Bate BorisovHomeWLLLL
BelshinaAwayLLWLL
Bate BorisovHomeWLLLL
BelshinaAwayLLWLL| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.97 | 3.40 | 3.72 | 1.95 | 1.79 | 1.78 | 1.93 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Best 1X2 lines behind the Bate Borisov vs Belshina prediction: Bate Borisov 1.97 (1xBet), draw 3.40 (1xBet), Belshina 3.72 (1xBet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 93.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.95 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.79 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.78 (1xBet) and no 1.93 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
Our prediction
Bate Borisov vs Belshina prediction for the Belarus Premier League on Saturday, 24 October 2026: the model makes Bate Borisov marginally ahead at 48%, with the draw at 27% and Belshina at 25%.
Expected goals are 1.52 for Bate Borisov and 1.03 for Belshina, a total of 2.55, which puts over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 51%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Bate Borisov vs Belshina is bate Borisov or draw, a 75% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.25. That price implies 80%, 5 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Bate Borisov vs Belshina.
Bate Borisov average 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across their last 5, Belshina 1.2 and 2.8 across 5.
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 72%, over 2.5 at 47%, over 3.5 at 25%; under 2.5 is 53% and under 3.5 is 75%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 53%, best priced 1.79 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 51%: Bate Borisov find the net in 78% of simulated matches and Belshina in 64%. Bate Borisov keep a clean sheet 36% of the time and Belshina 22%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.2%, then 1-0 at 11.9% and 2-1 at 9.3%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Bate Borisov, full-time Bate Borisov is the top combination at 29%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 68%.
The grid built from 1.52 and 1.03 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives Bate Borisov the best chance at 48%, with the draw at 27%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.2%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 47% backs the same picture with less variance.
The BTTS yes line is rated 51%. Bate Borisov find the net in 78% of simulated matches and Belshina in 64%.
Kick-off is 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.