Zira vs Sumqayıt prediction

Zira vs Sumqayıt prediction, who wins and at what price

Zira vs Sumqayıt prediction for the Premyer Liqa on Friday, 23 October 2026: the model makes Zira a narrow favourite at 55%, with the draw at 25% and Sumqayıt at 20%.

Expected goals are 1.67 for Zira and 0.92 for Sumqayıt, a total of 2.59, which puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 50%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Zira to win is the main selection, rated 55%. The best price in our comparison is 1.65 at 1xBet, which implies 61%, so the model sits 6 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Zira vs Sumqayıt.

For a safer line, zira or draw covers 80% of outcomes at 1.11.

Zira average 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across their last 5, Sumqayıt 2.2 and 1.5 across 4.

Zira vs Sumqayıt goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Under 2.5 goals is rated 52% and under 3.5 74%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 73% and over 2.5 at 48%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 52%; 1xBet pay 1.76.

BTTS yes stands at 50%. Zira score in 81% of simulations against a 19% clean sheet for Sumqayıt; Sumqayıt score in 60% while Zira shut them out 40% of the time.

The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 12.5%, followed by 1-1 (11.5%) and 2-0 (10.5%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Zira, full-time Zira is the top combination at 34%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 69%.