Belarus Premier League
ArsenalHomeLLLDW
1:0Half-time 1:0
Bate BorisovAwayWLLLL302941
Arsenal winDrawBate Borisov win
ArsenalHomeLLLDWBate BorisovAwayWLLLL- Kick-off Fri 30 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.38 1.07 : 1.31
- Favourite
- 41% Bate Borisov
- Over 2.5 goals
- 43% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 48% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Best odds for Arsenal vs Bate Borisov
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 3.14 | 3.12 | 2.32 | 2.09 | 1.69 | 1.82 | 1.88 | Bet |
 22Bet | 3.43 | 2.76 | 2.41 | 2.30 | 1.58 | 1.81 | 1.94 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 3.20 | 2.72 | 2.40 | 2.30 | 1.57 | 1.85 | 1.79 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 3.43 | 2.76 | 2.41 | 2.30 | 1.58 | 1.81 | 1.94 | Bet |
 Melbet | 3.43 | 2.76 | 2.41 | 2.30 | 1.58 | 1.81 | 1.94 | Bet |
 Stake | 3.05 | 3.00 | 2.33 | 2.21 | 1.54 | 1.91 | 1.73 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Bate Borisov to win partner prices
Betwinner pay the best Arsenal price at 3.43, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.12 and Betwinner have Bate Borisov longest at 2.41.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 97.3%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.30 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 1.69 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.91 (Stake) and no 1.94 (Melbet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
71%
Our prediction
Arsenal or Bate Borisov (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
57% chance1.69
BTTSNot both teams to score
52% chance1.94
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
69% chance1.46fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.69fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Bate Borisov, full-time Bate Borisov
25% chance4.05fair
First halfFirst-half goal
66% chance1.52fair
Arsenal vs Bate Borisov prediction
Our Arsenal vs Bate Borisov prediction and pick
Arsenal vs Bate Borisov prediction for the Belarus Premier League on Friday, 30 October 2026: the model makes Bate Borisov marginally ahead at 41%, with the draw at 29% and Arsenal at 30%.
The goal expectancy is 2.38 in total, split 1.07 to Arsenal and 1.31 to Bate Borisov. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 43% and both teams to score 48%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Arsenal or Bate Borisov (no draw) is the main selection, rated 71%. The best price in our comparison is 1.41 at Melbet, which implies 71%, so the model sits 0 points below the market.
Arsenal average 0.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across their last 5, Bate Borisov 0.6 and 1.4 across 5.
A low-scoring Arsenal vs Bate Borisov? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 69%, over 2.5 at 43%, over 3.5 at 22%; under 2.5 is 57% and under 3.5 is 78%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 57%; 1xBet pay 1.69.
BTTS yes stands at 48%. Arsenal score in 66% of simulations against a 34% clean sheet for Bate Borisov; Bate Borisov score in 73% while Arsenal shut them out 27% of the time.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 13%, then 0-1 at 12.1% and 1-0 at 9.9%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 13% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Bate Borisov, full-time Bate Borisov is the top combination at 25%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 66%.
Every market for Arsenal vs Bate Borisov
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Arsenal vs Bate Borisov, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Arsenal to win30%3.43
Draw29%3.12
Bate Borisov to win41%2.41
Arsenal, draw no bet42%fair 2.39
Bate Borisov, draw no bet58%fair 1.72
Double chance
Arsenal or draw59%1.56
Bate Borisov or draw70%1.33
Arsenal or Bate Borisov (no draw)71%1.41
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals69%fair 1.46
Over 2.5 goals43%2.30
Over 3.5 goals22%fair 4.61
Over 4.5 goals9%fair 10.75
Under 1.5 goals31%fair 3.19
Under 2.5 goals57%1.69
Under 3.5 goals78%fair 1.28
BTTS
Both teams to score48%1.91
Not both teams to score52%1.94
Halves
First-half goal66%fair 1.52
Over 1.5 first-half goals29%fair 3.45
Second-half goal73%fair 1.37
Team goals
Arsenal to score66%fair 1.52
Bate Borisov to score73%fair 1.37
Arsenal clean sheet27%fair 3.70
Bate Borisov clean sheet34%fair 2.92
Arsenal to win to nil25%fair 4.03
Bate Borisov to win to nil32%fair 3.16
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-113%
0-112.1%
1-09.9%
0-09.3%
1-28.5%
0-27.9%
Half-time / full-time
Bate Borisov / Bate Borisov24.7%
Draw / Draw17.8%
Arsenal / Arsenal17.1%
Draw / Bate Borisov15.3%
Draw / Arsenal11.7%
Questions about Arsenal vs Bate Borisov
Who is favourite in Arsenal vs Bate Borisov?
The model gives Bate Borisov the best chance at 41%, with the draw at 29%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for Arsenal vs Bate Borisov?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 43% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Arsenal vs Bate Borisov?
The BTTS yes line is rated 48%. Arsenal find the net in 66% of simulated matches and Bate Borisov in 73%.
What time does Arsenal vs Bate Borisov kick off?
Kick-off is 15:00 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.