Belarus Premier League
FC MinskHomeLLLLL
1:3Half-time 0:1
BaranovichiAwayLLLWW542422
FC Minsk winDrawBaranovichi win
FC MinskHomeLLLLLBaranovichiAwayLLLWW- Kick-off Fri 23 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.64 1.68 : 0.96
- Favourite
- 54% FC Minsk
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 50% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
FC Minsk vs Baranovichi betting odds by bookmaker
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
54%
Our prediction
FC Minsk to win
1.84fair
Double chanceFC Minsk or draw
79% chance1.27fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
51% chance1.96fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
50% chance2.00fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
74% chance1.35fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
12% chance8.33fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time FC Minsk, full-time FC Minsk
34% chance2.97fair
FC Minsk vs Baranovichi prediction
FC Minsk vs Baranovichi prediction, who wins and at what price
FC Minsk vs Baranovichi prediction for the Belarus Premier League on Friday, 23 October 2026: the model makes FC Minsk a narrow favourite at 54%, with the draw at 24% and Baranovichi at 21%.
The goal expectancy is 2.64 in total, split 1.68 to FC Minsk and 0.96 to Baranovichi. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 49% and both teams to score 50%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is fC Minsk to win at 54%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.
For a safer line, fC Minsk or draw covers 79% of outcomes.
Form check: FC Minsk have won 0 of their last 5 with 3 scored and 14 conceded, Baranovichi 2 of 5 scoring 6 and conceding 7.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for FC Minsk vs Baranovichi
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 74%, over 2.5 at 49%, over 3.5 at 27%; under 2.5 is 51% and under 3.5 is 73%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 51%.
Both teams to score is 50%: FC Minsk find the net in 81% of simulated matches and Baranovichi in 62%. FC Minsk keep a clean sheet 38% of the time and Baranovichi 19%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for FC Minsk vs Baranovichi: 1-0 (12%), 1-1 (11.5%) and 2-0 (10.1%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time FC Minsk, full-time FC Minsk leads at 34%. A goal before the break is rated 70%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for FC Minsk vs Baranovichi
The grid built from 1.68 and 0.96 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
FC Minsk to win54%fair 1.84
Draw24%fair 4.13
Baranovichi to win21%fair 4.67
FC Minsk, draw no bet72%fair 1.39
Baranovichi, draw no bet28%fair 3.55
Double chance
FC Minsk or draw79%fair 1.27
Baranovichi or draw46%fair 2.19
FC Minsk or Baranovichi (no draw)76%fair 1.32
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals74%fair 1.35
Over 2.5 goals49%fair 2.04
Over 3.5 goals27%fair 3.66
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 7.81
Under 1.5 goals26%fair 3.85
Under 2.5 goals51%fair 1.96
Under 3.5 goals73%fair 1.38
BTTS
Both teams to score50%fair 2.00
Not both teams to score50%fair 2.00
Halves
First-half goal70%fair 1.44
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.00
Second-half goal77%fair 1.31
Team goals
FC Minsk to score81%fair 1.23
Baranovichi to score62%fair 1.62
FC Minsk clean sheet38%fair 2.61
Baranovichi clean sheet19%fair 5.38
FC Minsk to win to nil35%fair 2.84
Baranovichi to win to nil17%fair 5.85
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-012%
1-111.5%
2-010.1%
2-19.7%
0-07.1%
0-16.9%
Half-time / full-time
FC Minsk / FC Minsk33.7%
Draw / FC Minsk18%
Draw / Draw15%
Baranovichi / Baranovichi11.9%
Draw / Baranovichi8.3%
Questions about FC Minsk vs Baranovichi
FC Minsk or Baranovichi: which side does the model back?
The model gives FC Minsk the best chance at 54%, with the draw at 24%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
FC Minsk vs Baranovichi correct score: what does the model say?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 49% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in FC Minsk vs Baranovichi?
The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. FC Minsk find the net in 81% of simulated matches and Baranovichi in 62%.
When is FC Minsk vs Baranovichi and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 14:30 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.