Belarus Premier League
ArsenalHomeLLLDW
0:0Half-time 0:0
FC Dnepr MogilevAwayLLWDW322840
Arsenal winDrawFC Dnepr Mogilev win
ArsenalHomeLLLDWFC Dnepr MogilevAwayLLWDW- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.53 1.18 : 1.35
- Favourite
- 40% FC Dnepr Mogilev
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 51% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Arsenal vs FC Dnepr Mogilev odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.83 | 3.20 | 2.44 | 1.97 | 1.78 | 1.73 | 2.00 | Bet |
 22Bet | 3.17 | 2.93 | 2.42 | 2.19 | 1.68 | 1.85 | 1.90 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 3.15 | 2.88 | 2.32 | 2.12 | 1.66 | 1.78 | 1.86 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 3.17 | 2.93 | 2.42 | 2.19 | 1.68 | 1.85 | 1.90 | Bet |
 Melbet | 3.17 | 2.93 | 2.42 | 2.19 | 1.68 | 1.85 | 1.90 | Bet |
 Stake | 3.20 | 3.10 | 2.19 | 2.03 | 1.65 | 1.80 | 1.83 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
FC Dnepr Mogilev to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Arsenal vs FC Dnepr Mogilev are 3.20 for Arsenal at Stake, 3.20 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.44 for FC Dnepr Mogilev at 1xBet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 96.6%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.19 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.78 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.85 (Melbet) and no 2.00 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
72%
Our prediction
Arsenal or FC Dnepr Mogilev (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
53% chance1.78
BTTSBoth teams to score
51% chance1.85
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
72% chance1.39fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.87fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time FC Dnepr Mogilev, full-time FC Dnepr Mogilev
24% chance4.17fair
First halfFirst-half goal
68% chance1.47fair
Arsenal vs FC Dnepr Mogilev prediction
Arsenal vs FC Dnepr Mogilev prediction and best bet
FC Dnepr Mogilev are marginally ahead in the Arsenal vs FC Dnepr Mogilev prediction, rated 40% to win this Belarus Premier League match on Sunday, 25 October 2026. Arsenal sit at 32% and the draw at 28%.
Arsenal are expected to score 1.18 and FC Dnepr Mogilev 1.35, so the total line is 2.53 goals; over 2.5 lands at 47% and BTTS at 51%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is arsenal or FC Dnepr Mogilev (no draw) at 72%. Betwinner offer the top price at 1.37. That price implies 73%, 1 points over the model figure.
Form check: Arsenal have won 1 of their last 5 with 2 scored and 8 conceded, FC Dnepr Mogilev 2 of 5 scoring 8 and conceding 9.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Arsenal vs FC Dnepr Mogilev
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 72%, over 2.5 at 47%, over 3.5 at 25%; under 2.5 is 53% and under 3.5 is 75%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; 1xBet pay 1.78.
BTTS yes stands at 51%. Arsenal score in 69% of simulations against a 31% clean sheet for FC Dnepr Mogilev; FC Dnepr Mogilev score in 74% while Arsenal shut them out 26% of the time.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.7%, then 0-1 at 10.8% and 1-0 at 9.4%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.7% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time FC Dnepr Mogilev, full-time FC Dnepr Mogilev leads at 24%. A goal before the break is rated 68%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Arsenal vs FC Dnepr Mogilev
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Arsenal vs FC Dnepr Mogilev, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Arsenal to win32%3.20
Draw28%3.20
FC Dnepr Mogilev to win40%2.44
Arsenal, draw no bet44%fair 2.27
FC Dnepr Mogilev, draw no bet56%fair 1.79
Double chance
Arsenal or draw60%1.57
FC Dnepr Mogilev or draw68%1.38
Arsenal or FC Dnepr Mogilev (no draw)72%1.37
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals72%fair 1.39
Over 2.5 goals47%2.19
Over 3.5 goals25%fair 4.02
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 8.85
Under 1.5 goals28%fair 3.56
Under 2.5 goals53%1.78
Under 3.5 goals75%fair 1.33
BTTS
Both teams to score51%1.85
Not both teams to score49%2.00
Halves
First-half goal68%fair 1.47
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.17
Second-half goal75%fair 1.33
Team goals
Arsenal to score69%fair 1.44
FC Dnepr Mogilev to score74%fair 1.35
Arsenal clean sheet26%fair 3.86
FC Dnepr Mogilev clean sheet31%fair 3.26
Arsenal to win to nil24%fair 4.18
FC Dnepr Mogilev to win to nil28%fair 3.53
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.7%
0-110.8%
1-09.4%
1-28.6%
0-08%
2-17.5%
Half-time / full-time
FC Dnepr Mogilev / FC Dnepr Mogilev24%
Arsenal / Arsenal18.7%
Draw / Draw16.6%
Draw / FC Dnepr Mogilev14.5%
Draw / Arsenal12.1%
Questions about Arsenal vs FC Dnepr Mogilev
Arsenal or FC Dnepr Mogilev: which side does the model back?
The model gives FC Dnepr Mogilev the best chance at 40%, with the draw at 28%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for Arsenal vs FC Dnepr Mogilev?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 47%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Arsenal vs FC Dnepr Mogilev?
The BTTS yes line is rated 51%. Arsenal find the net in 69% of simulated matches and FC Dnepr Mogilev in 74%.
When do Arsenal play FC Dnepr Mogilev?
Kick-off is 10:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.