At 1.27 with 22Bet the market prices it at 79%, against 74% from the model.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on KAA Gent II vs K. Lierse S.K..

KAA Gent II average 1.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded across their last 4, K. Lierse S.K. 1.7 and 1.7 across 3.

How many goals in KAA Gent II vs K. Lierse S.K.? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

On the goal lines KAA Gent II vs K. Lierse S.K. reads 79% for over 1.5, 56% for over 2.5 and 34% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 44%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 56%, best priced 1.69 at 22Bet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 60%, built from KAA Gent II scoring in 78% of runs and K. Lierse S.K. in 77%; clean sheets come at 24% for KAA Gent II and 23% for K. Lierse S.K..

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.4%, followed by 2-1 (8.5%) and 1-2 (8.3%).

With the top scoreline at 11.4%, correct score stays a long-odds market for KAA Gent II vs K. Lierse S.K.; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time KAA Gent II, full-time KAA Gent II is the top combination at 23%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 73%.

Every market for KAA Gent II vs K. Lierse S.K.

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 38% / 26% / 36% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

KAA Gent II to win38%2.42
Draw26%3.54
K. Lierse S.K. to win36%2.71
KAA Gent II, draw no bet51%fair 1.96
K. Lierse S.K., draw no bet49%fair 2.04

Double chance

KAA Gent II or draw64%1.43
K. Lierse S.K. or draw62%1.53
KAA Gent II or K. Lierse S.K. (no draw)74%1.27

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals79%fair 1.26
Over 2.5 goals56%1.69
Over 3.5 goals34%fair 2.95
Over 4.5 goals18%fair 5.71
Under 1.5 goals21%fair 4.81
Under 2.5 goals44%2.10
Under 3.5 goals66%fair 1.51

BTTS

Both teams to score60%1.59
Not both teams to score40%2.28

Halves

First-half goal73%fair 1.36
Over 1.5 first-half goals38%fair 2.62
Second-half goal80%fair 1.25

Team goals

KAA Gent II to score78%fair 1.29
K. Lierse S.K. to score77%fair 1.31
KAA Gent II clean sheet24%fair 4.26
K. Lierse S.K. clean sheet23%fair 4.44
KAA Gent II to win to nil22%fair 4.63
K. Lierse S.K. to win to nil21%fair 4.83

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-111.4%
2-18.5%
1-28.3%
1-07.9%
0-17.7%
2-26.2%

Half-time / full-time

KAA Gent II / KAA Gent II23%
K. Lierse S.K. / K. Lierse S.K.21.8%
Draw / Draw13.9%
Draw / KAA Gent II13.1%
Draw / K. Lierse S.K.12.6%

Questions about KAA Gent II vs K. Lierse S.K.

Who is favourite in KAA Gent II vs K. Lierse S.K.?

The model gives KAA Gent II the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 26%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What scoreline is most likely in KAA Gent II vs K. Lierse S.K.?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 56% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in KAA Gent II vs K. Lierse S.K.?

The BTTS yes line is rated 60%. KAA Gent II find the net in 78% of simulated matches and K. Lierse S.K. in 77%.

What time does KAA Gent II vs K. Lierse S.K. kick off?

KAA Gent II vs K. Lierse S.K. starts at 19:00 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, KAA Gent II v K. Lierse S.K.KAA Gent II or K. Lierse S.K. (no draw), 74%
1.27Bet