Neftchi Baku vs Turan prediction

Neftchi Baku vs Turan prediction, who wins and at what price

Neftchi Baku vs Turan prediction for the Premyer Liqa on Saturday, 24 October 2026: the model makes Neftchi Baku a narrow favourite at 55%, with the draw at 28% and Turan at 18%.

Expected goals are 1.72 for Neftchi Baku and 0.93 for Turan, a total of 2.65, which puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 51%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Neftchi Baku to win is the main selection, rated 55%. The best price in our comparison is 1.59 at 1xBet, which implies 63%, so the model sits 8 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Neftchi Baku vs Turan.

Neftchi Baku or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 82% chance, priced 1.09.

Over the last 5 matches Neftchi Baku stand at 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Turan show 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats in 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Neftchi Baku vs Turan

Under 2.5 goals is rated 51% and under 3.5 73%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 74% and over 2.5 at 49%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 51%; 1xBet pay 1.87.

Both teams to score is 51%: Neftchi Baku find the net in 82% of simulated matches and Turan in 61%. Neftchi Baku keep a clean sheet 40% of the time and Turan 18%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 12.2%, followed by 1-1 (11.3%) and 2-0 (10.5%).

With the top scoreline at 12.2%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Neftchi Baku vs Turan; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Neftchi Baku, full-time Neftchi Baku leads at 35%. A goal before the break is rated 70%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.