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Live 6 UTC
Belarus Premier League Round 28 Friday, 6 November 2026 Kick-off
FC GomelHomeLDLL
Fri 6 Nov
ArsenalAwayLLDW
612415
FC Gomel winDrawArsenal win
Kick-off
Fri 6 Nov
Expected goals
2.47
1.72 : 0.75
Favourite
61%
FC Gomel
Over 2.5 goals
45%
model chance
Both teams to score
45%
model chance
Prices compared
4
in the odds table

FC Gomel vs Arsenal betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.563.726.232.021.742.061.68Bet
22Bet1.563.726.232.021.742.061.68Bet
Betwinner1.563.726.232.021.742.061.68Bet
Melbet1.563.726.232.021.742.061.68Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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FC Gomel to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the FC Gomel vs Arsenal prediction: FC Gomel 1.56 (1xBet), draw 3.72 (1xBet), Arsenal 6.23 (1xBet).

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 93.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.02 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.74 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.06 (1xBet) and no 1.68 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

61%

Our prediction

FC Gomel to win
StrongExpected goals 1.72 : 0.75-5.3% against the best price
Double chanceFC Gomel or draw
85% chance1.10
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
55% chance1.74
BTTSNot both teams to score
56% chance1.68
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
71% chance1.42fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
15% chance6.90fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time FC Gomel, full-time FC Gomel
38% chance2.62fair

FC Gomel vs Arsenal odds movement

FC Gomel win1.56+0.20
Draw3.72-0.68
Arsenal win6.23-4.27
Over 2.5 goals2.02+0.20
Under 2.5 goals1.74-0.18

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 3 Nov, 03:43 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

FC Gomel vs Arsenal prediction

Our FC Gomel vs Arsenal prediction and pick

FC Gomel are the clear favourite in the FC Gomel vs Arsenal prediction, rated 61% to win this Belarus Premier League match on Friday, 6 November 2026. Arsenal sit at 16% and the draw at 24%.

Expected goals are 1.72 for FC Gomel and 0.75 for Arsenal, a total of 2.47, which puts over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams to score at 45%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

FC Gomel to win is the main selection, rated 61%. The best price in our comparison is 1.56 at 1xBet, which implies 64%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

For a safer line, fC Gomel or draw covers 85% of outcomes at 1.10.

Form check: FC Gomel have won 0 of their last 4 with 5 scored and 11 conceded, Arsenal 1 of 4 scoring 1 and conceding 3.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in FC Gomel vs Arsenal

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 71%, over 2.5 at 45%, over 3.5 at 24%; under 2.5 is 55% and under 3.5 is 76%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 55%, best priced 1.74 at 1xBet.

BTTS yes stands at 45%. FC Gomel score in 82% of simulations against a 18% clean sheet for Arsenal; Arsenal score in 53% while FC Gomel shut them out 47% of the time.

The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 14.5%, followed by 2-0 (12.5%) and 1-1 (10.9%).

With the top scoreline at 14.5%, correct score stays a long-odds market for FC Gomel vs Arsenal; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time FC Gomel, full-time FC Gomel leads at 38%. A goal before the break is rated 67%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market rated for FC Gomel vs Arsenal

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 61% / 24% / 16% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

FC Gomel to win61%1.56
Draw24%3.72
Arsenal to win16%6.23
FC Gomel, draw no bet80%fair 1.25
Arsenal, draw no bet20%fair 4.93

Double chance

FC Gomel or draw85%1.10
Arsenal or draw39%2.33
FC Gomel or Arsenal (no draw)76%1.25

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals71%fair 1.42
Over 2.5 goals45%2.02
Over 3.5 goals24%fair 4.24
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 9.52
Under 1.5 goals29%fair 3.40
Under 2.5 goals55%1.74
Under 3.5 goals76%fair 1.31

BTTS

Both teams to score45%2.06
Not both teams to score56%1.68

Halves

First-half goal67%fair 1.49
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.28
Second-half goal74%fair 1.35

Team goals

FC Gomel to score82%fair 1.22
Arsenal to score53%fair 1.89
FC Gomel clean sheet47%fair 2.12
Arsenal clean sheet18%fair 5.59
FC Gomel to win to nil44%fair 2.30
Arsenal to win to nil14%fair 6.99

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

1-014.5%
2-012.5%
1-110.9%
2-19.4%
0-08.5%
3-07.2%

Half-time / full-time

FC Gomel / FC Gomel38.2%
Draw / FC Gomel20%
Draw / Draw15.5%
Arsenal / Arsenal8.5%
Draw / Arsenal6.6%

Questions about FC Gomel vs Arsenal

FC Gomel or Arsenal: which side does the model back?

The model gives FC Gomel the best chance at 61%, with the draw at 24%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What is the correct score prediction for FC Gomel vs Arsenal?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 14.5%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 45%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

FC Gomel vs Arsenal both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 45%. FC Gomel find the net in 82% of simulated matches and Arsenal in 53%.

When is FC Gomel vs Arsenal and where is the result shown?

FC Gomel vs Arsenal starts at 15:00 UTC on Friday, 6 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, FC Gomel v ArsenalFC Gomel to win, 61%
1.56Bet