Belarus Premier League
ML VitebskHomeWWWLW
4:0Half-time 4:0
FC MinskAwayLLLLL75178
ML Vitebsk winDrawFC Minsk win
ML VitebskHomeWWWLWFC MinskAwayLLLLL- Kick-off Sun 1 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.86 2.26 : 0.60
- Favourite
- 75% ML Vitebsk
- Over 2.5 goals
- 55% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 40% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Best odds for ML Vitebsk vs FC Minsk
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.27 | 4.85 | 13.00 | 1.72 | 2.05 | 2.35 | 1.53 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.33 | 4.67 | 9.68 | 1.77 | 2.06 | 2.24 | 1.61 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.25 | 4.80 | 11.00 | 1.70 | 2.04 | 2.28 | 1.52 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.33 | 4.67 | 9.68 | 1.77 | 2.06 | 2.24 | 1.61 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.33 | 4.67 | 9.68 | 1.77 | 2.06 | 2.24 | 1.61 | Bet |
 Stake | 1.21 | 5.60 | 11.00 | 1.65 | 2.03 | 2.33 | 1.49 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
ML Vitebsk to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for ML Vitebsk vs FC Minsk are 1.33 for ML Vitebsk at 22Bet, 5.60 for the draw at Stake and 13.00 for FC Minsk at 1xBet.
The best-price payout across the three results is 99.3%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.77 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.06 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 2.35 (1xBet) and no 1.61 (22Bet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
75%
Our prediction
ML Vitebsk to win
Double chanceML Vitebsk or draw
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
BTTSNot both teams to score
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
78% chance1.28fairWon
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
15% chance6.85fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time ML Vitebsk, full-time ML Vitebsk
51% chance1.96fairWon
ML Vitebsk vs FC Minsk odds movement
ML Vitebsk win1.33unchanged
Draw5.60unchanged
FC Minsk win13.00-0.25
Over 2.5 goals1.77unchanged
Under 2.5 goals2.06unchanged
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:58 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
ML Vitebsk vs FC Minsk prediction
Our ML Vitebsk vs FC Minsk prediction and pick
ML Vitebsk host FC Minsk on Sunday, 1 November 2026 in the Belarus Premier League, and the model has ML Vitebsk at 75%, the draw at 17% and FC Minsk at 8%: that is the ML Vitebsk vs FC Minsk prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 2.26 for ML Vitebsk and 0.60 for FC Minsk, a total of 2.86, which puts over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 40%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
ML Vitebsk to win is the main selection, rated 75%. The best price in our comparison is 1.33 at 22Bet, which implies 75%, so the model sits 1 points below the market.
ML Vitebsk or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 92% chance, priced 1.04.
With the draw down at 17%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
ML Vitebsk average 1.8 goals scored and 0.2 conceded across their last 5, FC Minsk 0.6 and 2.8 across 5.
How many goals in ML Vitebsk vs FC Minsk? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 78%, over 2.5 at 55%, over 3.5 at 32%; under 2.5 is 45% and under 3.5 is 68%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 55%, best priced 1.77 at 22Bet.
Both teams to score is 40%: ML Vitebsk find the net in 90% of simulated matches and FC Minsk in 45%. ML Vitebsk keep a clean sheet 55% of the time and FC Minsk 10%.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.
The most likely scoreline is 2-0 at 14.6%, followed by 1-0 (12.9%) and 3-0 (11%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time ML Vitebsk, full-time ML Vitebsk leads at 51%. A goal before the break is rated 72%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for ML Vitebsk vs FC Minsk
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 75% / 17% / 8% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
ML Vitebsk to win75%1.33
Draw17%5.60
FC Minsk to win8%13.00
ML Vitebsk, draw no bet90%fair 1.11
FC Minsk, draw no bet10%fair 10.00
Double chance
ML Vitebsk or draw92%1.04
FC Minsk or draw26%3.71
ML Vitebsk or FC Minsk (no draw)83%1.17
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals78%fair 1.28
Over 2.5 goals55%1.77
Over 3.5 goals32%fair 3.12
Over 4.5 goals16%fair 6.17
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.52
Under 2.5 goals45%2.06
Under 3.5 goals68%fair 1.47
BTTS
Both teams to score40%2.35
Not both teams to score60%1.61
Halves
First-half goal72%fair 1.38
Over 1.5 first-half goals37%fair 2.71
Second-half goal79%fair 1.26
Team goals
ML Vitebsk to score90%fair 1.12
FC Minsk to score45%fair 2.22
ML Vitebsk clean sheet55%fair 1.82
FC Minsk clean sheet10%fair 9.62
ML Vitebsk to win to nil51%fair 1.98
FC Minsk to win to nil8%fair 13.16
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
2-014.6%
1-012.9%
3-011%
2-18.8%
1-17.8%
3-16.6%
Half-time / full-time
ML Vitebsk / ML Vitebsk51.1%
Draw / ML Vitebsk21.4%
Draw / Draw10.8%
FC Minsk / FC Minsk4.3%
Draw / FC Minsk3.5%
Questions about ML Vitebsk vs FC Minsk
ML Vitebsk or FC Minsk: which side does the model back?
The model gives ML Vitebsk the best chance at 75%, with the draw at 17%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in ML Vitebsk vs FC Minsk?
2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 14.6%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 55%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in ML Vitebsk vs FC Minsk?
The BTTS yes line is rated 40%. ML Vitebsk find the net in 90% of simulated matches and FC Minsk in 45%.
When do ML Vitebsk play FC Minsk?
ML Vitebsk vs FC Minsk starts at 16:00 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.