Premyer Liqa
ArazHomeLLLLD
1:2Half-time 1:1
QabalaAwayLLLWD362935
Araz winDrawQabala win
ArazHomeLLLLDQabalaAwayLLLWD- Kick-off Fri 23 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.46 1.23 : 1.23
- Favourite
- 36% Araz
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 52% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Araz vs Qabala odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.45 | 3.08 | 2.57 | 2.02 | 1.68 | 1.78 | 1.89 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Araz to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Araz price at 2.45, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.08 and 1xBet have Qabala longest at 2.57.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 89.1%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.02 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.68 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.78 (1xBet) and no 1.89 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
72%
Our prediction
Araz or Qabala (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
56% chance1.68
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.78
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
70% chance1.42fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.75fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Qabala, full-time Qabala
21% chance4.76fair
First halfFirst-half goal
67% chance1.49fair
Araz vs Qabala prediction
Our Araz vs Qabala prediction and pick
The Araz vs Qabala prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Premyer Liqa on Friday, 23 October 2026 gives Araz a 36% chance, Qabala 36% and the draw 29%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.
Expected goals are 1.23 for Araz and 1.23 for Qabala, a total of 2.46, which puts over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams to score at 52%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Araz or Qabala (no draw) is the main selection, rated 72%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.25. That price implies 80%, 9 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Araz average 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded across their last 5, Qabala 0.6 and 2.4 across 5.
A low-scoring Araz vs Qabala? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 56% and under 3.5 77%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 70% and over 2.5 at 44%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 56%; 1xBet pay 1.68.
The chance of both teams scoring is 52%, built from Araz scoring in 71% of runs and Qabala in 71%; clean sheets come at 29% for Araz and 29% for Qabala.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Araz vs Qabala: 1-1 (12.9%), 0-1 (10.5%) and 1-0 (10.5%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Qabala, full-time Qabala is the top combination at 21%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 67%.
Every market for Araz vs Qabala
The grid built from 1.23 and 1.23 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Araz to win36%2.45
Draw29%3.08
Qabala to win36%2.57
Araz, draw no bet50%fair 2.00
Qabala, draw no bet50%fair 2.00
Double chance
Araz or draw64%1.36
Qabala or draw64%1.40
Araz or Qabala (no draw)72%1.25
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals70%fair 1.42
Over 2.5 goals44%2.02
Over 3.5 goals23%fair 4.27
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 9.62
Under 1.5 goals30%fair 3.38
Under 2.5 goals56%1.68
Under 3.5 goals77%fair 1.31
BTTS
Both teams to score52%1.78
Not both teams to score48%1.89
Halves
First-half goal67%fair 1.49
Over 1.5 first-half goals30%fair 3.29
Second-half goal74%fair 1.35
Team goals
Araz to score71%fair 1.41
Qabala to score71%fair 1.41
Araz clean sheet29%fair 3.42
Qabala clean sheet29%fair 3.42
Araz to win to nil27%fair 3.72
Qabala to win to nil27%fair 3.72
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-112.9%
0-110.5%
1-010.5%
0-08.5%
1-27.9%
2-17.9%
Half-time / full-time
Qabala / Qabala21%
Araz / Araz21%
Draw / Draw17.2%
Draw / Qabala13.4%
Draw / Araz13.4%
Questions about Araz vs Qabala
Araz or Qabala: which side does the model back?
The model gives Araz the best chance at 36%, with the draw at 29%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Araz vs Qabala correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 44%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Araz vs Qabala?
The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Araz find the net in 71% of simulated matches and Qabala in 71%.
When is Araz vs Qabala and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 11:00 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.